Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 11, 2008

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $22.2100 (-0.98%) ($21.6700 - $22.8600) on Wed. Jun. 11, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.4% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $22.2100(-0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -7.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(18%)    VWO(18%)    IWM(17%)    SPY(17%)    FXI(16%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -3.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.2% (StdDev 6.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $24.81
5 Day Moving Average   $23.37(-4.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.2(-8.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.81(-10.48%)
To recent high   -19.1%
To recent low   150.1%
Market Cap   $896m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 8.34% (three month std-dev: 6.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -15.9%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -31.65%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -33.77%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2008	15.19	24.81	24.2	23.37	23.07	22.36	22.21(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-28	-250	-13	-73	0.35	81%	0.86	37.5	6.4%	0	-1.3	23	0
2	Jun_10_2008	15.06	24.77	24.72	23.87	23.81	22.79	22.43(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-310	-16	-60	0.17	76%	0.53	45	6.43%	0	-1.1	37	0
3	Jun_9_2008	14.98	24.75	25.21	24.31	24.37	23.77	22.83(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-160	-15	-47	0.23	76%	0.88	54.6	6.58%	0	-0.9	37	0
4	Jun_6_2008	14.85	24.59	25.61	24.72	24.37	24.84	23.54(-8.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	20	-4	-28	0.3	74%	0.95	52.4	6.59%	0	-0.4	52	0
5	Jun_5_2008	14.71	24.37	25.94	24.94	24.78	24.97	25.84(4.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-2	30	-1	-6	0.17	78%	1.03	46.8	6.56%	0	0.5	72	0

6	Jun_4_2008	14.56	24.05	26.09	25.2	24.66	24.72	24.69(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-50	-8	18	0.17	78%	0.97	47.5	6.56%	0	0.2	73	0
7	Jun_3_2008	14.42	23.82	26.22	25.74	25.27	24.59	24.64(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-240	-9	47	0.27	78%	0.98	51.4	6.57%	0	0.3	71	0
8	Jun_2_2008	14.28	23.58	26.41	26.28	25.96	24.6	24.87(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-400	-17	74	0.37	78%	0.99	56.6	6.56%	0	0.4	67	0
9	May_30_2008	14.14	23.32	26.38	26.63	26.59	25.94	24.67(-9.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-180	-17	104	0.58	78%	1	59.3	6.61%	0	0.4	74	0
10	May_29_2008	14	23.1	26.11	27.04	27.02	27.33	27.12(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	80	0	139	0.31	82%	1.23	67.4	6.53%	0	1.2	84	0

11	May_28_2008	13.83	22.68	25.49	27.11	27.01	27.23	27.38(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	46	50	8	158	0.3	82%	1.24	72.3	6.55%	0	1.4	80	0
12	May_27_2008	13.66	22.29	24.85	26.8	26.79	26.72	27.38(2.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	-20	3	160	0.22	82%	1.26	78.1	6.56%	0	1.6	76	0
13	May_23_2008	13.49	21.84	24.25	26.57	26.55	26.78	26.62(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	60	6	174	0.17	82%	1.05	84.7	6.5%	0	1.6	75	0
14	May_22_2008	13.35	21.46	23.5	26.09	26.26	26.86	26.7(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	60	180	22	173	0.41	82%	0.91	85.8	6.55%	0	1.8	76	0
15	May_21_2008	13.23	20.99	22.68	25.01	25.19	26.31	27.45(6.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	59	330	30	146	0.93	82%	1.15	85.7	6.53%	0	2.3	75	0

16	May_20_2008	13.08	20.45	21.81	23.62	23.74	25.66	25.83(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	53	580	32	116	0.4	82%	0.85	86.9	6.53%	0	2.2	76	0
17	May_19_2008	12.97	20	21.17	22.59	22.42	24.07	26.25(8.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	50	490	36	92	0.74	82%	0.86	92.2	6.52%	0	2.9	70	0
18	May_16_2008	12.86	19.52	20.44	21.63	21.33	21.82	24.22(13.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	38	120	27	69	0.68	81%	0.7	115.2	6.47%	0	2.8	70	0
19	May_15_2008	12.77	19.19	19.93	20.56	20.71	20.77	21.28(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	40	11	36	0.15	79%	0.47	108.9	6.32%	0	1.2	59	0
20	May_14_2008	12.71	18.83	19.79	19.99	20.13	20.84	20.51(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	270	9	32	0.21	79%	0.63	92.1	6.33%	0	0.9	65	0

21	May_13_2008	12.63	18.52	19.62	19.7	19.63	20.65	20.7(-3.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	350	15	34	0.16	79%	0.4	79.4	6.34%	0	1	67	0
22	May_12_2008	12.58	18.17	19.52	19.49	19.24	19.43	21.44(13.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	30	14	42	0.42	79%	0.56	70.1	6.32%	0	1.4	70	0
23	May_9_2008	12.51	17.77	19.23	19.1	19.04	18.6	18.88(2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-170	-7	32	0.18	79%	0.24	64.6	6.25%	0	0.5	62	0
24	May_8_2008	12.48	17.49	19.29	19.22	19.32	19.06	18.4(-3.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-80	-10	41	0.17	79%	0.32	64.8	6.3%	0	0.4	54	0
25	May_7_2008	12.44	17.21	19.22	19.55	19.64	19.47	19.06(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-50	0	76	0.25	79%		70.1	6.27%	0	0.7	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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