Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 27, 2008

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $27.3800 (2.85%) ($26.3700 - $27.4000) on Tue. May. 27, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.56% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $27.3800(2.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 17.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(18%)    VWO(18%)    IWM(17%)    FXI(16%)    QQQ(16%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -3.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.28% (StdDev 6.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.8(2.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.85(10.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.29(22.84%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   215.1%
Market Cap   $1.104b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 14.63% (three month std-dev: 6.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080627

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_27_2008	13.66	22.29	24.85	26.8	26.79	26.72	27.38(2.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	-20	3	160	0.22	82%	1.26	78.1	6.56%	0	1.6	76	0
2	May_23_2008	13.49	21.84	24.25	26.57	26.55	26.78	26.62(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	60	6	174	0.17	82%	1.05	84.7	6.5%	0	1.6	75	0
3	May_22_2008	13.35	21.46	23.5	26.09	26.26	26.86	26.7(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	60	180	22	173	0.41	82%	0.91	85.8	6.55%	0	1.8	76	0
4	May_21_2008	13.23	20.99	22.68	25.01	25.19	26.31	27.45(6.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	59	330	30	146	0.93	82%	1.15	85.7	6.53%	0	2.3	75	0
5	May_20_2008	13.08	20.45	21.81	23.62	23.74	25.66	25.83(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	53	580	32	116	0.4	82%	0.85	86.9	6.53%	0	2.2	76	0

6	May_19_2008	12.97	20	21.17	22.59	22.42	24.07	26.25(8.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	50	490	36	92	0.74	82%	0.86	92.2	6.52%	0	2.9	70	0
7	May_16_2008	12.86	19.52	20.44	21.63	21.33	21.82	24.22(13.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	38	120	27	69	0.68	81%	0.7	115.2	6.47%	0	2.8	70	0
8	May_15_2008	12.77	19.19	19.93	20.56	20.71	20.77	21.28(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	40	11	36	0.15	79%	0.47	108.9	6.32%	0	1.2	59	0
9	May_14_2008	12.71	18.83	19.79	19.99	20.13	20.84	20.51(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	270	9	32	0.21	79%	0.63	92.1	6.33%	0	0.9	65	0
10	May_13_2008	12.63	18.52	19.62	19.7	19.63	20.65	20.7(-3.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	350	15	34	0.16	79%	0.4	79.4	6.34%	0	1	67	0

11	May_12_2008	12.58	18.17	19.52	19.49	19.24	19.43	21.44(13.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	30	14	42	0.42	79%	0.56	70.1	6.32%	0	1.4	70	0
12	May_9_2008	12.51	17.77	19.23	19.1	19.04	18.6	18.88(2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-170	-7	32	0.18	79%	0.24	64.6	6.25%	0	0.5	62	0
13	May_8_2008	12.48	17.49	19.29	19.22	19.32	19.06	18.4(-3.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-80	-10	41	0.17	79%	0.32	64.8	6.3%	0	0.4	54	0
14	May_7_2008	12.44	17.21	19.22	19.55	19.32	19.47	19.06(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-50	0	76	0.25	79%	0.32	70.1	6.27%	0	0.7	76	0
15	May_6_2008	12.4	16.95	19.05	19.49	19.32	19.59	19.67(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	22	10	-2	93	0.21	79%	0.4	74.3	6.25%	0	1	76	0

16	May_5_2008	12.35	16.68	18.8	19.53	19.64	19.82	19.51(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	34	80	4	122	0.17	79%	0.32	80.2	6.25%	0	1.1	78	0
17	May_2_2008	12.31	16.36	18.57	19.38	19.53	19.69	19.48(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	80	3	142	0.19	79%	0.24	79.7	6.27%	0	1.1	77	0
18	May_1_2008	12.28	15.96	18.42	19.37	19.27	19.47	20.03(6.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	60	11	182	0.33	79%	0.24	79.2	6.3%	0	1.4	81	0
19	Apr_30_2008	12.25	15.54	17.81	18.85	19.02	19.37	18.76(-5.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	54	160	11	181	0.34	78%	0.08	76.4	6.27%	0	1.2	80	0
20	Apr_29_2008	12.24	15.18	17.35	18.51	18.43	19.08	19.89(6.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	230	16	181	0.39	78%	0.16	75.1	6.21%	0	1.7	74	0

21	Apr_28_2008	12.22	14.77	16.71	17.95	17.87	18.67	18.76(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	300	15	163	0.53	78%	-0.41	75	6.18%	0	1.6	69	0
22	Apr_25_2008	12.27	14.41	16.19	17.63	17.42	17.78	19.4(11.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	110	12	162	0.77	78%	-0.32	78.1	6.15%	0	2	75	0
23	Apr_24_2008	12.31	14	15.52	17.36	17.17	17.07	17.42(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	54	-70	14	175	0.41	77%	-0.49	87.5	6.04%	0	1.5	77	0
24	Apr_23_2008	12.37	13.69	15.04	16.61	17.45	17.06	17.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	50	-0	15	155	0.62	77%	-0.4	84.9	6.07%	0	1.6	75	0
25	Apr_22_2008	12.42	13.38	14.69	15.99	16.63	17.28	17.08(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	390	16	148	0.62	77%		82.8	6.1%	0	1.9	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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