Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 12, 2008

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $21.4400 (13.56%) ($19.1500 - $21.4700) on Mon. May. 12, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.32% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $21.4400(13.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(18%)    VWO(18%)    IWM(17%)    SPY(17%)    FXI(16%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -3.16% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.16% (StdDev 6.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 11.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.49(10.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.52(9.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.17(18%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   146.7%
Market Cap   $865m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 12.66% (three month std-dev: 6.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2008	12.58	18.17	19.52	19.49	19.24	19.43	21.44(13.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	30	14	42	0.42	79%	0.56	70.1	6.32%	0	1.4	70	0
2	May_9_2008	12.51	17.77	19.23	19.1	19.04	18.6	18.88(2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-170	-7	32	0.18	79%	0.24	64.6	6.25%	0	0.5	62	0
3	May_8_2008	12.48	17.49	19.29	19.22	19.32	19.06	18.4(-3.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-80	-10	41	0.17	79%	0.32	64.8	6.3%	0	0.4	54	0
4	May_7_2008	12.44	17.21	19.22	19.55	19.32	19.47	19.06(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-50	0	76	0.25	79%	0.32	70.1	6.27%	0	0.7	76	0
5	May_6_2008	12.4	16.95	19.05	19.49	19.32	19.59	19.67(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	22	10	-2	93	0.21	79%	0.4	74.3	6.25%	0	1	76	0

6	May_5_2008	12.35	16.68	18.8	19.53	19.64	19.82	19.51(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	34	80	4	122	0.17	79%	0.32	80.2	6.25%	0	1.1	78	0
7	May_2_2008	12.31	16.36	18.57	19.38	19.53	19.69	19.48(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	80	3	142	0.19	79%	0.24	79.7	6.27%	0	1.1	77	0
8	May_1_2008	12.28	15.96	18.42	19.37	19.27	19.47	20.03(6.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	60	11	182	0.33	79%	0.24	79.2	6.3%	0	1.4	81	0
9	Apr_30_2008	12.25	15.54	17.81	18.85	19.02	19.37	18.76(-5.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	54	160	11	181	0.34	78%	0.08	76.4	6.27%	0	1.2	80	0
10	Apr_29_2008	12.24	15.18	17.35	18.51	18.43	19.08	19.89(6.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	230	16	181	0.39	78%	0.16	75.1	6.21%	0	1.7	74	0

11	Apr_28_2008	12.22	14.77	16.71	17.95	17.87	18.67	18.76(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	300	15	163	0.53	78%	-0.41	75	6.18%	0	1.6	69	0
12	Apr_25_2008	12.27	14.41	16.19	17.63	17.42	17.78	19.4(11.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	110	12	162	0.77	78%	-0.32	78.1	6.15%	0	2	75	0
13	Apr_24_2008	12.31	14	15.52	17.36	17.17	17.07	17.42(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	54	-70	14	175	0.41	77%	-0.49	87.5	6.04%	0	1.5	77	0
14	Apr_23_2008	12.37	13.69	15.04	16.61	17.45	17.06	17.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	50	-0	15	155	0.62	77%	-0.4	84.9	6.07%	0	1.6	75	0
15	Apr_22_2008	12.42	13.38	14.69	15.99	16.63	17.28	17.08(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	390	16	148	0.62	77%	-0.4	82.8	6.1%	0	1.9	74	0

16	Apr_21_2008	12.47	13.07	14.39	15.25	15.75	17.83	17.18(-4.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	65	1020	37	147	0.61	77%	-0.48	80.7	6.1%	0	2.2	73	0
17	Apr_18_2008	12.53	12.72	13.94	14.51	14.73	15.99	18.03(31.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	71	640	50	133	2.02	73%	-0.4	81.6	6.11%	0	3.2	77	0
18	Apr_17_2008	12.58	12.3	13.26	13.47	13.48	13.66	13.67(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	100	11	93	0.15	66%	-0.94	87	4.76%	0	1.1	66	0
19	Apr_16_2008	12.7	12.1	13.06	13.24	13.2	13.46	13.97(4.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	130	4	83	0.17	66%	-0.63	79.6	4.79%	0	1.4	71	0
20	Apr_15_2008	12.78	11.91	12.84	13.2	13.06	13.3	13.39(-0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	100	-3	87	0.13	61%	-0.78	83.5	4.77%	0	1.1	69	0

21	Apr_14_2008	12.88	11.71	12.69	13.39	13.21	12.93	13.47(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-190	4	109	0.25	65%	-0.77	87.8	4.95%	0	1.3	71	0
22	Apr_11_2008	12.98	11.5	12.51	13.28	13.28	12.83	12.85(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	30	-240	2	113	0.38	61%	0	82.9	5.19%	0	1	73	0
23	Apr_10_2008	12.98	11.33	12.39	13.01	13.21	13.49	12.51(-9.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	33	190	5	115	0.54	63%	-0.99	77.3	5.3%	0	0.8	74	0
24	Apr_9_2008	13.11	11.15	12.27	12.82	12.84	13.73	13.79(-3.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	490	24	134	0.33	67%	-0.83	67.5	5.22%	0	1.8	88	0
25	Apr_8_2008	13.22	10.92	12	12.41	12.26	12.93	14.31(10.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	53	350	28	126	0.56	63%		61.4	5.21%	0	2.5	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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