Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ OSTK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 14, 2008

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $13.4700 (4.82%) ($12.8400 - $13.6700) on Mon. Apr. 14, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.95% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $13.4700(4.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 8.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(18%)    VWO(18%)    IWM(17%)    SPY(17%)    FXI(16%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.475% (StdDev 4.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $13.39(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.69(6.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11.71(15.03%)
To recent high   -5.9%
To recent low   55%
Market Cap   $543m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 11.53% (three month std-dev: 4.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2008	12.88	11.71	12.69	13.39	13.21	12.93	13.47(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-190	4	109	0.25	65%	-0.77	87.8	4.95%	0	1.3	71	0
2	Apr_11_2008	12.98	11.5	12.51	13.28	13.28	12.83	12.85(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	30	-240	2	113	0.38	61%	0	82.9	5.19%	0	1	73	0
3	Apr_10_2008	12.98	11.33	12.39	13.01	13.21	13.49	12.51(-9.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	33	190	5	115	0.54	63%	-0.99	77.3	5.3%	0	0.8	74	0
4	Apr_9_2008	13.11	11.15	12.27	12.82	12.84	13.73	13.79(-3.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	490	24	134	0.33	67%	-0.83	67.5	5.22%	0	1.8	88	0
5	Apr_8_2008	13.22	10.92	12	12.41	12.26	12.93	14.31(10.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	53	350	28	126	0.56	63%	-0.9	61.4	5.21%	0	2.5	82	0

6	Apr_7_2008	13.34	10.63	11.66	11.91	11.84	11.95	12.96(13.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	39	50	13	115	0.31	61%	-1.11	51.9	5.16%	0	2	83	0
7	Apr_4_2008	13.49	10.46	11.4	11.65	11.76	11.6	11.46(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-70	-3	114	0.12	54%	-1.24	49.1	4.9%	0	0.9	78	0
8	Apr_3_2008	13.66	10.34	11.26	11.69	11.77	11.74	11.57(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	0	1	128	0.14	49%	-1.37	44.7	4.97%	0	1.1	77	0
9	Apr_2_2008	13.85	10.25	11.07	11.62	11.74	11.92	11.73(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	140	6	132	0.18	49%	-1.42	41.2	5.2%	0	1.4	82	0
10	Apr_1_2008	14.05	10.15	10.91	11.51	11.59	11.8	11.85(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	150	9	140	0.18	49%	-1.33	37	5.21%	0	1.8	74	0

11	Mar_31_2008	14.24	10.05	10.66	11.35	11.34	11.56	11.63(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	130	11	142	0.21	49%	-1.45	33.5	5.25%	0	1.8	77	0
12	Mar_28_2008	14.45	9.96	10.42	11.11	11.15	11.38	11.65(3.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	160	16	127	0.54	49%	-1.37	23.5	5.26%	0	2.1	64	0
13	Mar_27_2008	14.65	9.88	10.19	10.77	10.86	11.12	11.22(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	190	15	111	0.17	49%	-1.55	10.2	5.24%	0	1.9	66	0
14	Mar_26_2008	14.88	9.83	9.95	10.44	10.71	10.92	11.18(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	210	13	79	0.12	49%	-1.65	-8.3	5.25%	0	2	58	0
15	Mar_25_2008	15.13	9.8	9.76	10.22	10.42	10.6	11.09(6.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	180	17	61	0.34	49%	-1.63	-20.7	5.26%	0	2.1	57	0

16	Mar_24_2008	15.38	9.76	9.51	9.86	10.09	10.5	10.4(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	350	13	20	0.26	47%	-3.03	-42.8	5.23%	0	1.1	52	0
17	Mar_20_2008	15.86	9.77	9.43	9.63	9.8	10.24	9.98(4.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	370	12	1	0.47	50%	-1.8	-50.2	5.16%	0	0.3	50	0
18	Mar_19_2008	16.15	9.81	9.33	9.51	9.48	9.69	9.54(-5.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	150	10	-22	0.21	50%	-1.7	-52.8	5.26%	0	-0.4	44	0
19	Mar_18_2008	16.43	9.89	9.35	9.38	9.26	9.36	10.11(9.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	40	8	-40	0.28	52%	-1.68	-53.3	5.24%	0	0.3	46	0
20	Mar_17_2008	16.71	9.93	9.31	9.22	9.15	9.27	9.26(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	70	6	-61	0.16	47%	-1.59	-58.1	5.12%	0	-0.9	37	0

21	Mar_14_2008	16.98	10.01	9.39	9.11	9.14	9.15	9.27(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	20	-2	-76	0.24	45%	-1.45	-57.7	5.17%	0	-1	40	0
22	Mar_13_2008	17.23	10.1	9.46	9.19	9.09	9.04	9.36(5.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-70	1	-78	0.29	45%	-1.49	-49.1	5.21%	0	-1	38	0
23	Mar_12_2008	17.49	10.19	9.55	9.13	9.17	9.12	8.88(-5.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-30	-8	-92	0.22	43%	-1.52	-42.4	5.16%	0	-1.7	32	0
24	Mar_11_2008	17.76	10.29	9.72	9.32	9.23	9.13	9.35(7.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-100	-6	-88	0.21	41%	-1.39	-33.7	5.13%	0	-1.3	32	0
25	Mar_10_2008	18.01	10.38	9.85	9.42	9.42	9.21	8.69(-10.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-160	-14	-90	0.43	33%		-25.1	5.06%	0	-2.4	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.