Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 7, 2008

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $12.9600 (13.09%) ($11.5700 - $13.2800) on Mon. Apr. 7, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.16% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $12.9600(13.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 9.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(18%)    VWO(18%)    IWM(17%)    SPY(17%)    FXI(16%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.58% (StdDev 5.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 12%

5 Day Moving Average   $11.91(8.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11.66(11.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $10.63(21.92%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   49.1%
Market Cap   $523m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 11.19% (three month std-dev: 5.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.91%(50%) Average negative next day return: -8.48%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.64%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -5.83%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 21.11%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.44%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2008	13.34	10.63	11.66	11.91	11.84	11.95	12.96(13.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	39	50	13	115	0.31	61%	-1.11	51.9	5.16%	0	2	83	0
2	Apr_4_2008	13.49	10.46	11.4	11.65	11.76	11.6	11.46(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-70	-3	114	0.12	54%	-1.24	49.1	4.9%	0	0.9	78	0
3	Apr_3_2008	13.66	10.34	11.26	11.69	11.77	11.74	11.57(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	0	1	128	0.14	49%	-1.37	44.7	4.97%	0	1.1	77	0
4	Apr_2_2008	13.85	10.25	11.07	11.62	11.74	11.92	11.73(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	140	6	132	0.18	49%	-1.42	41.2	5.2%	0	1.4	82	0
5	Apr_1_2008	14.05	10.15	10.91	11.51	11.59	11.8	11.85(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	150	9	140	0.18	49%	-1.33	37	5.21%	0	1.8	74	0

6	Mar_31_2008	14.24	10.05	10.66	11.35	11.34	11.56	11.63(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	130	11	142	0.21	49%	-1.45	33.5	5.25%	0	1.8	77	0
7	Mar_28_2008	14.45	9.96	10.42	11.11	11.15	11.38	11.65(3.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	160	16	127	0.54	49%	-1.37	23.5	5.26%	0	2.1	64	0
8	Mar_27_2008	14.65	9.88	10.19	10.77	10.86	11.12	11.22(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	190	15	111	0.17	49%	-1.55	10.2	5.24%	0	1.9	66	0
9	Mar_26_2008	14.88	9.83	9.95	10.44	10.71	10.92	11.18(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	210	13	79	0.12	49%	-1.65	-8.3	5.25%	0	2	58	0
10	Mar_25_2008	15.13	9.8	9.76	10.22	10.42	10.6	11.09(6.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	180	17	61	0.34	49%	-1.63	-20.7	5.26%	0	2.1	57	0

11	Mar_24_2008	15.38	9.76	9.51	9.86	10.09	10.5	10.4(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	350	13	20	0.26	47%	-3.03	-42.8	5.23%	0	1.1	52	0
12	Mar_20_2008	15.86	9.77	9.43	9.63	9.8	10.24	9.98(4.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	370	12	1	0.47	50%	-1.8	-50.2	5.16%	0	0.3	50	0
13	Mar_19_2008	16.15	9.81	9.33	9.51	9.48	9.69	9.54(-5.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	150	10	-22	0.21	50%	-1.7	-52.8	5.26%	0	-0.4	44	0
14	Mar_18_2008	16.43	9.89	9.35	9.38	9.26	9.36	10.11(9.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	40	8	-40	0.28	52%	-1.68	-53.3	5.24%	0	0.3	46	0
15	Mar_17_2008	16.71	9.93	9.31	9.22	9.15	9.27	9.26(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	70	6	-61	0.16	47%	-1.59	-58.1	5.12%	0	-0.9	37	0

16	Mar_14_2008	16.98	10.01	9.39	9.11	9.14	9.15	9.27(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	20	-2	-76	0.24	45%	-1.45	-57.7	5.17%	0	-1	40	0
17	Mar_13_2008	17.23	10.1	9.46	9.19	9.09	9.04	9.36(5.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-70	1	-78	0.29	45%	-1.49	-49.1	5.21%	0	-1	38	0
18	Mar_12_2008	17.49	10.19	9.55	9.13	9.17	9.12	8.88(-5.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-30	-8	-92	0.22	43%	-1.52	-42.4	5.16%	0	-1.7	32	0
19	Mar_11_2008	17.76	10.29	9.72	9.32	9.23	9.13	9.35(7.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-100	-6	-88	0.21	41%	-1.39	-33.7	5.13%	0	-1.3	32	0
20	Mar_10_2008	18.01	10.38	9.85	9.42	9.42	9.21	8.69(-10.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-160	-14	-90	0.43	33%	-1.32	-25.1	5.06%	0	-2.4	26	0

21	Mar_7_2008	18.25	10.46	10.04	9.7	9.62	9.34	9.67(6.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-21	-230	-6	-67	0.29	35%	-1.08	-22.8	5.57%	0	-1.3	36	0
22	Mar_6_2008	18.45	10.48	10.15	9.77	9.79	9.63	9.06(-7.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-27	-110	-13	-70	0.36	32%	-1.13	-22.1	5.47%	0	-2.4	23	0
23	Mar_5_2008	18.66	10.53	10.34	10.03	9.98	9.89	9.81(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-80	-7	-58	0.18	36%	-1.06	-18.5	5.42%	0	-1.4	26	0
24	Mar_4_2008	18.86	10.54	10.48	10.18	10.13	9.95	9.89(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-140	-7	-46	0.15	36%	-1.31	-16.5	5.47%	0	-1.3	39	0
25	Mar_3_2008	19.11	10.57	10.6	10.34	10.25	10.07	10.09(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-150	-6	-38	0.25	36%		-9.3	5.47%	0	-1	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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