Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 20, 2007

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $24.6200 (-4.57%) ($23.9200 - $26.6900) on Tue. Nov. 20, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.1% (three month average)
RSI   10
Latest Price   $24.6200(-4.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -4.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -13.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    VWO(19%)    IWM(18%)    SPY(18%)    FXI(17%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-3%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.05% (StdDev 4.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $7.42(-69.86%)
Resistance Level   $32.1
5 Day Moving Average   $26.9(-8.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.88(-14.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.1(-23.3%)
To recent high   -35.5%
To recent low   23%
Market Cap   $993m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 11.78% (three month std-dev: 4.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2007	25.3	32.1	28.88	26.9	26.84	25.85	24.62(-4.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-87	-260	-44	-217	0.46	61%	0.28	-34.8	4.1%	0	-2	10	0
2	Nov_19_2007	25.23	32.63	29.93	28.22	28.15	26.83	25.8(-5.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-73	-340	-34	-189	0.28	62%	0.32	-23.1	4.05%	0	-2	20	0
3	Nov_16_2007	25.15	33.07	30.86	29.01	29.19	27.84	27.26(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-75	-310	-39	-183	0.34	65%	0.4	-18.2	3.99%	0	-1.9	21	0
4	Nov_15_2007	25.05	33.32	31.7	29.79	29.95	29.46	27.28(-7.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-63	-100	-31	-158	0.59	63%	0.36	-16.1	3.99%	0	-2.1	32	0
5	Nov_14_2007	24.96	33.46	32.58	30.59	30.57	30.55	29.56(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-10	-10	-127	0.29	64%	0.44	-15.9	3.92%	0	-1.4	40	0

6	Nov_13_2007	24.85	33.48	33.43	31.16	30.86	30.45	31.2(4.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-41	-120	-20	-103	0.26	68%	0.53	-18	3.89%	0	-0.8	44	0
7	Nov_12_2007	24.72	33.43	33.96	31.96	31.52	30.59	29.76(-4.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	-250	-35	-84	0.28	67%	0.49	-13.8	3.89%	0	-1.4	37	0
8	Nov_9_2007	24.6	33.63	34.71	33.01	32.76	31.26	31.16(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-340	-38	-49	0.36	68%	0.53	0	3.88%	0	-1	44	0
9	Nov_8_2007	24.47	33.79	35.11	33.93	33.85	32.45	31.27(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-38	-300	-45	-17	0.68	66%	0.53	15.2	3.88%	0	-1	55	0
10	Nov_7_2007	24.34	33.9	35.43	34.85	34.88	34.25	32.4(-8.01%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-20	-120	-36	30	0.58	67%	0.58	31	3.9%	0	-0.6	66	0

11	Nov_6_2007	24.2	33.97	35.63	36.01	35.78	35.24	35.22(0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-120	-12	96	0.2	71%	0.71	48.4	3.76%	0	0.5	75	0
12	Nov_5_2007	24.03	33.81	35.58	36.26	36.37	35.51	35(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-160	-20	125	0.23	71%	0.67	49.9	3.78%	0	0.5	70	0
13	Nov_2_2007	23.87	33.63	35.49	36.68	36.74	36.32	35.76(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	30	-80	-10	149	0.31	72%	0.72	55.7	3.77%	0	0.9	57	0
14	Nov_1_2007	23.7	33.41	35.08	36.47	36.83	37.23	35.86(-6.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	45	110	12	143	0.78	72%	0.77	60.4	3.78%	0	1	55	0
15	Oct_31_2007	23.52	33.16	34.44	36.06	36.22	37.17	38.2(4.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	200	30	127	0.47	76%	0.9	64.3	3.67%	0	2.1	62	0

16	Oct_30_2007	23.31	32.83	33.51	35.19	35.37	36.44	36.49(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	230	27	80	0.26	75%	0.78	71.9	3.69%	0	1.7	57	0
17	Oct_29_2007	23.13	32.61	32.83	34.82	34.66	35.27	37.1(6.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	110	26	62	0.64	75%	0.87	85.8	3.68%	0	2.2	64	0
18	Oct_26_2007	22.93	32.29	32.38	34.17	34.28	34.31	34.71(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	18	51	0.19	72%	0.75	91.1	3.62%	0	1.3	61	0
19	Oct_25_2007	22.76	31.97	32.28	33.49	33.86	34.05	33.82(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	70	18	43	0.37	72%	0.71	78.6	3.66%	0	0.9	58	0
20	Oct_24_2007	22.6	31.67	32.18	32.51	33.31	34.24	33.83(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	270	35	33	0.49	70%	0.71	64.2	3.66%	0	1	60	0

21	Oct_23_2007	22.44	31.36	32.14	31.53	32.01	33.68	34.62(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	39	410	46	17	0.6	70%	0.76	50.9	3.68%	0	1.4	58	0
22	Oct_22_2007	22.27	30.98	31.83	30.54	30.76	32.37	33.89(8.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	21	390	34	-19	0.91	70%	0.68	42.6	3.7%	0	1.2	54	0
23	Oct_19_2007	22.12	30.63	31.55	30.4	30.21	30.34	31.28(8.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	10	3	-36	2	69%	0.64	47.9	3.59%	0	0.3	53	0
24	Oct_18_2007	21.98	30.43	31.58	30.97	30.66	29.15	28.95(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-370	-39	-21	0.7	67%	0.5	58.7	3.48%	0	-0.6	58	0
25	Oct_17_2007	21.87	30.32	31.82	31.81	31.93	30.08	28.89(-2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-38	-390	-56	15	0.66	67%		72.2	3.48%	0	-0.5	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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