Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 30, 2007

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $36.4900 (-1.64%) ($36.3900 - $37.6600) on Tue. Oct. 30, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.69% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $36.4900(-1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.845% (StdDev 3.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.19(3.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.51(8.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.83(11.15%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   112.3%
Market Cap   $1.472b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 6.52% (three month std-dev: 3.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.57%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.81%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -7.7%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 11.96%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.54%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_30_2007	23.31	32.83	33.51	35.19	35.37	36.44	36.49(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	230	27	80	0.26	75%	0.78	71.9	3.69%	0	1.7	57	0
2	Oct_29_2007	23.13	32.61	32.83	34.82	34.66	35.27	37.1(6.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	110	26	62	0.64	75%	0.87	85.8	3.68%	0	2.2	64	0
3	Oct_26_2007	22.93	32.29	32.38	34.17	34.28	34.31	34.71(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	18	51	0.19	72%	0.75	91.1	3.62%	0	1.3	61	0
4	Oct_25_2007	22.76	31.97	32.28	33.49	33.86	34.05	33.82(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	70	18	43	0.37	72%	0.71	78.6	3.66%	0	0.9	58	0
5	Oct_24_2007	22.6	31.67	32.18	32.51	33.31	34.24	33.83(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	270	35	33	0.49	70%	0.71	64.2	3.66%	0	1	60	0

6	Oct_23_2007	22.44	31.36	32.14	31.53	32.01	33.68	34.62(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	39	410	46	17	0.6	70%	0.76	50.9	3.68%	0	1.4	58	0
7	Oct_22_2007	22.27	30.98	31.83	30.54	30.76	32.37	33.89(8.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	21	390	34	-19	0.91	70%	0.68	42.6	3.7%	0	1.2	54	0
8	Oct_19_2007	22.12	30.63	31.55	30.4	30.21	30.34	31.28(8.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	10	3	-36	2	69%	0.64	47.9	3.59%	0	0.3	53	0
9	Oct_18_2007	21.98	30.43	31.58	30.97	30.66	29.15	28.95(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-370	-39	-21	0.7	67%	0.5	58.7	3.48%	0	-0.6	58	0
10	Oct_17_2007	21.87	30.32	31.82	31.81	31.93	30.08	28.89(-2.69%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-38	-390	-56	15	0.66	67%	0.51	72.2	3.48%	0	-0.5	60	0

11	Oct_16_2007	21.76	30.23	32.16	32.78	32.95	32.17	29.69(-10.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-7	-150	-35	79	1.04	67%	0.37	84.9	3.46%	0	-0.2	63	0
12	Oct_15_2007	21.68	30.02	32.47	33.2	33.47	33.79	33.21(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	90	14	158	0.55	73%	0.74	85.5	3.16%	0	1	77	0
13	Oct_12_2007	21.52	29.55	32.26	32.82	32.92	33.72	34.09(2.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	180	25	181	0.36	73%	0.75	81.5	3.13%	0	1.4	82	0
14	Oct_11_2007	21.36	29.03	31.68	32.31	32.32	33.15	33.19(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	180	31	177	0.63	73%	0.71	79.6	3.13%	0	1.3	78	0
15	Oct_10_2007	21.21	28.55	31.14	31.86	31.73	32.12	33.72(6.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	59	70	21	172	0.39	71%	0.76	76.7	3.12%	0	1.6	83	0

16	Oct_9_2007	21.05	28.01	30.52	31.5	31.38	31.5	31.78(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	39	20	-3	163	0.18	71%	0.72	77.5	3.1%	0	1.2	76	0
17	Oct_8_2007	20.9	27.56	30.06	31.66	31.59	31.34	31.34(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	-60	1	188	0.2	71%	0.63	78.6	3.18%	0	1.2	80	0
18	Oct_5_2007	20.77	27.11	29.62	31.61	31.74	31.26	31.52(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	62	-90	9	219	0.34	69%	0.68	79.8	3.18%	0	1.3	84	0
19	Oct_4_2007	20.63	26.65	29.18	30.93	31.33	31.84	30.92(-3.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	68	150	16	224	0.62	69%	0.68	76.5	3.21%	0	1.3	82	0
20	Oct_3_2007	20.49	26.22	28.7	30.25	30.47	32.22	31.95(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	99	420	53	237	0.59	72%	0.74	72.7	3.19%	0	1.8	88	0

21	Oct_2_2007	20.34	25.71	28.13	29.35	29.24	30.83	32.59(4.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	110	370	68	235	1.15	72%	0.79	71.2	3.23%	0	2.4	92	0
22	Oct_1_2007	20.18	25.2	27.35	28.25	28.03	28.72	31.05(10.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	83	150	43	204	0.57	71%	0.7	72.9	3.19%	0	2.4	91	0
23	Sep_28_2007	20.04	24.72	26.58	27.4	27.33	27.64	28.12(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	70	13	183	0.35	68%	0.6	71	2.98%	0	1.6	89	0
24	Sep_27_2007	19.92	24.39	26.14	27.19	27.08	27.34	27.56(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	60	15	192	0.31	68%	0.5	71.3	2.98%	0	1.5	89	0
25	Sep_26_2007	19.82	24.11	25.74	26.88	26.89	27.03	27.43(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	40	11	190	0.31	68%		70.3	2.98%	0	1.7	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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