Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 19, 2007

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $31.2800 (8.05%) ($29.5300 - $33.4900) on Fri. Oct. 19, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.59% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $31.2800(8.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    VWO(19%)    IWM(18%)    SPY(18%)    FXI(17%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.795% (StdDev 3.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.4(2.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.55(-0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.63(2.12%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   82%
Market Cap   $1.262b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 7.64% (three month std-dev: 3.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2007	22.12	30.63	31.55	30.4	30.21	30.34	31.28(8.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	10	3	-36	2	69%	0.64	47.9	3.59%	0	0.3	53	0
2	Oct_18_2007	21.98	30.43	31.58	30.97	30.66	29.15	28.95(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-370	-39	-21	0.7	67%	0.5	58.7	3.48%	0	-0.6	58	0
3	Oct_17_2007	21.87	30.32	31.82	31.81	31.93	30.08	28.89(-2.69%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-38	-390	-56	15	0.66	67%	0.51	72.2	3.48%	0	-0.5	60	0
4	Oct_16_2007	21.76	30.23	32.16	32.78	32.95	32.17	29.69(-10.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-7	-150	-35	79	1.04	67%	0.37	84.9	3.46%	0	-0.2	63	0
5	Oct_15_2007	21.68	30.02	32.47	33.2	33.47	33.79	33.21(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	90	14	158	0.55	73%	0.74	85.5	3.16%	0	1	77	0

6	Oct_12_2007	21.52	29.55	32.26	32.82	32.92	33.72	34.09(2.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	180	25	181	0.36	73%	0.75	81.5	3.13%	0	1.4	82	0
7	Oct_11_2007	21.36	29.03	31.68	32.31	32.32	33.15	33.19(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	180	31	177	0.63	73%	0.71	79.6	3.13%	0	1.3	78	0
8	Oct_10_2007	21.21	28.55	31.14	31.86	31.73	32.12	33.72(6.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	59	70	21	172	0.39	71%	0.76	76.7	3.12%	0	1.6	83	0
9	Oct_9_2007	21.05	28.01	30.52	31.5	31.38	31.5	31.78(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	39	20	-3	163	0.18	71%	0.72	77.5	3.1%	0	1.2	76	0
10	Oct_8_2007	20.9	27.56	30.06	31.66	31.59	31.34	31.34(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	-60	1	188	0.2	71%	0.63	78.6	3.18%	0	1.2	80	0

11	Oct_5_2007	20.77	27.11	29.62	31.61	31.74	31.26	31.52(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	62	-90	9	219	0.34	69%	0.68	79.8	3.18%	0	1.3	84	0
12	Oct_4_2007	20.63	26.65	29.18	30.93	31.33	31.84	30.92(-3.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	68	150	16	224	0.62	69%	0.68	76.5	3.21%	0	1.3	82	0
13	Oct_3_2007	20.49	26.22	28.7	30.25	30.47	32.22	31.95(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	99	420	53	237	0.59	72%	0.74	72.7	3.19%	0	1.8	88	0
14	Oct_2_2007	20.34	25.71	28.13	29.35	29.24	30.83	32.59(4.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	110	370	68	235	1.15	72%	0.79	71.2	3.23%	0	2.4	92	0
15	Oct_1_2007	20.18	25.2	27.35	28.25	28.03	28.72	31.05(10.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	83	150	43	204	0.57	71%	0.7	72.9	3.19%	0	2.4	91	0

16	Sep_28_2007	20.04	24.72	26.58	27.4	27.33	27.64	28.12(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	70	13	183	0.35	68%	0.6	71	2.98%	0	1.6	89	0
17	Sep_27_2007	19.92	24.39	26.14	27.19	27.08	27.34	27.56(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	60	15	192	0.31	68%	0.5	71.3	2.98%	0	1.5	89	0
18	Sep_26_2007	19.82	24.11	25.74	26.88	26.89	27.03	27.43(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	40	11	190	0.31	68%	0.56	70.3	2.98%	0	1.7	84	0
19	Sep_25_2007	19.71	23.8	25.31	26.7	26.63	26.82	27.1(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	60	40	14	197	0.24	68%	0.46	72.3	3%	0	1.7	85	0
20	Sep_24_2007	19.62	23.52	24.87	26.28	26.38	26.75	26.77(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	110	28	186	0.3	68%	0.51	75.7	3%	0	1.8	73	0

21	Sep_21_2007	19.52	23.27	24.43	25.62	25.79	26.45	27.08(3.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	67	200	34	166	0.33	68%	0.46	77.6	3%	0	2.3	80	0
22	Sep_20_2007	19.43	22.98	23.93	24.93	25	26	26.04(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	290	36	142	0.21	67%	0.47	83.3	2.98%	0	2.2	77	0
23	Sep_19_2007	19.34	22.78	23.56	24.41	24.3	25.14	26.53(6.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	66	230	45	128	0.46	67%	0.47	96.5	2.96%	0	3	77	0
24	Sep_18_2007	19.25	22.48	23.1	23.72	23.73	24	24.96(6.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	44	80	26	97	0.4	65%	0.42	109.7	2.88%	0	2.7	76	0
25	Sep_17_2007	19.17	22.23	22.87	23.28	23.38	23.46	23.51(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	40	10	82	0.12	62%		96.5	2.79%	0	1.5	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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