Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ OSTK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 10, 2007

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $33.7200 (6.1%) ($31.6300 - $33.7700) on Wed. Oct. 10, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.12% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $33.7200(6.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 8.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    SPY(18%)    FXI(17%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.56% (StdDev 3.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.86(5.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.14(8.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.55(18.11%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   96.2%
Market Cap   $1.36b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 11.56% (three month std-dev: 3.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.6%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.8%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.7%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_10_2007	21.21	28.55	31.14	31.86	31.73	32.12	33.72(6.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	59	70	21	172	0.39	71%	0.76	76.7	3.12%	0	1.6	83	NAN
2	Oct_9_2007	21.05	28.01	30.52	31.5	31.38	31.5	31.78(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	39	20	-3	163	0.18	71%	0.72	77.5	3.1%	0	1.2	76	NAN
3	Oct_8_2007	20.9	27.56	30.06	31.66	31.59	31.34	31.34(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	-60	1	188	0.2	71%	0.63	78.6	3.18%	0	1.2	80	NAN
4	Oct_5_2007	20.77	27.11	29.62	31.61	31.74	31.26	31.52(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	62	-90	9	219	0.34	69%	0.68	79.8	3.18%	0	1.3	84	NAN
5	Oct_4_2007	20.63	26.65	29.18	30.93	31.33	31.84	30.92(-3.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	68	150	16	224	0.62	69%	0.68	76.5	3.21%	0	1.3	82	NAN

6	Oct_3_2007	20.49	26.22	28.7	30.25	30.47	32.22	31.95(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	99	420	53	237	0.59	72%	0.74	72.7	3.19%	0	1.8	88	NAN
7	Oct_2_2007	20.34	25.71	28.13	29.35	29.24	30.83	32.59(4.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	110	370	68	235	1.15	72%	0.79	71.2	3.23%	0	2.4	92	NAN
8	Oct_1_2007	20.18	25.2	27.35	28.25	28.03	28.72	31.05(10.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	83	150	43	204	0.57	71%	0.7	72.9	3.19%	0	2.4	91	NAN
9	Sep_28_2007	20.04	24.72	26.58	27.4	27.33	27.64	28.12(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	70	13	183	0.35	68%	0.6	71	2.98%	0	1.6	89	NAN
10	Sep_27_2007	19.92	24.39	26.14	27.19	27.08	27.34	27.56(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	60	15	192	0.31	68%	0.5	71.3	2.98%	0	1.5	89	NAN

11	Sep_26_2007	19.82	24.11	25.74	26.88	26.89	27.03	27.43(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	40	11	190	0.31	68%	0.56	70.3	2.98%	0	1.7	84	NAN
12	Sep_25_2007	19.71	23.8	25.31	26.7	26.63	26.82	27.1(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	60	40	14	197	0.24	68%	0.46	72.3	3%	0	1.7	85	NAN
13	Sep_24_2007	19.62	23.52	24.87	26.28	26.38	26.75	26.77(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	110	28	186	0.3	68%	0.51	75.7	3%	0	1.8	73	NAN
14	Sep_21_2007	19.52	23.27	24.43	25.62	25.79	26.45	27.08(3.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	67	200	34	166	0.33	68%	0.46	77.6	3%	0	2.3	80	NAN
15	Sep_20_2007	19.43	22.98	23.93	24.93	25	26	26.04(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	290	36	142	0.21	67%	0.47	83.3	2.98%	0	2.2	77	NAN

16	Sep_19_2007	19.34	22.78	23.56	24.41	24.3	25.14	26.53(6.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	66	230	45	128	0.46	67%	0.47	96.5	2.96%	0	3	77	NAN
17	Sep_18_2007	19.25	22.48	23.1	23.72	23.73	24	24.96(6.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	44	80	26	97	0.4	65%	0.42	109.7	2.88%	0	2.7	76	NAN
18	Sep_17_2007	19.17	22.23	22.87	23.28	23.38	23.46	23.51(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	40	10	82	0.12	62%	0.26	96.5	2.79%	0	1.5	65	NAN
19	Sep_14_2007	19.12	22.06	22.69	23.04	23.11	23.47	23.6(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	120	15	70	0.2	63%	0.21	82.4	2.79%	0	1.6	62	NAN
20	Sep_13_2007	19.08	21.86	22.5	22.76	22.8	23.29	23.47(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	160	19	58	0.3	63%	0.37	63.6	2.81%	0	1.6	64	NAN

21	Sep_12_2007	19.01	21.65	22.35	22.57	22.47	22.75	23.08(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	70	16	47	0.63	63%	0.32	50.5	2.81%	0	1.3	56	NAN
22	Sep_11_2007	18.95	21.5	22.17	22.38	22.29	22.31	22.75(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10	1	34	0.19	63%	0.32	42.2	2.81%	0	1.2	64	NAN
23	Sep_10_2007	18.89	21.41	22.07	22.41	22.29	22.19	22.29(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-40	3	54	0.14	63%	0.27	48	2.81%	0	0.9	67	NAN
24	Sep_7_2007	18.84	21.3	22.04	22.29	22.27	22.26	22.23(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10	3	67	0.1	62%	0.32	46	2.81%	0	0.9	67	NAN
25	Sep_6_2007	18.78	21.23	21.98	22.19	22.17	22.35	22.5(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	50	5	83	0.16	62%		51.8	2.84%	0	1.2	71	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.