Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 9, 2007

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $31.7800 (1.4%) ($30.7400 - $32.2100) on Tue. Oct. 9, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.1% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $31.7800(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 8.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    SPY(18%)    FXI(17%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.55% (StdDev 3.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.5(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.52(4.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.01(13.46%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   84.9%
Market Cap   $1.282b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 11.53% (three month std-dev: 3.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.91%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.91%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.67%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2007	21.05	28.01	30.52	31.5	31.38	31.5	31.78(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	39	20	-3	163	0.18	71%	0.72	77.5	3.1%	0	1.2	76	0
2	Oct_8_2007	20.9	27.56	30.06	31.66	31.59	31.34	31.34(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	-60	1	188	0.2	71%	0.63	78.6	3.18%	0	1.2	80	0
3	Oct_5_2007	20.77	27.11	29.62	31.61	31.74	31.26	31.52(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	62	-90	9	219	0.34	69%	0.68	79.8	3.18%	0	1.3	84	0
4	Oct_4_2007	20.63	26.65	29.18	30.93	31.33	31.84	30.92(-3.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	68	150	16	224	0.62	69%	0.68	76.5	3.21%	0	1.3	82	0
5	Oct_3_2007	20.49	26.22	28.7	30.25	30.47	32.22	31.95(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	99	420	53	237	0.59	72%	0.74	72.7	3.19%	0	1.8	88	0

6	Oct_2_2007	20.34	25.71	28.13	29.35	29.24	30.83	32.59(4.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	110	370	68	235	1.15	72%	0.79	71.2	3.23%	0	2.4	92	0
7	Oct_1_2007	20.18	25.2	27.35	28.25	28.03	28.72	31.05(10.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	83	150	43	204	0.57	71%	0.7	72.9	3.19%	0	2.4	91	0
8	Sep_28_2007	20.04	24.72	26.58	27.4	27.33	27.64	28.12(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	70	13	183	0.35	68%	0.6	71	2.98%	0	1.6	89	0
9	Sep_27_2007	19.92	24.39	26.14	27.19	27.08	27.34	27.56(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	60	15	192	0.31	68%	0.5	71.3	2.98%	0	1.5	89	0
10	Sep_26_2007	19.82	24.11	25.74	26.88	26.89	27.03	27.43(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	40	11	190	0.31	68%	0.56	70.3	2.98%	0	1.7	84	0

11	Sep_25_2007	19.71	23.8	25.31	26.7	26.63	26.82	27.1(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	60	40	14	197	0.24	68%	0.46	72.3	3%	0	1.7	85	0
12	Sep_24_2007	19.62	23.52	24.87	26.28	26.38	26.75	26.77(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	110	28	186	0.3	68%	0.51	75.7	3%	0	1.8	73	0
13	Sep_21_2007	19.52	23.27	24.43	25.62	25.79	26.45	27.08(3.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	67	200	34	166	0.33	68%	0.46	77.6	3%	0	2.3	80	0
14	Sep_20_2007	19.43	22.98	23.93	24.93	25	26	26.04(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	290	36	142	0.21	67%	0.47	83.3	2.98%	0	2.2	77	0
15	Sep_19_2007	19.34	22.78	23.56	24.41	24.3	25.14	26.53(6.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	66	230	45	128	0.46	67%	0.47	96.5	2.96%	0	3	77	0

16	Sep_18_2007	19.25	22.48	23.1	23.72	23.73	24	24.96(6.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	44	80	26	97	0.4	65%	0.42	109.7	2.88%	0	2.7	76	0
17	Sep_17_2007	19.17	22.23	22.87	23.28	23.38	23.46	23.51(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	40	10	82	0.12	62%	0.26	96.5	2.79%	0	1.5	65	0
18	Sep_14_2007	19.12	22.06	22.69	23.04	23.11	23.47	23.6(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	120	15	70	0.2	63%	0.21	82.4	2.79%	0	1.6	62	0
19	Sep_13_2007	19.08	21.86	22.5	22.76	22.8	23.29	23.47(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	160	19	58	0.3	63%	0.37	63.6	2.81%	0	1.6	64	0
20	Sep_12_2007	19.01	21.65	22.35	22.57	22.47	22.75	23.08(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	70	16	47	0.63	63%	0.32	50.5	2.81%	0	1.3	56	0

21	Sep_11_2007	18.95	21.5	22.17	22.38	22.29	22.31	22.75(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10	1	34	0.19	63%	0.32	42.2	2.81%	0	1.2	64	0
22	Sep_10_2007	18.89	21.41	22.07	22.41	22.29	22.19	22.29(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-40	3	54	0.14	63%	0.27	48	2.81%	0	0.9	67	0
23	Sep_7_2007	18.84	21.3	22.04	22.29	22.27	22.26	22.23(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10	3	67	0.1	62%	0.32	46	2.81%	0	0.9	67	0
24	Sep_6_2007	18.78	21.23	21.98	22.19	22.17	22.35	22.5(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	50	5	83	0.16	62%	0.32	51.8	2.84%	0	1.2	71	0
25	Sep_5_2007	18.72	21.11	21.94	22.09	22.05	22.29	22.11(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	70	13	111	0.17	62%		59.3	2.83%	0	1	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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