Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 20, 2007

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $26.0400 (-1.85%) ($25.5400 - $26.6300) on Thu. Sep. 20, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.98% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $26.0400(-1.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.49% (StdDev 2.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.93(4.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.93(8.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.98(13.32%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   51.5%
Market Cap   $1.05b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 6.18% (three month std-dev: 2.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.33%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.11%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.15%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2007	19.43	22.98	23.93	24.93	25	26	26.04(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	290	36	142	0.21	67%	0.47	83.3	2.98%	0	2.2	77	0
2	Sep_19_2007	19.34	22.78	23.56	24.41	24.3	25.14	26.53(6.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	66	230	45	128	0.46	67%	0.47	96.5	2.96%	0	3	77	0
3	Sep_18_2007	19.25	22.48	23.1	23.72	23.73	24	24.96(6.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	44	80	26	97	0.4	65%	0.42	109.7	2.88%	0	2.7	76	0
4	Sep_17_2007	19.17	22.23	22.87	23.28	23.38	23.46	23.51(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	40	10	82	0.12	62%	0.26	96.5	2.79%	0	1.5	65	0
5	Sep_14_2007	19.12	22.06	22.69	23.04	23.11	23.47	23.6(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	120	15	70	0.2	63%	0.21	82.4	2.79%	0	1.6	62	0

6	Sep_13_2007	19.08	21.86	22.5	22.76	22.8	23.29	23.47(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	160	19	58	0.3	63%	0.37	63.6	2.81%	0	1.6	64	0
7	Sep_12_2007	19.01	21.65	22.35	22.57	22.47	22.75	23.08(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	70	16	47	0.63	63%	0.32	50.5	2.81%	0	1.3	56	0
8	Sep_11_2007	18.95	21.5	22.17	22.38	22.29	22.31	22.75(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10	1	34	0.19	63%	0.32	42.2	2.81%	0	1.2	64	0
9	Sep_10_2007	18.89	21.41	22.07	22.41	22.29	22.19	22.29(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-40	3	54	0.14	63%	0.27	48	2.81%	0	0.9	67	0
10	Sep_7_2007	18.84	21.3	22.04	22.29	22.27	22.26	22.23(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10	3	67	0.1	62%	0.32	46	2.81%	0	0.9	67	0

11	Sep_6_2007	18.78	21.23	21.98	22.19	22.17	22.35	22.5(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	50	5	83	0.16	62%	0.32	51.8	2.84%	0	1.2	71	0
12	Sep_5_2007	18.72	21.11	21.94	22.09	22.05	22.29	22.11(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	70	13	111	0.17	62%	0.27	59.3	2.83%	0	1	71	0
13	Sep_4_2007	18.67	21.06	21.83	21.93	21.85	21.99	22.93(5.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	38	30	13	112	0.28	64%	0.54	71.6	2.79%	0	1.9	66	0
14	Aug_31_2007	18.57	20.93	21.54	21.68	21.71	21.81	21.68(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	40	-1	88	0.13	62%	0.32	88.2	2.7%	0	0.8	54	0
15	Aug_30_2007	18.51	20.83	21.38	21.76	21.73	21.72	21.73(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-10	2	96	0.1	62%	0.33	99.8	2.7%	0	1	61	0

16	Aug_29_2007	18.45	20.71	21.17	21.74	21.74	21.62	22.02(3.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	18	-40	-4	82	0.09	62%	0.27	101.4	2.71%	0	1.3	56	0
17	Aug_28_2007	18.4	20.54	20.9	21.77	21.8	21.74	21.29(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	21	-20	1	79	0.16	60%	0.27	100.8	2.68%	0	0.7	56	0
18	Aug_27_2007	18.35	20.39	20.8	21.69	21.79	21.74	21.7(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	40	16	72	0.11	60%	0.22	86.1	2.69%	0	1	52	0
19	Aug_24_2007	18.31	20.17	20.71	21.35	21.42	21.86	22.07(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	150	23	61	0.21	60%	0.27	67.9	2.68%	0	1.4	58	0
20	Aug_23_2007	18.26	19.94	20.5	20.93	20.98	21.72	21.62(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	250	34	43	0.19	60%	0.33	51.7	2.68%	0	1.2	60	0

21	Aug_22_2007	18.2	19.73	20.4	20.51	20.58	20.97	22.17(6.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	140	42	37	0.58	62%	0.33	36.9	2.66%	0	1.8	65	0
22	Aug_21_2007	18.14	19.51	20.19	19.92	20	20.25	20.89(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	100	8	5	0.56	59%	0.22	20.7	2.59%	0	1.1	64	0
23	Aug_20_2007	18.1	19.37	20.2	19.79	19.87	20.2	20.01(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	130	-1	25	0.17	56%	0.22	14.4	2.54%	0	0.5	63	0
24	Aug_17_2007	18.06	19.3	20.25	19.99	20.02	19.74	19.94(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	20	-90	2	75	0.17	56%	0.22	19.3	2.55%	0	0.5	68	0
25	Aug_16_2007	18.02	19.26	20.23	20	20.11	19.54	19.53(1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-180	-28	93	0.71	60%		21.2	2.54%	0	0.2	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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