Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 4, 2007

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $22.9300 (5.77%) ($21.1400 - $22.9600) on Tue. Sep. 4, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.79% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $22.9300(5.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.395% (StdDev 2.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.93(4.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.83(5.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.06(8.88%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   33.4%
Market Cap   $925m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 4.61% (three month std-dev: 2.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.91%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.32%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.26%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.88%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.58%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.84%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2007	18.67	21.06	21.83	21.93	21.85	21.99	22.93(5.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	38	30	13	112	0.28	64%	0.54	71.6	2.79%	0	1.9	66	0
2	Aug_31_2007	18.57	20.93	21.54	21.68	21.71	21.81	21.68(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	40	-1	88	0.13	62%	0.32	88.2	2.7%	0	0.8	54	0
3	Aug_30_2007	18.51	20.83	21.38	21.76	21.73	21.72	21.73(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-10	2	96	0.1	62%	0.33	99.8	2.7%	0	1	61	0
4	Aug_29_2007	18.45	20.71	21.17	21.74	21.74	21.62	22.02(3.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	18	-40	-4	82	0.09	62%	0.27	101.4	2.71%	0	1.3	56	0
5	Aug_28_2007	18.4	20.54	20.9	21.77	21.8	21.74	21.29(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	21	-20	1	79	0.16	60%	0.27	100.8	2.68%	0	0.7	56	0

6	Aug_27_2007	18.35	20.39	20.8	21.69	21.79	21.74	21.7(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	40	16	72	0.11	60%	0.22	86.1	2.69%	0	1	52	0
7	Aug_24_2007	18.31	20.17	20.71	21.35	21.42	21.86	22.07(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	150	23	61	0.21	60%	0.27	67.9	2.68%	0	1.4	58	0
8	Aug_23_2007	18.26	19.94	20.5	20.93	20.98	21.72	21.62(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	250	34	43	0.19	60%	0.33	51.7	2.68%	0	1.2	60	0
9	Aug_22_2007	18.2	19.73	20.4	20.51	20.58	20.97	22.17(6.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	140	42	37	0.58	62%	0.33	36.9	2.66%	0	1.8	65	0
10	Aug_21_2007	18.14	19.51	20.19	19.92	20	20.25	20.89(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	100	8	5	0.56	59%	0.22	20.7	2.59%	0	1.1	64	0

11	Aug_20_2007	18.1	19.37	20.2	19.79	19.87	20.2	20.01(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	130	-1	25	0.17	56%	0.22	14.4	2.54%	0	0.5	63	0
12	Aug_17_2007	18.06	19.3	20.25	19.99	20.02	19.74	19.94(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	20	-90	2	75	0.17	56%	0.22	19.3	2.55%	0	0.5	68	0
13	Aug_16_2007	18.02	19.26	20.23	20	20.11	19.54	19.53(1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-180	-28	93	0.71	60%	0.17	21.2	2.54%	0	0.2	65	0
14	Aug_15_2007	17.99	19.24	20.22	20.26	20.41	20.29	19.21(-5.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	22	-20	-16	134	0.47	60%	0.11	30	2.67%	0	-0	65	0
15	Aug_14_2007	17.97	19.25	20.18	20.47	20.41	20.68	20.25(-3.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	39	60	-5	170	0.3	61%	0.22	39	2.59%	0	0.8	65	0

16	Aug_13_2007	17.93	19.19	19.99	20.67	20.54	20.53	21.01(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	-20	7	199	0.39	64%	0.17	46.5	2.58%	0	1.5	68	0
17	Aug_10_2007	17.9	19.07	19.62	20.55	20.58	20.4	20.02(-3.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	46	-60	1	179	0.53	60%	0.17	43.8	2.54%	0	0.9	58	0
18	Aug_9_2007	17.87	19.01	19.38	20.48	20.48	20.56	20.81(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	30	11	160	0.92	63%	0.17	45.5	2.57%	0	1.7	59	0
19	Aug_8_2007	17.84	18.89	19.03	20.16	20.28	20.75	20.28(-4.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	180	26	125	0.86	61%	0.17	42.2	2.56%	0	1.4	56	0
20	Aug_7_2007	17.81	18.8	18.78	19.81	19.83	20.39	21.24(4.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	56	200	44	92	0.72	63%	0.23	34.1	2.49%	0	2.6	59	0

21	Aug_6_2007	17.77	18.66	18.44	19.21	19.26	19.81	20.42(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	41	210	43	35	0.48	60%	0.23	24.9	2.48%	0	2.2	57	0
22	Aug_3_2007	17.73	18.6	18.24	18.57	18.89	19.28	19.65(2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	26	200	39	-15	0.8	58%	0.11	13	2.45%	0	1.5	56	0
23	Aug_2_2007	17.71	18.52	18.16	18.11	18.33	18.71	19.22(3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	8	180	27	-50	0.43	58%	0.11	-4.1	2.43%	0	1	52	0
24	Aug_1_2007	17.69	18.47	18.14	17.73	17.92	18.5	18.54(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	260	20	-75	0.48	56%	0.11	-21	2.41%	0	0.1	50	0
25	Jul_31_2007	17.67	18.48	18.22	17.6	17.7	17.96	18.23(6.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	120	15	-77	0.91	56%		-20.1	2.42%	0	-0.4	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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