Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 24, 2007

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $22.0700 (2.08%) ($21.3400 - $22.2600) on Fri. Aug. 24, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.68% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $22.0700(2.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    FXI(18%)    QQQ(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.34% (StdDev 2.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.35(3.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.71(6.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.17(9.42%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   28.4%
Market Cap   $890m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 6.64% (three month std-dev: 2.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 4.55%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.47%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.92%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.64%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.59%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.82%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2007	18.31	20.17	20.71	21.35	21.42	21.86	22.07(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	150	23	61	0.21	60%	0.27	67.9	2.68%	0	1.4	58	0
2	Aug_23_2007	18.26	19.94	20.5	20.93	20.98	21.72	21.62(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	250	34	43	0.19	60%	0.33	51.7	2.68%	0	1.2	60	0
3	Aug_22_2007	18.2	19.73	20.4	20.51	20.58	20.97	22.17(6.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	140	42	37	0.58	62%	0.33	36.9	2.66%	0	1.8	65	0
4	Aug_21_2007	18.14	19.51	20.19	19.92	20	20.25	20.89(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	100	8	5	0.56	59%	0.22	20.7	2.59%	0	1.1	64	0
5	Aug_20_2007	18.1	19.37	20.2	19.79	19.87	20.2	20.01(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	130	-1	25	0.17	56%	0.22	14.4	2.54%	0	0.5	63	0

6	Aug_17_2007	18.06	19.3	20.25	19.99	20.02	19.74	19.94(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	20	-90	2	75	0.17	56%	0.22	19.3	2.55%	0	0.5	68	0
7	Aug_16_2007	18.02	19.26	20.23	20	20.11	19.54	19.53(1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-180	-28	93	0.71	60%	0.17	21.2	2.54%	0	0.2	65	0
8	Aug_15_2007	17.99	19.24	20.22	20.26	20.41	20.29	19.21(-5.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	22	-20	-16	134	0.47	60%	0.11	30	2.67%	0	-0	65	0
9	Aug_14_2007	17.97	19.25	20.18	20.47	20.41	20.68	20.25(-3.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	39	60	-5	170	0.3	61%	0.22	39	2.59%	0	0.8	65	0
10	Aug_13_2007	17.93	19.19	19.99	20.67	20.54	20.53	21.01(4.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	-20	7	199	0.39	64%	0.17	46.5	2.58%	0	1.5	68	0

11	Aug_10_2007	17.9	19.07	19.62	20.55	20.58	20.4	20.02(-3.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	46	-60	1	179	0.53	60%	0.17	43.8	2.54%	0	0.9	58	0
12	Aug_9_2007	17.87	19.01	19.38	20.48	20.48	20.56	20.81(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	30	11	160	0.92	63%	0.17	45.5	2.57%	0	1.7	59	0
13	Aug_8_2007	17.84	18.89	19.03	20.16	20.28	20.75	20.28(-4.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	180	26	125	0.86	61%	0.17	42.2	2.56%	0	1.4	56	0
14	Aug_7_2007	17.81	18.8	18.78	19.81	19.83	20.39	21.24(4.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	56	200	44	92	0.72	63%	0.23	34.1	2.49%	0	2.6	59	0
15	Aug_6_2007	17.77	18.66	18.44	19.21	19.26	19.81	20.42(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	41	210	43	35	0.48	60%	0.23	24.9	2.48%	0	2.2	57	0

16	Aug_3_2007	17.73	18.6	18.24	18.57	18.89	19.28	19.65(2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	26	200	39	-15	0.8	58%	0.11	13	2.45%	0	1.5	56	0
17	Aug_2_2007	17.71	18.52	18.16	18.11	18.33	18.71	19.22(3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	8	180	27	-50	0.43	58%	0.11	-4.1	2.43%	0	1	52	0
18	Aug_1_2007	17.69	18.47	18.14	17.73	17.92	18.5	18.54(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	260	20	-75	0.48	56%	0.11	-21	2.41%	0	0.1	50	0
19	Jul_31_2007	17.67	18.48	18.22	17.6	17.7	17.96	18.23(6.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	120	15	-77	0.91	56%	0.06	-20.1	2.42%	0	-0.4	46	0
20	Jul_30_2007	17.66	18.46	18.3	17.56	17.65	17.34	17.19(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-110	-20	-95	0.67	46%	0	-24.7	2.3%	0	-1.9	31	0

21	Jul_27_2007	17.66	18.5	18.47	17.87	17.88	17.44	17.39(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-170	-32	-83	0.25	46%	0	-16.1	2.42%	0	-1.8	27	0
22	Jul_26_2007	17.66	18.55	18.62	18.22	18.34	17.96	17.29(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-35	-130	-29	-51	0.29	53%	0.06	-2.8	2.42%	0	-2.1	45	0
23	Jul_25_2007	17.65	18.55	18.77	18.6	18.73	18.32	17.91(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-130	-24	-17	0.34	55%	0	15.4	2.64%	0	-1.3	50	0
24	Jul_24_2007	17.65	18.61	18.85	18.92	19.04	18.73	18.03(-3.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-14	-90	-20	5	0.26	55%	0.11	26.9	2.67%	0	-1.1	45	0
25	Jul_23_2007	17.63	18.63	18.94	19.15	19.34	19.13	18.73(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-50	-4	38	0.21	59%		36.5	2.66%	0	0.2	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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