Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ OSTK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 10, 2007

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $20.0200 (-3.8%) ($19.6600 - $21.3800) on Fri. Aug. 10, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.54% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $20.0200(-3.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 7.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.27% (StdDev 2.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.55(-2.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.62(2.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.07(4.98%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   20.7%
Market Cap   $807m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 5.82% (three month std-dev: 2.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2007	17.9	19.07	19.62	20.55	20.58	20.4	20.02(-3.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	46	-60	1	179	0.53	60%	0.17	43.8	2.54%	0	0.9	58	0
2	Aug_9_2007	17.87	19.01	19.38	20.48	20.48	20.56	20.81(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	30	11	160	0.92	63%	0.17	45.5	2.57%	0	1.7	59	0
3	Aug_8_2007	17.84	18.89	19.03	20.16	20.28	20.75	20.28(-4.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	180	26	125	0.86	61%	0.17	42.2	2.56%	0	1.4	56	0
4	Aug_7_2007	17.81	18.8	18.78	19.81	19.83	20.39	21.24(4.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	56	200	44	92	0.72	63%	0.23	34.1	2.49%	0	2.6	59	0
5	Aug_6_2007	17.77	18.66	18.44	19.21	19.26	19.81	20.42(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	41	210	43	35	0.48	60%	0.23	24.9	2.48%	0	2.2	57	0

6	Aug_3_2007	17.73	18.6	18.24	18.57	18.89	19.28	19.65(2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	26	200	39	-15	0.8	58%	0.11	13	2.45%	0	1.5	56	0
7	Aug_2_2007	17.71	18.52	18.16	18.11	18.33	18.71	19.22(3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	8	180	27	-50	0.43	58%	0.11	-4.1	2.43%	0	1	52	0
8	Aug_1_2007	17.69	18.47	18.14	17.73	17.92	18.5	18.54(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	260	20	-75	0.48	56%	0.11	-21	2.41%	0	0.1	50	0
9	Jul_31_2007	17.67	18.48	18.22	17.6	17.7	17.96	18.23(6.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	120	15	-77	0.91	56%	0.06	-20.1	2.42%	0	-0.4	46	0
10	Jul_30_2007	17.66	18.46	18.3	17.56	17.65	17.34	17.19(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-110	-20	-95	0.67	46%	0	-24.7	2.3%	0	-1.9	31	0

11	Jul_27_2007	17.66	18.5	18.47	17.87	17.88	17.44	17.39(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-170	-32	-83	0.25	46%	0	-16.1	2.42%	0	-1.8	27	0
12	Jul_26_2007	17.66	18.55	18.62	18.22	18.34	17.96	17.29(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-35	-130	-29	-51	0.29	53%	0.06	-2.8	2.42%	0	-2.1	45	0
13	Jul_25_2007	17.65	18.55	18.77	18.6	18.73	18.32	17.91(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-130	-24	-17	0.34	55%	0	15.4	2.64%	0	-1.3	50	0
14	Jul_24_2007	17.65	18.61	18.85	18.92	19.04	18.73	18.03(-3.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-14	-90	-20	5	0.26	55%	0.11	26.9	2.67%	0	-1.1	45	0
15	Jul_23_2007	17.63	18.63	18.94	18.92	19.34	19.13	18.73(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-50	-4	38	0.21	59%	0.06	36.5	2.66%	0	0.2	61	0

16	Jul_20_2007	17.62	18.61	19.01	19.15	19.3	19.36	19.13(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	50	-1	58	0.22	59%	0.11	31	2.64%	0	1	64	0
17	Jul_19_2007	17.6	18.57	18.93	19.09	19.23	19.56	19.22(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	140	13	62	0.27	59%	0.06	26.4	2.65%	0	1.3	60	0
18	Jul_18_2007	17.59	18.53	18.83	18.96	19.07	19.25	19.5(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	80	16	56	1.33	59%	0.11	23.2	2.65%	0	2	61	0
19	Jul_17_2007	17.57	18.47	18.75	18.79	18.85	18.9	19.15(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	30	4	49	0.18	59%	0.06	23.3	2.67%	0	1.6	63	0
20	Jul_16_2007	17.56	18.47	18.61	18.71	18.82	18.88	18.76(-0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	40	-5	36	0.11	61%	0	28.4	2.66%	0	0.8	55	0

21	Jul_13_2007	17.56	18.45	18.53	18.85	18.9	18.8	18.83(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-30	4	46	0.58	61%	0.06	52.1	2.71%	0	0.9	56	0
22	Jul_12_2007	17.55	18.44	18.46	18.74	19.01	18.77	18.57(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-50	0	35	0.21	61%	0	59.7	2.72%	0	0.3	52	0
23	Jul_11_2007	17.55	18.42	18.43	18.66	18.89	18.99	18.62(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	70	-5	26	0.22	61%	0	56.6	2.72%	0	0.5	51	0
24	Jul_10_2007	17.55	18.38	18.36	18.69	18.81	19.26	18.77(-3.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	190	19	30	0.24	61%	0.06	52.9	2.76%	0	1	52	0
25	Jul_9_2007	17.54	18.34	18.3	18.49	18.6	18.79	19.46(6.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	23	90	25	15	0.58	65%		35.7	2.72%	0	2.7	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.