Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 3, 2007

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $19.6500 (2.24%) ($19.0500 - $20.8100) on Fri. Aug. 3, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.45% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $19.6500(2.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.225% (StdDev 2.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.57(5.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.24(7.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.6(5.65%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.4%
Market Cap   $793m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 3.76% (three month std-dev: 2.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2007	17.73	18.6	18.24	18.57	18.89	19.28	19.65(2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	26	200	39	-15	0.8	58%	0.11	13	2.45%	0	1.5	56	NAN
2	Aug_2_2007	17.71	18.52	18.16	18.11	18.33	18.71	19.22(3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	8	180	27	-50	0.43	58%	0.11	-4.1	2.43%	0	1	52	NAN
3	Aug_1_2007	17.69	18.47	18.14	17.73	17.92	18.5	18.54(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	260	20	-75	0.48	56%	0.11	-21	2.41%	0	0.1	50	NAN
4	Jul_31_2007	17.67	18.48	18.22	17.6	17.7	17.96	18.23(6.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	120	15	-77	0.91	56%	0.06	-20.1	2.42%	0	-0.4	46	NAN
5	Jul_30_2007	17.66	18.46	18.3	17.56	17.65	17.34	17.19(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-110	-20	-95	0.67	46%	0	-24.7	2.3%	0	-1.9	31	NAN

6	Jul_27_2007	17.66	18.5	18.47	17.87	17.88	17.44	17.39(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-170	-32	-83	0.25	46%	0	-16.1	2.42%	0	-1.8	27	NAN
7	Jul_26_2007	17.66	18.55	18.62	18.22	18.34	17.96	17.29(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-35	-130	-29	-51	0.29	53%	0.06	-2.8	2.42%	0	-2.1	45	NAN
8	Jul_25_2007	17.65	18.55	18.77	18.6	18.73	18.32	17.91(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-130	-24	-17	0.34	55%	0	15.4	2.64%	0	-1.3	50	NAN
9	Jul_24_2007	17.65	18.61	18.85	18.92	19.04	18.73	18.03(-3.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-14	-90	-20	5	0.26	55%	0.11	26.9	2.67%	0	-1.1	45	NAN
10	Jul_23_2007	17.63	18.63	18.94	18.92	19.34	19.13	18.73(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-50	-4	38	0.21	59%	0.06	36.5	2.66%	0	0.2	61	NAN

11	Jul_20_2007	17.62	18.61	19.01	19.15	19.3	19.36	19.13(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	50	-1	58	0.22	59%	0.11	31	2.64%	0	1	64	NAN
12	Jul_19_2007	17.6	18.57	18.93	19.09	19.23	19.56	19.22(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	140	13	62	0.27	59%	0.06	26.4	2.65%	0	1.3	60	NAN
13	Jul_18_2007	17.59	18.53	18.83	18.96	19.07	19.25	19.5(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	80	16	56	1.33	59%	0.11	23.2	2.65%	0	2	61	NAN
14	Jul_17_2007	17.57	18.47	18.75	18.79	18.85	18.9	19.15(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	30	4	49	0.18	59%	0.06	23.3	2.67%	0	1.6	63	NAN
15	Jul_16_2007	17.56	18.47	18.61	18.71	18.82	18.88	18.76(-0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	40	-5	36	0.11	61%	0	28.4	2.66%	0	0.8	55	NAN

16	Jul_13_2007	17.56	18.45	18.53	18.85	18.9	18.8	18.83(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-30	4	46	0.58	61%	0.06	52.1	2.71%	0	0.9	56	NAN
17	Jul_12_2007	17.55	18.44	18.46	18.74	19.01	18.77	18.57(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-50	0	35	0.21	61%	0	59.7	2.72%	0	0.3	52	NAN
18	Jul_11_2007	17.55	18.42	18.43	18.66	18.89	18.99	18.62(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	70	-5	26	0.22	61%	0	56.6	2.72%	0	0.5	51	NAN
19	Jul_10_2007	17.55	18.38	18.36	18.69	18.81	19.26	18.77(-3.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	190	19	30	0.24	61%	0.06	52.9	2.76%	0	1	52	NAN
20	Jul_9_2007	17.54	18.34	18.3	18.49	18.6	18.79	19.46(6.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	23	90	25	15	0.58	65%	0.11	35.7	2.72%	0	2.7	56	NAN

21	Jul_6_2007	17.52	18.24	18.16	18.17	18.22	18.37	18.26(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	70	0	-25	0.1	61%	0.06	6.3	2.6%	0	0.1	41	NAN
22	Jul_5_2007	17.51	18.21	18.17	18.15	18.19	18.41	18.2(-3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	90	7	-27	0.12	61%	0.06	-1.4	2.62%	0	-0	44	NAN
23	Jul_3_2007	17.5	18.2	18.2	18.16	18.13	18.08	18.77(5.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	3	-20	11	-22	0.42	64%	0.11	1.4	2.6%	0	1.5	58	NAN
24	Jul_2_2007	17.48	18.16	18.17	17.98	18.05	17.98	17.77(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-20	-9	-36	0.29	60%	0.06	-12.6	2.52%	0	-1.1	53	NAN
25	Jun_29_2007	17.47	18.19	18.26	18.08	18.1	18.17	17.84(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	30	-2	-17	0.18	60%		-1	2.53%	0	-1	51	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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