Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 29, 2006

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $21.2600 (0.76%) ($20.9300 - $21.4000) on Thu. Jun. 29, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.74% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $21.2600(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    XOP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.87% (StdDev 3.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.07(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.32(4.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.55(3.45%)
To recent high   -29%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $857m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 5.01% (three month std-dev: 3.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060729

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_29_2006	24.07		20.32	21.07	21.37	21.18	21.26(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-20	8	42	0.34	43%	-0.17	-5.2	3.74%	0	0.7	49	0
2	Jun_28_2006	24.11	20.55	20.16	20.69	20.87	21.61	21.1(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	270	11	5	0.72	41%	-0.12	-13.4	3.73%	0	0.5	42	0
3	Jun_27_2006	24.14	20.54	19.98	20.42	20.44	21.57	21.29(-5.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	21	390	32	-11	1.24	44%	-0.04	-20	3.78%	0	0.7	51	0
4	Jun_26_2006	24.15	20.52	19.87	20.09	19.84	20.13	22.47(16.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	14	60	29	-31	2.26	47%	0	-27.4	3.84%	0	1.9	56	0
5	Jun_23_2006	24.15	20.49	19.63	19.49	19.49	19.32	19.21(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-60	-3	-89	0.14	36%	-0.21	-42.6	3.17%	0	-1.3	38	0

6	Jun_22_2006	24.2	20.6	19.84	19.48	19.52	19.54	19.36(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	10	-3	-90	0.59	40%	-0.17	-44.1	3.17%	0	-1.3	38	0
7	Jun_21_2006	24.24	20.69	20.15	19.53	19.5	19.66	19.76(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	50	5	-72	0.53	40%	-0.16	-48.9	3.26%	0	-1	38	0
8	Jun_20_2006	24.28	20.75	20.28	19.46	19.45	19.49	19.67(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	10	-3	-79	1.62	43%	-0.16	-55.4	3.26%	0	-1.2	42	0
9	Jun_19_2006	24.32	20.81	20.43	19.6	19.56	19.34	19.47(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-80	-10	-76	0.58	43%	-0.21	-61.5	3.3%	0	-1.5	39	0
10	Jun_16_2006	24.37	20.93	20.59	19.81	19.86	19.41	19.13(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-150	-23	-80	0.74	43%	-0.25	-64.7	3.3%	0	-2.2	31	0

11	Jun_15_2006	24.43	21.04	20.82	20.27	20.3	19.77	19.64(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-180	-33	-66	0.67	43%	-0.16	-67	3.29%	0	-1.9	39	0
12	Jun_14_2006	24.47	21.16	21	20.88	21.02	20.31	19.39(-4.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-23	-220	-21	-30	0.75	49%	-0.2	-64.4	3.28%	0	-2.7	43	0
13	Jun_13_2006	24.52	21.26	21.18	21.22	21.45	20.82	20.39(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-16	-170	-18	-11	0.33	56%	-0.16	-93.8	3.56%	0	-1.7	49	0
14	Jun_12_2006	24.56	21.36	21.27	21.36	21.62	21.72	20.5(-4.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-6	70	-8	1	0.83	56%	-0.16	-95.1	3.86%	0	-1.7	50	0
15	Jun_9_2006	24.6	21.48	21.43	21.47	21.65	22.09	21.41(-5.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	170	11	16	0.69	58%	-0.16	-82.2	3.82%	0	-0.1	48	0

16	Jun_8_2006	24.64	21.54	21.44	21.44	21.35	21.52	22.69(7.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	13	40	12	17	0.58	61%	-0.08	-87.2	3.76%	0	1.8	61	0
17	Jun_7_2006	24.66	21.59	21.25	21.18	21.35	21.21	21.09(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	0	1	-5	0.28	58%	-0.2	-71.4	3.64%	0	-0.6	43	0
18	Jun_6_2006	24.71	21.75	21.23	21.16	21.23	21.18	21.09(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	-10	-1	-9	0.31	60%	-0.16	-56.1	3.64%	0	-0.6	49	0
19	Jun_5_2006	24.75	21.87	21.22	21.17	21.24	21.25	21.09(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	10	-7	-22	0.36	60%	-0.2	-54.9	3.67%	0	-0.7	40	0
20	Jun_2_2006	24.8	21.98	21.27	21.38	21.33	21.29	21.23(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-20	-2	-20	0.24	60%	-0.24	-56.8	3.67%	0	-0.7	37	0

21	Jun_1_2006	24.86	22.11	21.28	21.43	21.5	21.22	21.39(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-80	-0	-27	0.27	60%	-0.24	-67.1	3.67%	0	-0.6	40	0
22	May_31_2006	24.92	22.2	21.31	21.33	21.55	21.38	21.02(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-20	-4	-48	0.31	60%	-0.24	-85.7	3.75%	0	-1	30	0
23	May_30_2006	24.98	22.35	21.35	21.3	21.49	21.78	21.14(-4.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	120	3	-67	0.79	60%	-0.32	-95.3	3.75%	0	-1	28	0
24	May_26_2006	25.06	22.47	21.46	21.25	21.38	21.72	22.12(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	130	11	-76	1.09	63%	-0.16	-96.2	3.64%	0	-0.3	42	0
25	May_25_2006	25.1	22.62	21.52	21.16	21.17	21.19	21.49(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	10	3	-87	0.34	63%		-77.8	3.65%	0	-0.7	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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