Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 9, 2006

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $24.5600 (4.87%) ($23.6300 - $25.6200) on Tue. May. 9, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.57% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $24.5600(4.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.785% (StdDev 3.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $12.65(-48.49%)
Resistance Level   $25.62
5 Day Moving Average   $23.71(3.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.66(-0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.62(-4.14%)
To recent high   -22.5%
To recent low   13.4%
Market Cap   $991m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 6.13% (three month std-dev: 3.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2006	26.04	25.62	24.66	23.71	23.8	23.9	24.56(4.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	40	9	-93	0.73	68%	-0.42	-65.3	3.57%	0	-0.7	39	0
2	May_8_2006	26.15	25.76	24.86	23.6	23.63	23.57	23.42(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10	-4	-106	0.48	68%	-0.49	-69.2	3.52%	0	-1.5	37	0
3	May_5_2006	26.28	25.98	25.1	23.65	23.8	23.57	23.35(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10	-10	-108	1.17	67%	-0.45	-74.9	3.66%	0	-1.7	39	0
4	May_4_2006	26.4	26.25	25.43	24.03	23.99	23.7	24.08(3.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-44	-90	-24	-102	1.26	67%	-0.49	-73.7	3.67%	0	-1.4	40	0
5	May_3_2006	26.53	26.44	25.72	24.82	24.53	23.9	23.16(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-45	-210	-34	-78	0.5	65%	-0.49	-69.7	3.66%	0	-2.3	39	0

6	May_2_2006	26.66	26.69	26.17	25.76	25.63	24.28	23.99(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-34	-380	-31	-42	0.59	67%	-0.52	-68.2	3.66%	0	-2.1	39	0
7	May_1_2006	26.8	26.91	26.48	26.32	26.51	25.17	23.66(-6.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-34	-330	-36	-28	1.05	67%	-0.56	-77.1	3.7%	0	-2.9	35	0
8	Apr_28_2006	26.95	27.19	26.79	26.72	26.97	26.98	25.27(-9.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-17	30	-18	-14	1.77	72%	-0.52	-85	3.57%	0	-2	39	0
9	Apr_27_2006	27.09	27.41	26.96	26.98	27.02	27.84	28.04(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	220	20	-1	0.87	80%	-0.4	-73.7	3.37%	0	0.6	45	0
10	Apr_26_2006	27.2	27.48	26.77	26.77	26.71	26.96	27.86(4.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	60	14	-21	0.73	80%	-0.44	-68.6	3.38%	0	0.3	50	0

11	Apr_25_2006	27.32	27.58	26.65	26.69	26.65	26.19	26.75(4.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-130	-6	-40	0.83	79%	-0.47	-56.5	3.35%	0	-0.7	42	0
12	Apr_24_2006	27.45	27.81	26.7	26.71	26.82	26.47	25.7(-3.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-80	-15	-49	0.56	78%	-0.51	-34.7	3.31%	0	-1.4	33	0
13	Apr_21_2006	27.59	28.01	26.91	26.87	27	27.1	26.54(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	40	-1	-47	0.54	78%	-0.4	-24	3.27%	0	-1	32	0
14	Apr_20_2006	27.7	28.15	27.1	26.91	26.9	27.18	27.01(-1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	70	10	-47	0.6	78%	-0.36	-18.1	3.29%	0	-0.8	31	0
15	Apr_19_2006	27.8	28.27	27.17	26.75	26.74	26.89	27.47(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	40	9	-66	0.72	78%	-0.32	-15.7	3.31%	0	-0.6	31	0

16	Apr_18_2006	27.89	28.29	27.22	26.6	26.55	26.62	26.84(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	10	-3	-88	0.61	78%	-0.36	-19.1	3.3%	0	-1	25	0
17	Apr_17_2006	27.99	28.34	27.35	26.71	26.68	26.59	26.49(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-32	-30	-7	-107	0.43	74%	-0.43	-9.2	3.3%	0	-1.3	17	0
18	Apr_13_2006	28.11	28.36	27.6	26.96	26.98	26.49	26.73(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-120	-16	-105	1.36	74%	-0.5	9.8	3.33%	0	-1.2	36	0
19	Apr_12_2006	28.25	28.41	27.89	27.34	27.35	26.76	26.23(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-150	-22	-95	0.73	74%	-0.46	35.7	3.33%	0	-1.6	36	0
20	Apr_11_2006	28.38	28.49	28.26	27.65	27.88	27.47	26.72(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-80	-14	-79	0.4	74%	-0.49	64.9	3.33%	0	-1.4	38	0

21	Apr_10_2006	28.52	28.56	28.59	27.91	28.03	27.94	27.37(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10	-9	-57	0.73	74%	-0.35	82.2	3.33%	0	-0.8	52	0
22	Apr_7_2006	28.62	28.47	29.01	28.07	28.12	28.28	27.77(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	50	-4	-28	0.96	74%	-0.31	70.5	3.31%	0	-0.4	55	0
23	Apr_6_2006	28.71	28.23	29.21	28.34	28.22	28.13	28.61(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-40	-4	-2	1.31	74%	-0.14	64.9	3.31%	0	0.2	64	0
24	Apr_5_2006	28.75	27.94	29.28	28.55	28.44	27.96	27.78(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-130	-19	10	1.58	74%	-0.14	61.9	3.29%	0	-0.1	56	0
25	Apr_4_2006	28.79	27.71	29.46	28.98	28.97	28.3	28(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-160	-22	35	0.46	74%		62.7	3.29%	0	0.1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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