Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 22, 2006

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $29.3500 (5.92%) ($27.3900 - $30.1500) on Wed. Mar. 22, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.46% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $29.3500(5.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 11.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.73% (StdDev 3.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.72(5.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.47(10.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.52(19.7%)
To recent high   -13.7%
To recent low   35.6%
Market Cap   $1.184b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 10.24% (three month std-dev: 3.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2006	29.1	24.52	26.47	27.72	27.79	28.15	29.35(5.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	65	100	17	210	1.33	61%	-0.1	37.1	3.46%	0	1.9	84	0
2	Mar_21_2006	29.13	24.25	25.78	27.36	27.53	27.64	27.71(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	55	50	4	206	1.7	58%	-0.17	37	3.36%	0	1.5	79	0
3	Mar_20_2006	29.18	24.06	25.26	27.38	27.44	27.64	27.57(3.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	67	0	14	224	1.13	55%	-0.17	38.7	3.37%	0	1.6	80	0
4	Mar_17_2006	29.23	23.9	24.74	26.85	27.18	27.43	26.6(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	73	100	27	212	0.8	53%	-0.2	35.6	3.36%	0	1.4	72	0
5	Mar_16_2006	29.29	23.78	24.25	26	26.29	27.45	27.35(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	76	340	43	175	0.91	53%	-0.2	24.7	3.37%	0	1.9	74	0

6	Mar_15_2006	29.35	23.62	23.7	24.99	24.99	26.93	27.56(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	79	540	63	128	1.49	53%	-0.24	10.2	3.37%	0	2.3	67	0
7	Mar_14_2006	29.42	23.45	23.14	23.96	23.76	25.14	27.82(11.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	69	380	68	70	2.39	53%	-0.24	-4.7	3.37%	0	2.9	61	0
8	Mar_13_2006	29.49	23.26	22.5	22.87	22.76	23.05	24.94(11.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	19	70	29	-12	2.54	42%	-0.3	-22.5	3%	0	1.4	50	0
9	Mar_10_2006	29.58	23.2	22.23	22.37	22.76	22.39	22.31(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	-0	3	-77	0.41	32%	-0.44	-32.2	2.56%	0	-0.8	25	0
10	Mar_9_2006	29.71	23.32	22.28	22.24	22.42	22.48	22.31(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	40	4	-101	0.54	30%	-0.44	-32.7	2.58%	0	-0.9	25	0

11	Mar_8_2006	29.84	23.45	22.4	22.18	22.26	22.46	22.43(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	70	4	-113	0.37	30%	-0.43	-27.1	2.6%	0	-0.9	28	0
12	Mar_7_2006	29.97	23.45	22.59	22.15	22.17	22.36	22.38(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	60	9	-115	0.62	30%	-0.4	-27.4	2.6%	0	-1	28	0
13	Mar_6_2006	30.09	23.52	22.78	22.07	22.13	22.06	22.43(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-31	-10	1	-126	0.64	30%	-0.43	-36	2.6%	0	-0.9	28	0
14	Mar_3_2006	30.22	23.57	22.99	22.08	22.11	21.98	21.65(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-40	-16	-133	1.33	26%	-0.4	-40	2.52%	0	-1.7	26	0
15	Mar_2_2006	30.34	23.7	23.31	22.32	22.33	22.2	22.02(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-40	-16	-120	0.45	32%	-0.39	-40	2.54%	0	-1.6	25	0

16	Mar_1_2006	30.46	23.77	23.57	22.66	22.6	22.24	22.26(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-120	-24	-103	1.35	32%	-0.36	-39	2.68%	0	-1.6	25	0
17	Feb_28_2006	30.57	23.83	23.81	23.11	23.09	22.46	21.97(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-43	-190	-31	-78	1.41	29%	-0.39	-30.9	2.67%	0	-2	39	0
18	Feb_27_2006	30.69	23.94	24.1	23.59	23.66	22.96	22.52(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-34	-200	-33	-35	0.9	29%	-0.45	-19.5	2.76%	0	-1.8	58	0
19	Feb_24_2006	30.83	24.03	24.28	24.04	24.17	23.71	22.84(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-120	-28	-4	1.23	29%	-0.42	-7.2	2.76%	0	-1.6	50	0
20	Feb_23_2006	30.96	24.12	24.48	24.43	24.6	24.36	23.69(-3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-50	-13	28	0.6	31%	-0.45	3.1	2.76%	0	-0.6	49	0

21	Feb_22_2006	31.1	24.15	24.61	24.62	24.82	24.62	24.54(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-30	-4	57	0.39	31%	-0.45	3.5	2.75%	0	0.6	61	0
22	Feb_21_2006	31.24	24.12	24.53	24.63	24.84	24.83	24.38(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	20	-5	61	0.31	40%	-0.64	-6	2.76%	0	0.4	57	0
23	Feb_17_2006	31.44	24.1	24.34	24.69	24.83	25.03	24.75(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	70	7	49	0.47	47%	-0.44	-19.8	3.15%	0	1	55	0
24	Feb_16_2006	31.58	24.08	24.2	24.57	24.68	24.85	24.8(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	60	5	35	0.37	47%	-0.41	-36.3	3.46%	0	1	54	0
25	Feb_15_2006	31.71	24.1	24.12	24.55	24.48	24.63	24.63(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	30	0	30	1.23	47%		-47.2	3.46%	0	0.7	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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