Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ OSTK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 10, 2006

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $22.3100 (0%) ($22.1100 - $22.7000) on Fri. Mar. 10, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.56% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $22.3100(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.28% (StdDev 2.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $23.2
5 Day Moving Average   $22.37(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.23(0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.2(-3.84%)
To recent high   -40.5%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $900m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 4.87% (three month std-dev: 2.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060410

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2006	29.58	23.2	22.23	22.37		22.39	22.31(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	-0	3	-77	0.41	32%	-0.44	-32.2	2.56%	0	-0.8	25	NAN
2	Mar_9_2006	29.71	23.32	22.28	22.24	22.42	22.48	22.31(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	40	4	-101	0.54	30%	-0.44	-32.7	2.58%	0	-0.9	25	NAN
3	Mar_8_2006	29.84	23.45	22.4	22.18	22.26	22.46	22.43(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	70	4	-113	0.37	30%	-0.43	-27.1	2.6%	0	-0.9	28	NAN
4	Mar_7_2006	29.97	23.45	22.59	22.15	22.17	22.36	22.38(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	60	9	-115	0.62	30%	-0.4	-27.4	2.6%	0	-1	28	NAN
5	Mar_6_2006	30.09	23.52	22.78	22.07	22.13	22.06	22.43(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-31	-10	1	-126	0.64	30%	-0.43	-36	2.6%	0	-0.9	28	NAN

6	Mar_3_2006	30.22	23.57	22.99	22.08	22.11	21.98	21.65(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-40	-16	-133	1.33	26%	-0.4	-40	2.52%	0	-1.7	26	NAN
7	Mar_2_2006	30.34	23.7	23.31	22.32	22.33	22.2	22.02(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-40	-16	-120	0.45	32%	-0.39	-40	2.54%	0	-1.6	25	NAN
8	Mar_1_2006	30.46	23.77	23.57	22.66	22.6	22.24	22.26(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-120	-24	-103	1.35	32%	-0.36	-39	2.68%	0	-1.6	25	NAN
9	Feb_28_2006	30.57	23.83	23.81	23.11	23.09	22.46	21.97(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-43	-190	-31	-78	1.41	29%	-0.39	-30.9	2.67%	0	-2	39	NAN
10	Feb_27_2006	30.69	23.94	24.1	23.59	23.66	22.96	22.52(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-34	-200	-33	-35	0.9	29%	-0.45	-19.5	2.76%	0	-1.8	58	NAN

11	Feb_24_2006	30.83	24.03	24.28	24.04	24.17	23.71	22.84(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-120	-28	-4	1.23	29%	-0.42	-7.2	2.76%	0	-1.6	50	NAN
12	Feb_23_2006	30.96	24.12	24.48	24.43	24.6	24.36	23.69(-3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-50	-13	28	0.6	31%	-0.45	3.1	2.76%	0	-0.6	49	NAN
13	Feb_22_2006	31.1	24.15	24.61	24.62	24.82	24.62	24.54(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-30	-4	57	0.39	31%	-0.45	3.5	2.75%	0	0.6	61	NAN
14	Feb_21_2006	31.24	24.12	24.53	24.63	24.84	24.83	24.38(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	20	-5	61	0.31	40%	-0.64	-6	2.76%	0	0.4	57	NAN
15	Feb_17_2006	31.44	24.1	24.34	24.69	24.83	25.03	24.75(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	70	7	49	0.47	47%	-0.44	-19.8	3.15%	0	1	55	NAN

16	Feb_16_2006	31.58	24.08	24.2	24.57	24.68	24.85	24.8(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	60	5	35	0.37	47%	-0.41	-36.3	3.46%	0	1	54	NAN
17	Feb_15_2006	31.71	24.1	24.12	24.55	24.48	24.63	24.63(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	30	0	30	1.23	47%	-0.47	-47.2	3.46%	0	0.7	50	NAN
18	Feb_14_2006	31.86	24.13	23.96	24.6	24.52	24.5	24.57(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-20	8	28	0.46	47%	-0.5	-51.4	3.47%	0	0.6	52	NAN
19	Feb_13_2006	32.02	24.16	23.84	24.42	24.4	24.32	24.68(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-30	12	19	0.49	47%	-0.5	-67	3.47%	0	0.7	54	NAN
20	Feb_10_2006	32.18	24.23	23.76	23.93	23.99	24.54	24.16(-2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	170	9	-3	0.5	47%	-0.46	-73.4	3.45%	0	-0.1	51	NAN

21	Feb_9_2006	32.33	24.34	23.74	23.75	23.61	24.48	24.71(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	13	240	20	-9	0.56	47%	-0.46	-70.3	3.45%	0	0.3	50	NAN
22	Feb_8_2006	32.48	24.46	23.71	23.63	23.33	23.45	24.86(4.89%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	11	-0	21	-18	1.44	47%	-0.46	-61.4	3.46%	0	0.3	46	NAN
23	Feb_7_2006	32.63	24.53	23.63	23.26	23.2	22.74	23.7(6.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-150	-6	-53	2.58	42%	-0.46	-65.6	3.4%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
24	Feb_6_2006	32.78	24.7	23.65	23.19	23.29	23.2	22.21(-4.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10	-18	-72	1.11	38%	-0.61	-63.7	3.3%	0	-1.8	27	NAN
25	Feb_3_2006	32.98	24.94	23.84	23.55	23.52	23.66	23.29(-3.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	40	-1	-67	0.46	43%		-64.4	3.34%	0	-1.2	26	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.