Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 7, 2006

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $22.3800 (-0.22%) ($22.2000 - $22.6900) on Tue. Mar. 7, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.6% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $22.3800(-0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.3% (StdDev 2.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.18(-41.11%)
Resistance Level   $23.52
5 Day Moving Average   $22.15(1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.59(-0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.52(-4.85%)
To recent high   -42.6%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $903m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 4.85% (three month std-dev: 2.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_7_2006	29.97		22.59	22.15	22.17	22.36	22.38(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	60	9	-115	0.62	30%	-0.4	-27.4	2.6%	0	-1	28	NAN
2	Mar_6_2006	30.09	23.52	22.78	22.07	22.13	22.06	22.43(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-31	-10	1	-126	0.64	30%	-0.43	-36	2.6%	0	-0.9	28	NAN
3	Mar_3_2006	30.22	23.57	22.99	22.08	22.11	21.98	21.65(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-40	-16	-133	1.33	26%	-0.4	-40	2.52%	0	-1.7	26	NAN
4	Mar_2_2006	30.34	23.7	23.31	22.32	22.33	22.2	22.02(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-40	-16	-120	0.45	32%	-0.39	-40	2.54%	0	-1.6	25	NAN
5	Mar_1_2006	30.46	23.77	23.57	22.66	22.6	22.24	22.26(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-120	-24	-103	1.35	32%	-0.36	-39	2.68%	0	-1.6	25	NAN

6	Feb_28_2006	30.57	23.83	23.81	23.11	23.09	22.46	21.97(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-43	-190	-31	-78	1.41	29%	-0.39	-30.9	2.67%	0	-2	39	NAN
7	Feb_27_2006	30.69	23.94	24.1	23.59	23.66	22.96	22.52(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-34	-200	-33	-35	0.9	29%	-0.45	-19.5	2.76%	0	-1.8	58	NAN
8	Feb_24_2006	30.83	24.03	24.28	24.04	24.17	23.71	22.84(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-120	-28	-4	1.23	29%	-0.42	-7.2	2.76%	0	-1.6	50	NAN
9	Feb_23_2006	30.96	24.12	24.48	24.43	24.6	24.36	23.69(-3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-50	-13	28	0.6	31%	-0.45	3.1	2.76%	0	-0.6	49	NAN
10	Feb_22_2006	31.1	24.15	24.61	24.62	24.82	24.62	24.54(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-30	-4	57	0.39	31%	-0.45	3.5	2.75%	0	0.6	61	NAN

11	Feb_21_2006	31.24	24.12	24.53	24.63	24.84	24.83	24.38(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	20	-5	61	0.31	40%	-0.64	-6	2.76%	0	0.4	57	NAN
12	Feb_17_2006	31.44	24.1	24.34	24.69	24.83	25.03	24.75(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	70	7	49	0.47	47%	-0.44	-19.8	3.15%	0	1	55	NAN
13	Feb_16_2006	31.58	24.08	24.2	24.57	24.68	24.85	24.8(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	60	5	35	0.37	47%	-0.41	-36.3	3.46%	0	1	54	NAN
14	Feb_15_2006	31.71	24.1	24.12	24.55	24.48	24.63	24.63(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	30	0	30	1.23	47%	-0.47	-47.2	3.46%	0	0.7	50	NAN
15	Feb_14_2006	31.86	24.13	23.96	24.6	24.52	24.5	24.57(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-20	8	28	0.46	47%	-0.5	-51.4	3.47%	0	0.6	52	NAN

16	Feb_13_2006	32.02	24.16	23.84	24.42	24.4	24.32	24.68(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-30	12	19	0.49	47%	-0.5	-67	3.47%	0	0.7	54	NAN
17	Feb_10_2006	32.18	24.23	23.76	23.93	23.99	24.54	24.16(-2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	170	9	-3	0.5	47%	-0.46	-73.4	3.45%	0	-0.1	51	NAN
18	Feb_9_2006	32.33	24.34	23.74	23.75	23.61	24.48	24.71(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	13	240	20	-9	0.56	47%	-0.46	-70.3	3.45%	0	0.3	50	NAN
19	Feb_8_2006	32.48	24.46	23.71	23.63	23.33	23.45	24.86(4.89%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	11	-0	21	-18	1.44	47%	-0.46	-61.4	3.46%	0	0.3	46	NAN
20	Feb_7_2006	32.63	24.53	23.63	23.26	23.2	22.74	23.7(6.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-150	-6	-53	2.58	42%	-0.46	-65.6	3.4%	0	-0.6	40	NAN

21	Feb_6_2006	32.78	24.7	23.65	23.19	23.29	23.2	22.21(-4.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10	-18	-72	1.11	38%	-0.61	-63.7	3.3%	0	-1.8	27	NAN
22	Feb_3_2006	32.98	24.94	23.84	23.55	23.52	23.66	23.29(-3.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	40	-1	-67	0.46	43%	-0.6	-64.4	3.34%	0	-1.2	26	NAN
23	Feb_2_2006	33.18	25.11	23.97	23.71	23.67	23.66	24.07(4.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-90	-5	-76	0.71	43%	-0.54	-66.5	3.33%	0	-0.8	28	NAN
24	Feb_1_2006	33.36	25.24	24.09	23.82	23.87	23.38	23.01(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-37	-140	-18	-92	0.76	40%	-0.63	-77	3.27%	0	-1.7	13	NAN
25	Jan_31_2006	33.57	25.43	24.32	24.05	24.21	23.96	23.38(-2.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-31	-50	-11	-90	0.75	40%		-96.8	3.27%	0	-1.6	23	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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