Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 1, 2006

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $22.2600 (1.32%) ($21.5400 - $23.0700) on Wed. Mar. 1, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.68% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $22.2600(1.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.34% (StdDev 2.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.03(-32.48%)
Resistance Level   $23.77
5 Day Moving Average   $22.66(-1.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.57(-5.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.77(-6.35%)
To recent high   -43.6%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $898m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 4.08% (three month std-dev: 2.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2006	30.46	23.77	23.57	22.66	22.6	22.24	22.26(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-120	-24	-103	1.35	32%	-0.36	-39	2.68%	0	-1.6	25	NAN
2	Feb_28_2006	30.57	23.83	23.81	23.11	23.09	22.46	21.97(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-43	-190	-31	-78	1.41	29%	-0.39	-30.9	2.67%	0	-2	39	NAN
3	Feb_27_2006	30.69	23.94	24.1	23.59	23.66	22.96	22.52(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-34	-200	-33	-35	0.9	29%	-0.45	-19.5	2.76%	0	-1.8	58	NAN
4	Feb_24_2006	30.83	24.03	24.28	24.04	24.17	23.71	22.84(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-120	-28	-4	1.23	29%	-0.42	-7.2	2.76%	0	-1.6	50	NAN
5	Feb_23_2006	30.96	24.12	24.48	24.43	24.6	24.36	23.69(-3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-50	-13	28	0.6	31%	-0.45	3.1	2.76%	0	-0.6	49	NAN

6	Feb_22_2006	31.1	24.15	24.61	24.62	24.82	24.62	24.54(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-30	-4	57	0.39	31%	-0.45	3.5	2.75%	0	0.6	61	NAN
7	Feb_21_2006	31.24	24.12	24.53	24.63	24.84	24.83	24.38(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	20	-5	61	0.31	40%	-0.64	-6	2.76%	0	0.4	57	NAN
8	Feb_17_2006	31.44	24.1	24.34	24.69	24.83	25.03	24.75(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	70	7	49	0.47	47%	-0.44	-19.8	3.15%	0	1	55	NAN
9	Feb_16_2006	31.58	24.08	24.2	24.57	24.68	24.85	24.8(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	60	5	35	0.37	47%	-0.41	-36.3	3.46%	0	1	54	NAN
10	Feb_15_2006	31.71	24.1	24.12	24.55	24.48	24.63	24.63(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	30	0	30	1.23	47%	-0.47	-47.2	3.46%	0	0.7	50	NAN

11	Feb_14_2006	31.86	24.13	23.96	24.6	24.52	24.5	24.57(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-20	8	28	0.46	47%	-0.5	-51.4	3.47%	0	0.6	52	NAN
12	Feb_13_2006	32.02	24.16	23.84	24.42	24.4	24.32	24.68(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-30	12	19	0.49	47%	-0.5	-67	3.47%	0	0.7	54	NAN
13	Feb_10_2006	32.18	24.23	23.76	23.93	23.99	24.54	24.16(-2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	170	9	-3	0.5	47%	-0.46	-73.4	3.45%	0	-0.1	51	NAN
14	Feb_9_2006	32.33	24.34	23.74	23.75	23.61	24.48	24.71(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	13	240	20	-9	0.56	47%	-0.46	-70.3	3.45%	0	0.3	50	NAN
15	Feb_8_2006	32.48	24.46	23.71	23.63	23.33	23.45	24.86(4.89%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	11	-0	21	-18	1.44	47%	-0.46	-61.4	3.46%	0	0.3	46	NAN

16	Feb_7_2006	32.63	24.53	23.63	23.26	23.2	22.74	23.7(6.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-150	-6	-53	2.58	42%	-0.46	-65.6	3.4%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
17	Feb_6_2006	32.78	24.7	23.65	23.19	23.29	23.2	22.21(-4.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10	-18	-72	1.11	38%	-0.61	-63.7	3.3%	0	-1.8	27	NAN
18	Feb_3_2006	32.98	24.94	23.84	23.55	23.52	23.66	23.29(-3.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	40	-1	-67	0.46	43%	-0.6	-64.4	3.34%	0	-1.2	26	NAN
19	Feb_2_2006	33.18	25.11	23.97	23.71	23.67	23.66	24.07(4.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-90	-5	-76	0.71	43%	-0.54	-66.5	3.33%	0	-0.8	28	NAN
20	Feb_1_2006	33.36	25.24	24.09	23.82	23.87	23.38	23.01(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-37	-140	-18	-92	0.76	40%	-0.63	-77	3.27%	0	-1.7	13	NAN

21	Jan_31_2006	33.57	25.43	24.32	24.05	24.21	23.96	23.38(-2.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-31	-50	-11	-90	0.75	40%	-0.59	-96.8	3.27%	0	-1.6	23	NAN
22	Jan_30_2006	33.77	25.64	24.52	24.05	24.36	24.37	23.99(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-24	30	-1	-93	0.33	40%	-0.47	-122.7	3.26%	0	-1.4	23	NAN
23	Jan_27_2006	33.93	25.84	24.76	24.17	24.31	24.46	24.08(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	60	-1	-97	0.4	38%	-0.47	-141.9	3.26%	0	-1.4	27	NAN
24	Jan_26_2006	34.09	26.05	25	24.27	24.29	24.35	24.62(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	20	-2	-95	0.25	37%	-0.47	-154.6	3.29%	0	-1.1	31	NAN
25	Jan_25_2006	34.25	26.32	25.25	24.42	24.41	24.17	24.19(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-70	-9	-89	0.5	37%		-162.2	3.29%	0	-1.7	30	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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