Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 23, 2005

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $32.8400 (-3.41%) ($32.2200 - $34.7400) on Fri. Dec. 23, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.1% (three month average)
RSI   14
Latest Price   $32.8400(-3.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.55% (StdDev 3.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $24.05(-26.77%)
Resistance Level   $36.37
5 Day Moving Average   $33.85(-2.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.93(-5.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.37(-9.71%)
To recent high   -19.1%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $1.325b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 5.39% (three month std-dev: 3.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.05%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.19%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.38%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.46%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.38%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2005	37.29	36.37	34.93	33.85	33.85	33.75	32.84(-3.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-50	-20	-21	-135	1.01	37%	-0.24	-63.3	3.1%	0	-1.8	14	0
2	Dec_22_2005	37.38	36.67	35.41	34.46	34.38	34.05	34(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-37	-70	-9	-122	0.32	38%	-0.19	-54.6	3.09%	0	-1.5	15	0
3	Dec_21_2005	37.45	36.94	35.89	34.8	34.86	33.95	34.06(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-180	-24	-113	0.75	38%	-0.24	-35.5	3.09%	0	-1.6	36	0
4	Dec_20_2005	37.54	37.2	36.37	35.19	35.33	34.7	33.44(-4.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-110	-31	-95	1.14	38%	-0.24	-13	3.07%	0	-2.2	40	0
5	Dec_19_2005	37.63	37.56	36.94	35.65	35.84	35.76	34.91(-2.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	0	-15	-66	0.57	37%	-0.19	15.9	3.03%	0	-1.6	46	0

6	Dec_16_2005	37.7	37.66	37.36	36.16	36.1	35.97	35.89(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-30	-10	-35	0.62	37%	-0.16	37.6	3.13%	0	-1.2	53	0
7	Dec_15_2005	37.76	37.7	37.72	36.51	36.6	35.91	35.7(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-120	-23	-27	0.44	37%	-0.16	55.3	3.13%	0	-1.3	38	0
8	Dec_14_2005	37.82	37.58	37.91	37.17	37.25	36.24	36.03(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-180	-34	-21	0.45	37%	-0.11	56.8	3.14%	0	-0.9	37	0
9	Dec_13_2005	37.86	37.43	37.98	37.75	38.03	37.28	35.7(-4.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-120	-33	-18	0.82	37%	-0.13	56.4	3.14%	0	-0.8	36	0
10	Dec_12_2005	37.91	37.31	38.09	38.41	38.68	38.25	37.47(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-60	-18	-13	0.69	45%	-0.05	60.6	3.09%	0	0.1	35	0

11	Dec_9_2005	37.93	37.1	37.97	38.73	39.07	38.79	37.67(-3.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-20	-12	-3	0.49	45%	-0.05	58	3.3%	0	0.2	57	0
12	Dec_8_2005	37.95	36.88	38.06	39.09	39.25	39.11	39(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10	1	23	0.27	47%	0	60.7	3.27%	0	0.8	62	0
13	Dec_7_2005	37.95	36.58	38.06	38.75	39.35	39.35	38.91(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	50	12	47	0.35	47%	0	57.4	3.28%	0	0.8	72	0
14	Dec_6_2005	37.95	36.25	38.07	38.24	38.84	39.4	38.98(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	150	16	67	0.61	47%	0.03	50.9	3.29%	0	1	73	0
15	Dec_5_2005	37.94	35.94	38.2	37.71	38.11	39.36	39.11(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	260	33	97	0.37	47%	0	46	3.29%	0	1.1	71	0

16	Dec_2_2005	37.94	35.68	37.93	37.1	37.43	38.28	39.47(5.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	190	29	97	1.09	50%	0.03	44.3	3.31%	0	1.4	72	0
17	Dec_1_2005	37.93	35.33	37.61	36.93	36.92	36.87	37.3(2.67%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-10	-7	96	0.48	46%	-0.05	45.1	3.29%	0	0.7	67	0
18	Nov_30_2005	37.95	35.06	37.2	37.32	37.5	36.57	36.33(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-160	-22	107	0.59	46%	-0.05	46.2	3.25%	0	0.5	66	0
19	Nov_29_2005	37.97	34.86	36.84	37.89	38.21	36.98	36.36(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-200	-43	121	0.45	46%	-0.11	47.8	3.25%	0	0.5	68	0
20	Nov_28_2005	38.01	34.67	36.52	38.74	38.98	38.42	36.05(-6.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	26	-80	-20	163	1.07	46%	-0.08	54	3.25%	0	0.5	64	0

21	Nov_25_2005	38.04	34.49	36.23	38.81	39.38	39.44	38.61(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	56	50	14	183	0.28	50%	0.05	53	3.14%	0	1.5	65	0
22	Nov_23_2005	38.02	34.16	35.68	38.33	38.63	39.54	39.27(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	74	190	37	186	0.36	50%	0.08	48.4	3.12%	0	2	72	0
23	Nov_22_2005	37.99	33.84	35.01	37.02	37.47	39.33	39.17(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	93	380	69	164	0.7	50%	0.03	34.8	3.12%	0	2.3	73	0
24	Nov_21_2005	37.98	33.58	34.28	35.61	35.66	37.72	40.6(11.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	91	410	79	125	1.48	52%	0.13	20.4	3.1%	0	3.5	77	0
25	Nov_18_2005	37.93	33.22	33.43	34.04	34.06	35.61	36.42(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	65	320	62	75	0.89	42%		-2.4	2.75%	0	2.6	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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