Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 21, 2005

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $40.6000 (11.48%) ($36.2900 - $42.3700) on Mon. Nov. 21, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.1% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $40.6000(11.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 4.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.55% (StdDev 3.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 10.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.61(14.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.28(18.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.58(20.91%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   27.1%
Market Cap   $1.637b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 5.99% (three month std-dev: 3.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2005	37.98	33.58	34.28	35.61	35.66	37.72	40.6(11.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	91	410	79	125	1.48	52%	0.13	20.4	3.1%	0	3.5	77	0
2	Nov_18_2005	37.93	33.22	33.43	34.04	34.06	35.61	36.42(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	65	320	62	75	0.89	42%	0.05	-2.4	2.75%	0	2.6	66	0
3	Nov_17_2005	37.91	33.06	33.16	33.31	33.21	33.61	36.21(10.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	42	80	39	49	1.2	42%	0.03	-23.9	2.78%	0	3	66	0
4	Nov_16_2005	37.9	32.94	32.76	32.68	32.76	32.51	32.69(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-50	-8	12	0.24	29%	-0.05	-43.7	2.43%	0	-0.3	55	0
5	Nov_15_2005	37.92	33.05	32.69	32.68	32.9	32.81	32.13(-1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-0	-5	3	0.35	28%	-0.08	-33.4	2.46%	0	-0.9	42	0

6	Nov_14_2005	37.95	33.17	32.7	32.68	32.96	33.01	32.74(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	30	1	-11	0.19	28%	-0.13	-26.4	2.49%	0	-0.4	39	0
7	Nov_11_2005	38	33.25	32.68	32.7	32.88	32.99	32.76(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	40	-6	-25	0.14	38%	-0.13	-24.4	2.66%	0	-0.5	40	0
8	Nov_10_2005	38.05	33.32	32.66	32.97	33.01	32.91	33.06(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-20	2	-19	0.17	38%	-0.16	-23	2.71%	0	-0.3	47	0
9	Nov_9_2005	38.11	33.34	32.56	32.87	33.26	32.77	32.79(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-70	-2	-37	0.37	38%	-0.13	-34	2.71%	0	-0.6	43	0
10	Nov_8_2005	38.16	33.38	32.63	32.7	33.18	33.11	32.14(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	30	-9	-56	0.35	37%	-0.16	-55.3	2.71%	0	-1.3	35	0

11	Nov_7_2005	38.22	33.43	32.86	32.68	33	33.74	32.73(-4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	190	13	-49	0.45	37%	-0.13	-82.4	2.72%	0	-0.8	40	0
12	Nov_4_2005	38.27	33.49	33.01	32.65	32.66	33.25	34.13(4.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	12	130	31	-44	0.7	39%	-0.13	-96.7	2.68%	0	0.6	48	0
13	Nov_3_2005	38.32	33.54	32.95	32.32	32.22	32.26	32.54(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-0	7	-72	0.52	33%	-0.16	-109.3	2.6%	0	-1	40	0
14	Nov_2_2005	38.38	33.68	33.1	32.24	32.04	32.08	31.95(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10	-11	-79	0.82	33%	-0.18	-103.5	2.61%	0	-1.4	41	0
15	Nov_1_2005	38.45	33.92	33.42	32.56	32.2	32.18	32.07(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-40	-13	-59	0.32	33%	-0.16	-85.1	2.62%	0	-1.3	43	0

16	Oct_31_2005	38.51	34.21	33.68	33.06	32.65	32.01	32.54(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-170	-19	-34	0.33	33%	-0.16	-72.6	2.62%	0	-1	49	0
17	Oct_28_2005	38.57	34.49	33.87	33.43	33.22	32.22	32.49(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-230	-33	-23	1.04	33%	-0.18	-69.2	2.62%	0	-1.2	43	0
18	Oct_27_2005	38.64	34.73	34.05	33.67	33.8	33.3	32.14(-4.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-90	-31	-21	0.61	36%	-0.18	-70.9	2.62%	0	-1.5	33	0
19	Oct_26_2005	38.71	35.01	34.05	34.07	34.17	34.22	33.55(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	20	-10	-8	0.61	38%	-0.13	-69.8	2.62%	0	-0.9	40	0
20	Oct_25_2005	38.76	35.21	34.22	34.39	34.3	34.31	34.57(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10	3	-13	0.25	40%	-0.1	-62.9	2.6%	0	-0.3	35	0

21	Oct_24_2005	38.8	35.43	34.07	34.41	34.34	34.12	34.4(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-50	-5	-47	0.51	40%	-0.1	-56.5	2.6%	0	-0.5	30	0
22	Oct_21_2005	38.84	35.69	34.02	34.4	34.49	34.29	33.71(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-30	-8	-74	0.31	40%	-0.15	-51.4	2.6%	0	-0.9	25	0
23	Oct_20_2005	38.9	35.99	34.18	34.48	34.58	34.57	34.13(-2.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-19	10	1	-80	0.44	40%	-0.15	-54.2	2.6%	0	-0.8	33	0
24	Oct_19_2005	38.96	36.23	34.28	34.36	34.53	34.68	35.16(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	50	13	-96	0.5	45%	-0.05	-61.6	2.58%	0	-0.5	35	0
25	Oct_18_2005	38.98	36.42	34.43	34.01	34.24	34.59	34.63(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	90	16	-110	0.7	45%		-69.5	2.62%	0	-0.8	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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