Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 4, 2005

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $34.1300 (4.89%) ($32.9500 - $35.7800) on Fri. Nov. 4, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.68% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $34.1300(4.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.34% (StdDev 2.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.96(-21.01%)
5 Day Moving Average   $32.65(4.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.01(3.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.49(1.91%)
To recent high   -25.4%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $1.377b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 2.99% (three month std-dev: 2.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_4_2005	38.27	33.49	33.01	32.65	32.66	33.25	34.13(4.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	12	130	31	-44	0.7	39%	-0.13	-96.7	2.68%	0	0.6	48	0
2	Nov_3_2005	38.32	33.54	32.95	32.32	32.22	32.26	32.54(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-0	7	-72	0.52	33%	-0.16	-109.3	2.6%	0	-1	40	0
3	Nov_2_2005	38.38	33.68	33.1	32.24	32.04	32.08	31.95(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10	-11	-79	0.82	33%	-0.18	-103.5	2.61%	0	-1.4	41	0
4	Nov_1_2005	38.45	33.92	33.42	32.56	32.2	32.18	32.07(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-40	-13	-59	0.32	33%	-0.16	-85.1	2.62%	0	-1.3	43	0
5	Oct_31_2005	38.51	34.21	33.68	33.06	32.65	32.01	32.54(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-170	-19	-34	0.33	33%	-0.16	-72.6	2.62%	0	-1	49	0

6	Oct_28_2005	38.57	34.49	33.87	33.43	33.22	32.22	32.49(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-230	-33	-23	1.04	33%	-0.18	-69.2	2.62%	0	-1.2	43	0
7	Oct_27_2005	38.64	34.73	34.05	33.67	33.8	33.3	32.14(-4.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-90	-31	-21	0.61	36%	-0.18	-70.9	2.62%	0	-1.5	33	0
8	Oct_26_2005	38.71	35.01	34.05	34.07	34.17	34.22	33.55(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	20	-10	-8	0.61	38%	-0.13	-69.8	2.62%	0	-0.9	40	0
9	Oct_25_2005	38.76	35.21	34.22	34.39	34.3	34.31	34.57(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10	3	-13	0.25	40%	-0.1	-62.9	2.6%	0	-0.3	35	0
10	Oct_24_2005	38.8	35.43	34.07	34.41	34.34	34.12	34.4(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-50	-5	-47	0.51	40%	-0.1	-56.5	2.6%	0	-0.5	30	0

11	Oct_21_2005	38.84	35.69	34.02	34.4	34.49	34.29	33.71(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-30	-8	-74	0.31	40%	-0.15	-51.4	2.6%	0	-0.9	25	0
12	Oct_20_2005	38.9	35.99	34.18	34.48	34.58	34.57	34.13(-2.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-19	10	1	-80	0.44	40%	-0.15	-54.2	2.6%	0	-0.8	33	0
13	Oct_19_2005	38.96	36.23	34.28	34.36	34.53	34.68	35.16(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	50	13	-96	0.5	45%	-0.05	-61.6	2.58%	0	-0.5	35	0
14	Oct_18_2005	38.98	36.42	34.43	34.01	34.24	34.59	34.63(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	90	16	-110	0.7	45%	-0.13	-69.5	2.62%	0	-0.8	31	0
15	Oct_17_2005	39.03	36.64	34.74	33.69	33.82	34.38	34.37(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	130	14	-129	0.24	45%	-0.08	-80.1	2.63%	0	-1	24	0

16	Oct_14_2005	39.06	36.87	35.1	33.6	33.6	33.89	34.12(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	60	5	-146	0.33	45%	-0.13	-83.7	2.63%	0	-1.1	21	0
17	Oct_13_2005	39.11	37.25	35.42	33.87	33.7	33.26	33.54(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-110	-14	-159	0.3	45%	-0.15	-74.7	2.63%	0	-1.4	17	0
18	Oct_12_2005	39.17	37.68	35.84	34.21	34.22	33.3	33.4(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-72	-190	-40	-167	1.02	43%	-0.18	-68.5	2.63%	0	-1.7	22	0
19	Oct_11_2005	39.24	38.11	36.28	34.93	34.99	34.13	33.04(-2.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-78	-170	-52	-156	0.68	46%	-0.15	-59.6	2.65%	0	-2	20	0
20	Oct_10_2005	39.3	38.6	36.92	35.94	35.99	35.14	33.91(-4.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-60	-160	-40	-118	0.55	46%	-0.15	-48.8	2.71%	0	-1.9	21	0

21	Oct_7_2005	39.36	39.06	37.53	36.81	36.89	35.85	35.44(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-190	-33	-86	0.32	49%	-0.1	-40.7	2.66%	0	-1.7	28	0
22	Oct_6_2005	39.4	39.29	37.97	37.21	37.44	36.83	35.24(-4.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-47	-100	-34	-84	0.49	49%	-0.08	-38.3	2.68%	0	-2.1	18	0
23	Oct_5_2005	39.43	39.53	38.38	37.69	37.79	37.94	37.02(-2.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-22	40	-4	-75	0.5	52%	0	-35.7	2.62%	0	-1.4	20	0
24	Oct_4_2005	39.43	39.68	38.6	37.83	37.75	38.05	38.11(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	50	2	-83	0.19	54%	0.03	-34.4	2.61%	0	-1	28	0
25	Oct_3_2005	39.42	39.82	38.7	38.08	37.83	37.65	38.23(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-50	-8	-98	0.99	54%		-26.1	2.63%	0	-1	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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