Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 19, 2005

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $35.1600 (1.53%) ($33.5300 - $35.1800) on Wed. Oct. 19, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.58% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $35.1600(1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.29% (StdDev 2.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

Resistance Level   $36.23
5 Day Moving Average   $34.36(2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.28(2.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.23(-2.95%)
To recent high   -23.2%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $1.418b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 6.27% (three month std-dev: 2.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2005	38.96	36.23	34.28	34.36	34.53	34.68	35.16(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	50	13	-96	0.5	45%	-0.05	-61.6	2.58%	0	-0.5	35	0
2	Oct_18_2005	38.98	36.42	34.43	34.01	34.24	34.59	34.63(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	90	16	-110	0.7	45%	-0.13	-69.5	2.62%	0	-0.8	31	0
3	Oct_17_2005	39.03	36.64	34.74	33.69	33.82	34.38	34.37(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	130	14	-129	0.24	45%	-0.08	-80.1	2.63%	0	-1	24	0
4	Oct_14_2005	39.06	36.87	35.1	33.6	33.6	33.89	34.12(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	60	5	-146	0.33	45%	-0.13	-83.7	2.63%	0	-1.1	21	0
5	Oct_13_2005	39.11	37.25	35.42	33.87	33.7	33.26	33.54(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-110	-14	-159	0.3	45%	-0.15	-74.7	2.63%	0	-1.4	17	0

6	Oct_12_2005	39.17	37.68	35.84	34.21	34.22	33.3	33.4(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-72	-190	-40	-167	1.02	43%	-0.18	-68.5	2.63%	0	-1.7	22	0
7	Oct_11_2005	39.24	38.11	36.28	34.93	34.99	34.13	33.04(-2.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-78	-170	-52	-156	0.68	46%	-0.15	-59.6	2.65%	0	-2	20	0
8	Oct_10_2005	39.3	38.6	36.92	35.94	35.99	35.14	33.91(-4.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-60	-160	-40	-118	0.55	46%	-0.15	-48.8	2.71%	0	-1.9	21	0
9	Oct_7_2005	39.36	39.06	37.53	36.81	36.89	35.85	35.44(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-190	-33	-86	0.32	49%	-0.1	-40.7	2.66%	0	-1.7	28	0
10	Oct_6_2005	39.4	39.29	37.97	37.21	37.44	36.83	35.24(-4.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-47	-100	-34	-84	0.49	49%	-0.08	-38.3	2.68%	0	-2.1	18	0

11	Oct_5_2005	39.43	39.53	38.38	37.69	37.79	37.94	37.02(-2.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-22	40	-4	-75	0.5	52%	0	-35.7	2.62%	0	-1.4	20	0
12	Oct_4_2005	39.43	39.68	38.6	37.83	37.75	38.05	38.11(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	50	2	-83	0.19	54%	0.03	-34.4	2.61%	0	-1	28	0
13	Oct_3_2005	39.42	39.82	38.7	38.08	37.83	37.65	38.23(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-50	-8	-98	0.99	54%	0.1	-26.1	2.63%	0	-1	25	0
14	Sep_30_2005	39.38	39.96	38.77	38.41	38.27	37.45	37.44(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-50	-160	-27	-118	0.22	54%	0.05	-17	2.64%	0	-1.6	17	0
15	Sep_29_2005	39.36	40.06	39.2	38.88	38.91	38.01	37.67(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-160	-33	-97	0.38	54%	0.1	-11.6	2.63%	0	-1.6	46	0

16	Sep_28_2005	39.32	40.16	39.65	39.16	39.48	39.09	37.7(-4.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-40	-20	-71	0.61	54%	0.1	-6.2	2.63%	0	-1.7	46	0
17	Sep_27_2005	39.28	40.26	40.06	39.44	39.58	39.82	39.35(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	50	1	-45	0.25	53%	0.13	-1.2	2.59%	0	-0.7	51	0
18	Sep_26_2005	39.23	40.25	40.39	39.4	39.49	39.86	39.87(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	70	16	-30	0.34	53%	0.15	-5.4	2.7%	0	-0.3	48	0
19	Sep_23_2005	39.17	40.25	40.39	39.21	39.24	39.34	39.8(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	20	-3	-33	0.35	53%	0.15	-13	2.71%	0	-0.3	46	0
20	Sep_22_2005	39.11	40.23	40.69	39.61	39.17	39.12	39.08(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-40	-21	-26	0.36	53%	0.13	-8.6	2.7%	0	-0.8	54	0

21	Sep_21_2005	39.06	40.25	40.77	40.25	40	39.14	39.1(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-170	-19	-5	0.72	53%	0.1	-6.5	2.72%	0	-0.8	52	0
22	Sep_20_2005	39.02	40.28	40.87	40.79	40.75	39.21	39.13(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-39	-270	-52	1	0.67	53%	0.05	-4.5	2.72%	0	-0.9	53	0
23	Sep_19_2005	39	40.32	41.05	41.52	41.56	40.87	38.92(-6.96%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-2	-29	-110	-50	34	0.87	53%	0.13	-3.4	2.72%	0	-1.1	54	0
24	Sep_16_2005	38.95	40.41	41.28	42.36	42.44	42.28	41.83(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	34	-20	12	98	0.58	58%	0.21	-3.4	2.6%	0	1.1	63	0
25	Sep_15_2005	38.87	40.35	41.02	41.89	42.18	42.25	42.28(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	30	10	81	0.39	58%		-20.3	2.59%	0	1.5	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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