Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 4, 2005

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $38.1100 (-0.31%) ($37.8800 - $39.0100) on Tue. Oct. 4, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.61% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $38.1100(-0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.305% (StdDev 2.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $30.36(-20.34%)
Resistance Level   $39.68
5 Day Moving Average   $37.83(0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.6(-1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.68(-3.96%)
To recent high   -16.7%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $1.537b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 4.16% (three month std-dev: 2.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2005	39.43	39.68	38.6	37.83	37.75	38.05	38.11(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	50	2	-83	0.19	54%	0.03	-34.4	2.61%	0	-1	28	0
2	Oct_3_2005	39.42	39.82	38.7	38.08	37.83	37.65	38.23(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-50	-8	-98	0.99	54%	0.1	-26.1	2.63%	0	-1	25	0
3	Sep_30_2005	39.38	39.96	38.77	38.41	38.27	37.45	37.44(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-50	-160	-27	-118	0.22	54%	0.05	-17	2.64%	0	-1.6	17	0
4	Sep_29_2005	39.36	40.06	39.2	38.88	38.91	38.01	37.67(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-160	-33	-97	0.38	54%	0.1	-11.6	2.63%	0	-1.6	46	0
5	Sep_28_2005	39.32	40.16	39.65	39.16	39.48	39.09	37.7(-4.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-40	-20	-71	0.61	54%	0.1	-6.2	2.63%	0	-1.7	46	0

6	Sep_27_2005	39.28	40.26	40.06	39.44	39.58	39.82	39.35(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	50	1	-45	0.25	53%	0.13	-1.2	2.59%	0	-0.7	51	0
7	Sep_26_2005	39.23	40.25	40.39	39.4	39.49	39.86	39.87(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	70	16	-30	0.34	53%	0.15	-5.4	2.7%	0	-0.3	48	0
8	Sep_23_2005	39.17	40.25	40.39	39.21	39.24	39.34	39.8(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	20	-3	-33	0.35	53%	0.15	-13	2.71%	0	-0.3	46	0
9	Sep_22_2005	39.11	40.23	40.69	39.61	39.17	39.12	39.08(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-40	-21	-26	0.36	53%	0.13	-8.6	2.7%	0	-0.8	54	0
10	Sep_21_2005	39.06	40.25	40.77	40.25	40	39.14	39.1(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-170	-19	-5	0.72	53%	0.1	-6.5	2.72%	0	-0.8	52	0

11	Sep_20_2005	39.02	40.28	40.87	40.79	40.75	39.21	39.13(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-39	-270	-52	1	0.67	53%	0.05	-4.5	2.72%	0	-0.9	53	0
12	Sep_19_2005	39	40.32	41.05	41.52	41.56	40.87	38.92(-6.96%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-2	-29	-110	-50	34	0.87	53%	0.13	-3.4	2.72%	0	-1.1	54	0
13	Sep_16_2005	38.95	40.41	41.28	42.36	42.44	42.28	41.83(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	34	-20	12	98	0.58	58%	0.21	-3.4	2.6%	0	1.1	63	0
14	Sep_15_2005	38.87	40.35	41.02	41.89	42.18	42.25	42.28(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	30	10	81	0.39	58%	0.21	-20.3	2.59%	0	1.5	63	0
15	Sep_14_2005	38.79	40.35	40.73	41.35	41.58	42.6	41.81(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	190	25	72	0.43	58%	0.18	-27.6	2.59%	0	1.2	64	0

16	Sep_13_2005	38.72	40.34	40.47	40.95	40.91	42.11	42.74(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	52	200	46	68	0.48	58%	0.21	-32.2	2.58%	0	1.9	66	0
17	Sep_12_2005	38.64	40.37	40.08	40.54	40.22	40.55	43.12(9.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	30	30	26	43	1.23	58%	0.26	-25.7	2.57%	0	1.9	65	0
18	Sep_9_2005	38.54	40.45	39.67	40.11	40.11	39.71	39.51(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-70	-4	12	0.32	51%	0.05	-17.2	2.32%	0	-0.5	42	0
19	Sep_8_2005	38.52	40.61	39.7	40.02	40.23	39.89	39.58(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	-40	-11	-0	0.21	51%	0.03	-14.7	2.32%	0	-0.6	40	0
20	Sep_7_2005	38.51	40.69	39.66	39.98	40.11	40.51	39.79(-2.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	80	4	-15	0.27	51%	0	-16.7	2.33%	0	-0.5	33	0

21	Sep_6_2005	38.51	40.75	39.62	39.87	39.92	40.57	40.72(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	19	120	33	-23	0.61	51%	-0.03	-22.8	2.31%	0	-0	39	0
22	Sep_2_2005	38.52	40.74	39.52	39.52	39.46	39.7	40.95(4.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	40	20	-65	0.69	51%	0	-33.5	2.33%	0	0.1	31	0
23	Sep_1_2005	38.52	40.76	39.46	39.21	39.16	39.27	39.05(-0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-33	20	-4	-119	0.53	53%	-0.08	-40.7	2.25%	0	-1	13	0
24	Aug_31_2005	38.55	40.88	39.63	39.34	39.29	39.22	39.38(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-26	-20	4	-117	0.35	53%	-0.05	-41.6	2.38%	0	-0.9	37	0
25	Aug_30_2005	38.57	40.98	39.91	39.29	39.32	39.06	39.27(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	-40	-8	-117	0.23	53%		-42.9	2.39%	0	-1	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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