Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 30, 2005

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $39.2700 (0.85%) ($38.7500 - $39.5700) on Tue. Aug. 30, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.39% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $39.2700(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.195% (StdDev 2.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $31.37(-20.12%)
Resistance Level   $40.98
5 Day Moving Average   $39.29(-0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.91(-1.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.98(-4.17%)
To recent high   -14.2%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $1.584b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 4.15% (three month std-dev: 2.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.29%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.01%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.64%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.89%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.64%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050930

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_30_2005	38.57	40.98	39.91	39.29	39.32	39.06	39.27(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	-40	-8	-117	0.23	53%	-0.08	-42.9	2.39%	0	-1	46	0
2	Aug_29_2005	38.6	41.16	40.19	39.32	39.42	39.35	38.94(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-0	-11	-112	0.25	53%	-0.08	-36.5	2.41%	0	-1.3	44	0
3	Aug_26_2005	38.63	41.33	40.67	39.51	39.6	39.58	39.39(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	0	-6	-87	0.2	50%	-0.13	-29.9	2.41%	0	-1.2	49	0
4	Aug_25_2005	38.68	41.48	41.28	39.76	39.84	39.48	39.72(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-60	-11	-58	0.2	50%	-0.05	-20.5	2.45%	0	-1.2	46	0
5	Aug_24_2005	38.7	41.59	41.59	39.98	40.18	39.61	39.15(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-80	-31	-52	0.3	50%	-0.1	-9.3	2.44%	0	-1.7	45	0

6	Aug_23_2005	38.74	41.73	41.81	40.64	40.69	40.19	39.42(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-80	-31	-34	0.33	50%	-0.1	11.2	2.45%	0	-1.6	45	0
7	Aug_22_2005	38.78	41.78	42.02	41.19	41.38	40.74	39.86(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-90	-33	-26	0.48	50%	-0.05	25.5	2.45%	0	-1.4	41	0
8	Aug_19_2005	38.8	41.81	42.11	42.02	41.98	41.19	40.63(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-130	-50	-15	0.94	50%	-0.03	50.8	2.44%	0	-0.9	46	0
9	Aug_18_2005	38.81	41.79	42.21	43.04	43.08	42.02	40.85(-3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-17	-170	-30	22	0.42	53%	-0.05	72.8	2.44%	0	-0.7	47	0
10	Aug_17_2005	38.83	41.73	42.27	43.42	43.72	42.77	42.43(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-130	-22	36	0.7	56%	0.05	76.2	2.44%	0	0.5	54	0

11	Aug_16_2005	38.81	41.57	42.18	43.13	43.68	44.14	42.18(-4.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	110	-1	35	0.83	60%	0	70.9	2.44%	0	0.4	54	0
12	Aug_15_2005	38.81	41.43	42.23	42.92	43.2	44.66	44(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	260	55	65	1.03	64%	0.13	62.8	2.51%	0	1.5	67	0
13	Aug_12_2005	38.76	41.13	42.03	42.18	42.13	43.22	45.76(7.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	56	180	56	54	1.92	68%	0.1	46.2	2.46%	0	2.7	74	0
14	Aug_11_2005	38.72	40.77	41.63	41.32	41.42	41.74	42.71(4.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	60	24	26	0.51	64%	0	42	2.32%	0	1.4	67	0
15	Aug_10_2005	38.72	40.59	41.52	41.02	41.25	41.04	41.02(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-20	-3	20	0.18	61%	-0.05	39.9	2.27%	0	0.3	65	0

16	Aug_9_2005	38.74	40.47	41.57	41.1	41.27	41.09	41.1(1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-7	-20	-20	32	0.14	61%	-0.1	46.6	2.28%	0	0.5	67	0
17	Aug_8_2005	38.78	40.47	41.57	41.44	41.61	41.46	40.33(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10	-12	53	0.25	61%	-0.13	62.9	2.27%	0	-0	60	0
18	Aug_5_2005	38.83	40.36	41.49	41.81	41.97	41.44	41.42(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-80	-12	82	0.34	65%	-0.1	84.1	2.24%	0	0.7	75	0
19	Aug_4_2005	38.87	40.21	41.37	41.97	42.07	41.77	41.24(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-40	-22	93	0.63	59%	-0.08	97.3	2.26%	0	0.7	65	0
20	Aug_3_2005	38.9	40.05	41.18	42.08	42.34	42.49	41.39(-3.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	30	40	4	108	2.67	59%	-0.1	103	2.32%	0	0.8	64	0

21	Aug_2_2005	38.94	39.84	40.96	42.1	42.21	42.38	42.81(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	40	21	124	0.59	68%	0	105.2	2.29%	0	1.8	76	0
22	Aug_1_2005	38.94	39.53	40.61	41.54	41.82	42.19	42.17(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	80	17	103	0.63	68%	-0.1	107.3	2.38%	0	1.7	69	0
23	Jul_29_2005	38.98	39.2	40.19	41.13	41.36	42.04	42.26(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	130	30	81	0.46	68%	-0.13	89.7	2.4%	0	1.9	58	0
24	Jul_28_2005	39.03	38.83	39.83	40.68	40.7	41.45	41.75(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	130	33	70	0.47	68%	-0.13	68.8	2.4%	0	1.7	65	0
25	Jul_27_2005	39.08	38.48	39.55	40.16	40.21	40.67	41.52(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	80	30	58	0.72	68%		48.6	2.41%	0	1.7	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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