Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 21, 2005

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $37.6700 (-0.11%) ($37.4100 - $38.9500) on Tue. Jun. 21, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.87% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $37.6700(-0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.435% (StdDev 2.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

Resistance Level   $38.65
5 Day Moving Average   $38.18(-1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.48(-2.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.65(-2.54%)
To recent high   -16.2%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $1.519b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 2.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.1%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.8%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.38%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2005	42.56	38.65	38.48	38.18	38.33	37.97	37.67(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-50	-9	-25	0.52	56%	-0.3	-22.6	2.87%	0	-1.4	30	0
2	Jun_20_2005	42.69	38.74	38.58	38.35	38.55	38.18	37.71(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-50	-14	-17	0.86	56%	-0.35	-1.7	2.87%	0	-1.5	56	0
3	Jun_17_2005	42.84	38.83	38.69	38.53	38.71	38.68	37.84(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	10	-8	-6	0.48	56%	-0.63	38.9	2.87%	0	-1.5	51	0
4	Jun_16_2005	43.11	38.91	38.74	38.7	38.8	38.92	38.84(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	30	2	3	0.25	56%	-0.53	80.5	2.88%	0	-0.1	54	0
5	Jun_15_2005	43.34	38.9	38.8	38.78	38.81	38.74	38.86(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	-10	-1	2	0.91	56%	-0.41	115.6	2.88%	0	-0.1	45	0

6	Jun_14_2005	43.52	38.81	38.88	38.78	38.87	38.69	38.5(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-30	-5	2	0.25	51%	-0.39	120.9	2.89%	0	-0.4	42	0
7	Jun_13_2005	43.69	38.75	38.79	38.84	39.05	38.88	38.61(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10	-3	-7	0.22	51%	-0.46	121.8	2.95%	0	-0.2	47	0
8	Jun_10_2005	43.89	38.57	38.74	38.87	39.04	39.06	38.71(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	20	0	-12	0.28	51%	-0.45	88.9	2.98%	0	0.1	46	0
9	Jun_9_2005	44.09	38.4	38.71	38.77	39.04	39.23	39.2(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	70	3	-18	0.36	45%	-0.52	78.6	2.98%	0	0.5	50	0
10	Jun_8_2005	44.32	38.16	38.75	38.83	38.93	39.02	39.18(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	20	3	-11	0.89	45%	-0.47	68.2	3.17%	0	0.6	54	0

11	Jun_7_2005	44.53	37.92	38.81	38.95	39.09	38.63	38.52(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1	-70	-0	4	0.36	45%	-0.16	59.3	3.16%	0	0.3	60	0
12	Jun_6_2005	44.6	37.71	38.9	38.72	39.13	38.85	38.73(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-20	-6	6	0.39	45%	-0.38	47.7	3.19%	0	0.5	61	0
13	Jun_3_2005	44.77	37.49	38.98	38.58	38.89	39.55	38.24(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	140	5	29	0.44	45%	-0.33	42.8	3.18%	0	0.3	69	0
14	Jun_2_2005	44.92	37.28	39.08	38.6	38.62	39.4	39.47(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	140	20	56	0.36	45%	-0.33	40.5	3.16%	0	0.9	72	0
15	Jun_1_2005	45.07	37.02	38.99	38.67	38.41	38.22	39.77(6.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	21	-50	3	73	1.56	45%	-0.31	40.9	3.17%	0	1.2	76	0

16	May_31_2005	45.21	36.8	38.73	38.71	38.64	37.84	37.38(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-150	-24	83	0.49	40%	-0.72	46.3	3.12%	0	0.3	72	0
17	May_27_2005	45.54	36.75	38.72	39.11	39.21	38.6	38.03(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-100	-23	113	0.53	40%	-0.44	54.2	3.08%	0	0.6	74	0
18	May_26_2005	45.74	36.57	38.43	39.42	39.66	39.43	38.37(-3.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	26	-20	-10	134	0.63	40%	-0.52	60.2	3.11%	0	0.8	77	0
19	May_25_2005	45.98	36.36	38.12	39.59	39.75	39.82	39.78(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	20	5	157	0.4	42%	-0.5	56.9	3.1%	0	1.5	88	0
20	May_24_2005	46.21	36.08	37.56	39.35	39.59	39.88	40.01(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	70	17	158	0.53	42%	-0.54	47.5	3.12%	0	1.8	82	0

21	May_23_2005	46.46	35.78	36.96	38.76	39.13	39.68	39.35(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	130	21	137	0.62	42%	-0.6	31.4	3.11%	0	1.8	67	0
22	May_20_2005	46.74	35.57	36.44	38.28	38.39	39.29	39.6(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	170	37	119	0.41	39%	-0.64	14.5	3.16%	0	2.2	62	0
23	May_19_2005	47.04	35.25	35.87	37.28	37.52	38.57	39.22(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	54	220	42	90	0.75	39%	-0.63	-19	3.18%	0	2.5	69	0
24	May_18_2005	47.34	35.11	35.29	36.42	36.41	37.49	38.58(4.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	46	210	40	62	1.19	39%	-0.67	-45.9	3.19%	0	2.2	69	0
25	May_17_2005	47.66	35.09	34.83	35.52	35.59	36.47	37.05(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	180	37	34	0.55	35%		-64.1	3.14%	0	1.1	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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