Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 6, 2005

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $38.7300 (1.28%) ($37.9700 - $39.2400) on Mon. Jun. 6, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.19% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $38.7300(1.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.595% (StdDev 3.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.72(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.9(-0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.71(2.7%)
To recent high   -25.3%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $1.562b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 5.49% (three month std-dev: 3.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 3.48%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.11%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 11.71%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.97%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 9.34%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.31%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050706

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_6_2005	44.6	37.71	38.9	38.72	39.13	38.85	38.73(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-20	-6	6	0.39	45%	-0.38	47.7	3.19%	0	0.5	61	0
2	Jun_3_2005	44.77	37.49	38.98	38.58	38.89	39.55	38.24(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	140	5	29	0.44	45%	-0.33	42.8	3.18%	0	0.3	69	0
3	Jun_2_2005	44.92	37.28	39.08	38.6	38.62	39.4	39.47(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	140	20	56	0.36	45%	-0.33	40.5	3.16%	0	0.9	72	0
4	Jun_1_2005	45.07	37.02	38.99	38.67	38.41	38.22	39.77(6.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	21	-50	3	73	1.56	45%	-0.31	40.9	3.17%	0	1.2	76	0
5	May_31_2005	45.21	36.8	38.73	38.71	38.64	37.84	37.38(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-150	-24	83	0.49	40%	-0.72	46.3	3.12%	0	0.3	72	0

6	May_27_2005	45.54	36.75	38.72	39.11	39.21	38.6	38.03(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-100	-23	113	0.53	40%	-0.44	54.2	3.08%	0	0.6	74	0
7	May_26_2005	45.74	36.57	38.43	39.42	39.66	39.43	38.37(-3.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	26	-20	-10	134	0.63	40%	-0.52	60.2	3.11%	0	0.8	77	0
8	May_25_2005	45.98	36.36	38.12	39.59	39.75	39.82	39.78(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	20	5	157	0.4	42%	-0.5	56.9	3.1%	0	1.5	88	0
9	May_24_2005	46.21	36.08	37.56	39.35	39.59	39.88	40.01(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	70	17	158	0.53	42%	-0.54	47.5	3.12%	0	1.8	82	0
10	May_23_2005	46.46	35.78	36.96	38.76	39.13	39.68	39.35(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	130	21	137	0.62	42%	-0.6	31.4	3.11%	0	1.8	67	0

11	May_20_2005	46.74	35.57	36.44	38.28	38.39	39.29	39.6(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	170	37	119	0.41	39%	-0.64	14.5	3.16%	0	2.2	62	0
12	May_19_2005	47.04	35.25	35.87	37.28	37.52	38.57	39.22(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	54	220	42	90	0.75	39%	-0.63	-19	3.18%	0	2.5	69	0
13	May_18_2005	47.34	35.11	35.29	36.42	36.41	37.49	38.58(4.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	46	210	40	62	1.19	39%	-0.67	-45.9	3.19%	0	2.2	69	0
14	May_17_2005	47.66	35.09	34.83	35.52	35.59	36.47	37.05(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	180	37	34	0.55	35%	-0.69	-64.1	3.14%	0	1.1	62	0
15	May_16_2005	47.99	35.18	34.65	34.9	34.82	35.32	36.93(6.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	90	25	16	1.01	35%	-0.23	-67.9	3.15%	0	0.9	62	0

16	May_13_2005	48.1	35.31	34.55	34.35	34.33	34.71	34.62(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	80	10	-2	0.61	28%	-0.7	-72	3.02%	0	-0.3	45	0
17	May_12_2005	48.44	35.56	34.54	34.24	34.21	34.31	34.92(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	20	13	1	0.99	28%	-0.7	-68.8	3.04%	0	-0.3	59	0
18	May_11_2005	48.78	35.85	34.45	33.98	33.99	33.94	34.06(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	-10	-4	-30	0.55	28%	-0.71	-68.7	3.04%	0	-0.6	40	0
19	May_10_2005	49.13	36.22	34.49	34.02	34.02	34.1	33.98(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	20	-7	-53	0.51	28%	-0.75	-65.8	3.07%	0	-0.8	34	0
20	May_9_2005	49.5	36.58	34.54	34.36	34.15	34.04	34.18(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-40	-11	-70	0.58	28%	-0.74	-62.8	3.08%	0	-0.8	33	0

21	May_6_2005	49.87	36.95	34.67	34.8	34.57	33.94	34.05(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-150	-11	-82	0.29	28%	-0.74	-60.2	3.03%	0	-0.9	32	0
22	May_5_2005	50.24	37.34	34.62	34.88	35.02	34.27	33.63(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-140	-18	-114	0.65	28%	-0.77	-55.7	3.05%	0	-1.1	31	0
23	May_4_2005	50.63	37.86	34.95	34.96	35.1	35.21	34.27(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	30	-9	-128	1.73	39%	-0.76	-53	3.07%	0	-1.1	30	0
24	May_3_2005	51.02	38.26	35.39	34.99	35.01	35.76	35.68(-1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	150	19	-118	0.49	41%	-0.76	-53.2	3.37%	0	-0.8	30	0
25	May_2_2005	51.41	38.62	35.75	34.74	34.64	34.98	36.38(5.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-21	60	16	-133	1.39	41%		-51.9	3.36%	0	-0.6	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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