Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 26, 2005

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $38.3700 (-3.54%) ($38.1800 - $39.9800) on Thu. May. 26, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.11% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $38.3700(-3.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 7.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.555% (StdDev 3.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.42(-2.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.43(-0.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.57(4.92%)
To recent high   -26.8%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $1.548b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 6.26% (three month std-dev: 3.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.59%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 6.15%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2005	45.74	36.57	38.43	39.42	39.66	39.43	38.37(-3.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	26	-20	-10	134	0.63	40%	-0.52	60.2	3.11%	0	0.8	77	0
2	May_25_2005	45.98	36.36	38.12	39.59	39.75	39.82	39.78(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	20	5	157	0.4	42%	-0.5	56.9	3.1%	0	1.5	88	0
3	May_24_2005	46.21	36.08	37.56	39.35	39.59	39.88	40.01(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	70	17	158	0.53	42%	-0.54	47.5	3.12%	0	1.8	82	0
4	May_23_2005	46.46	35.78	36.96	38.76	39.13	39.68	39.35(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	130	21	137	0.62	42%	-0.6	31.4	3.11%	0	1.8	67	0
5	May_20_2005	46.74	35.57	36.44	38.28	38.39	39.29	39.6(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	170	37	119	0.41	39%	-0.64	14.5	3.16%	0	2.2	62	0

6	May_19_2005	47.04	35.25	35.87	37.28	37.52	38.57	39.22(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	54	220	42	90	0.75	39%	-0.63	-19	3.18%	0	2.5	69	0
7	May_18_2005	47.34	35.11	35.29	36.42	36.41	37.49	38.58(4.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	46	210	40	62	1.19	39%	-0.67	-45.9	3.19%	0	2.2	69	0
8	May_17_2005	47.66	35.09	34.83	35.52	35.59	36.47	37.05(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	180	37	34	0.55	35%	-0.69	-64.1	3.14%	0	1.1	62	0
9	May_16_2005	47.99	35.18	34.65	34.9	34.82	35.32	36.93(6.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	90	25	16	1.01	35%	-0.23	-67.9	3.15%	0	0.9	62	0
10	May_13_2005	48.1	35.31	34.55	34.35	34.33	34.71	34.62(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	80	10	-2	0.61	28%	-0.7	-72	3.02%	0	-0.3	45	0

11	May_12_2005	48.44	35.56	34.54	34.24	34.21	34.31	34.92(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	20	13	1	0.99	28%	-0.7	-68.8	3.04%	0	-0.3	59	0
12	May_11_2005	48.78	35.85	34.45	33.98	33.99	33.94	34.06(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	-10	-4	-30	0.55	28%	-0.71	-68.7	3.04%	0	-0.6	40	0
13	May_10_2005	49.13	36.22	34.49	34.02	34.02	34.1	33.98(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	20	-7	-53	0.51	28%	-0.75	-65.8	3.07%	0	-0.8	34	0
14	May_9_2005	49.5	36.58	34.54	34.36	34.15	34.04	34.18(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-40	-11	-70	0.58	28%	-0.74	-62.8	3.08%	0	-0.8	33	0
15	May_6_2005	49.87	36.95	34.67	34.8	34.57	33.94	34.05(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-150	-11	-82	0.29	28%	-0.74	-60.2	3.03%	0	-0.9	32	0

16	May_5_2005	50.24	37.34	34.62	34.88	35.02	34.27	33.63(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-140	-18	-114	0.65	28%	-0.77	-55.7	3.05%	0	-1.1	31	0
17	May_4_2005	50.63	37.86	34.95	34.96	35.1	35.21	34.27(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	30	-9	-128	1.73	39%	-0.76	-53	3.07%	0	-1.1	30	0
18	May_3_2005	51.02	38.26	35.39	34.99	35.01	35.76	35.68(-1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	150	19	-118	0.49	41%	-0.76	-53.2	3.37%	0	-0.8	30	0
19	May_2_2005	51.41	38.62	35.75	34.74	34.64	34.98	36.38(5.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-21	60	16	-133	1.39	41%	-0.62	-51.9	3.36%	0	-0.6	34	0
20	Apr_29_2005	51.73	38.96	36.08	34.56	34.4	34.25	34.44(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-37	-40	2	-152	0.93	32%	-0.65	-52	3.33%	0	-1.3	25	0

21	Apr_28_2005	52.07	39.34	36.61	34.34	34.49	34.3	34.01(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-54	-30	-14	-172	0.84	25%	-0.65	-57.4	3.35%	0	-1.6	22	0
22	Apr_27_2005	52.41	39.75	37.33	34.95	34.5	34.54	34.43(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-51	-30	-21	-141	1.2	29%	-0.61	-57.1	4.13%	0	-1.7	20	0
23	Apr_26_2005	52.73	40.17	38.08	35.87	35.43	34.69	34.43(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-180	-20	-123	0.76	34%	-0.77	-56.3	4.2%	0	-2	29	0
24	Apr_25_2005	53.14	40.51	38.79	36.93	36.68	34.45	35.47(6.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-59	-450	-40	-114	1.37	34%	-0.67	-59.9	4.32%	0	-2	30	0
25	Apr_22_2005	53.5	40.86	39.42	37.87	37.98	36.17	33.34(-10.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-72	-320	-59	-112	4.26	28%		-61.4	4.28%	0	-3.2	19	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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