Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 12, 2005

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $41.4000 (-0.58%) ($40.0400 - $41.7200) on Tue. Apr. 12, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.42% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $41.4000(-0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    VWO(19%)    QQQ(18%)    SPY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.21% (StdDev 4.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.87(-10.94%)
Resistance Level   $42.91
5 Day Moving Average   $42.35(-2.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.4(-2.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.91(-3.52%)
To recent high   -35.7%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $1.67b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 3.15% (three month std-dev: 4.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.33%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.33%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.72%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2005	55.55	42.91	42.4	42.35	42.32	41.52	41.4(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-130	-16	-4	0.81	38%	-0.25	-80	4.42%	0	-1.1	43	0
2	Apr_11_2005	55.69	43.02	42.36	42.65	42.71	42.44	41.64(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-40	-15	-10	0.69	38%	-0.23	-104.3	4.42%	0	-1.1	39	0
3	Apr_8_2005	55.82	43.21	42.4	43.04	43.2	43.13	42.16(-4.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	2	-0	4	-4	0.66	34%	-0.27	-108.5	4.56%	0	-0.8	40	0
4	Apr_7_2005	55.97	43.46	42.45	42.92	43.07	42.98	44.23(4.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-0	4	-14	1.09	39%	-0.21	-103.8	4.57%	0	0.5	43	0
5	Apr_6_2005	56.09	43.58	42.22	42.47	42.75	43.27	42.31(-1.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	100	2	-29	0.53	36%	-0.25	-109	4.58%	0	-0.7	42	0

6	Apr_5_2005	56.23	44.02	42.32	42.46	42.59	43.17	42.9(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	7	100	18	-26	1.03	36%	-0.25	-76.9	4.65%	0	-0.4	43	0
7	Apr_4_2005	56.37	44.43	42.49	42.03	42.04	42.22	43.58(4.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	30	7	-34	0.95	36%	-0.27	-69.4	4.64%	0	-0.3	51	0
8	Apr_1_2005	56.52	44.75	42.59	41.7	41.75	42.02	41.59(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	50	-1	-45	0.51	32%	-0.34	-69.7	4.59%	0	-1	34	0
9	Mar_31_2005	56.71	45.19	42.97	41.9	41.84	41.86	41.97(-0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	-0	3	-46	0.59	32%	-0.26	-67.1	4.63%	0	-1	30	0
10	Mar_30_2005	56.86	45.62	43.21	41.94	41.99	41.48	42.26(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-80	-8	-57	0.83	32%	-0.33	-66	4.63%	0	-1	32	0

11	Mar_29_2005	57.05	46.02	43.44	42.17	42.26	41.82	40.76(-2.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-35	-70	-21	-78	0.8	32%	-0.33	-64.9	4.6%	0	-1.5	18	0
12	Mar_28_2005	57.24	46.6	43.74	43	42.99	42.5	41.9(-1.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-31	-80	-13	-83	0.69	32%	-0.31	-60.7	4.6%	0	-1.3	19	0
13	Mar_24_2005	57.42	47.12	44.11	43.62	43.71	42.69	42.6(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-160	-19	-89	0.72	32%	-0.28	-59.3	4.6%	0	-1.3	27	0
14	Mar_23_2005	57.58	47.56	44.58	44.2	44.42	43.48	42.2(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-130	-21	-89	1.05	32%	-0.23	-63	4.63%	0	-1.6	25	0
15	Mar_22_2005	57.71	48.02	45.08	44.64	44.98	44.73	43.38(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-20	-9	-87	0.82	32%	-0.22	-69.5	4.63%	0	-1.4	26	0

16	Mar_21_2005	57.84	48.4	45.87	44.88	44.93	45.36	44.94(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	70	6	-75	0.82	32%	-0.14	-75.1	4.61%	0	-1.1	32	0
17	Mar_18_2005	57.92	48.83	46.52	44.57	44.71	45.22	44.98(-1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	90	8	-81	0.53	32%	-0.17	-75.3	4.58%	0	-1.2	27	0
18	Mar_17_2005	58.02	49.3	47.05	44.69	44.44	44.51	45.5(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	-10	-3	-88	0.77	32%	-0.19	-68.9	4.62%	0	-1.2	29	0
19	Mar_16_2005	58.13	49.82	47.54	45.07	44.8	44.2	44.41(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-110	-13	-90	0.95	32%	-0.14	-59.8	4.6%	0	-1.6	29	0
20	Mar_15_2005	58.21	50.36	48.19	45.62	45.61	44.38	44.56(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-190	-31	-91	1.31	32%	-0.12	-54.2	4.62%	0	-1.7	31	0

21	Mar_14_2005	58.28	50.83	48.79	47.06	46.7	45.41	43.4(-4.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-52	-220	-43	-78	1.77	32%	-0.14	-45.1	4.6%	0	-2.4	28	0
22	Mar_11_2005	58.36	51.33	49.72	48.75	48.58	46.83	45.59(-3.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-260	-29	-51	1.52	38%	0	-37.5	4.65%	0	-2.2	26	0
23	Mar_10_2005	58.36	51.65	50.42	49.73	49.87	47.98	47.38(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-260	-37	-47	1.35	38%	0.09	-24.6	4.67%	0	-2	27	0
24	Mar_9_2005	58.31	51.94	50.84	50.37	50.78	50.34	47.15(-8.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-30	-40	-25	-44	2.68	38%	0.03	-6.7	4.67%	0	-2.5	23	0
25	Mar_8_2005	58.29	52.22	51.28	51.09	51.4	51.75	51.8(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	70	11	-30	0.77	41%		19.1	4.54%	0	-0.3	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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