Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 14, 2005

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $55.1000 (2.99%) ($53.5000 - $55.4000) on Fri. Jan. 14, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.55% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $55.1000(2.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -11.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(18%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.275% (StdDev 4.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $38.27(-30.54%)
Resistance Level   $62.81
5 Day Moving Average   $53.99(2.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.45(-4.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.81(-12.28%)
To recent high   -25.8%
To recent low   39.1%
Market Cap   $2.222b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 9.93% (three month std-dev: 4.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2005	51.36	62.81	57.45	53.99	53.9	54.25	55.1(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	40	-5	-152	1.15	65%	0.47	-66.1	4.55%	0	-1.2	25	NAN
2	Jan_13_2005	51.12	63.55	58.61	55.08	54.58	53.55	53.5(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	-160	-15	-145	2.17	65%	0.43	-62	4.57%	0	-1.6	27	NAN
3	Jan_12_2005	50.9	64.51	60.07	55.91	55.91	53.56	53.84(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-72	-290	-46	-148	2.21	65%	0.47	-58.6	4.57%	0	-1.8	26	NAN
4	Jan_11_2005	50.66	65.44	61.53	57.51	57.68	55.61	53.1(-2.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-77	-240	-57	-136	3.41	65%	0.46	-50.7	4.57%	0	-2.2	24	NAN
5	Jan_10_2005	50.43	66.47	63.31	59.39	59.84	58.27	54.43(-10.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-57	-160	-40	-109	2.3	65%	0.44	-48.6	4.57%	0	-2.5	24	NAN

6	Jan_7_2005	50.21	67.22	64.84	61.35	61.39	59.75	60.54(4.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-190	-41	-92	1.63	69%	0.58	-49.8	4.4%	0	-1.7	32	NAN
7	Jan_6_2005	49.92	67.58	65.53	62.72	63.1	61.42	57.66(-6.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-56	-170	-46	-86	2	68%	0.54	-45.9	4.38%	0	-2.7	22	NAN
8	Jan_5_2005	49.65	68.14	66.63	64.85	65.03	63.02	61.82(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-48	-210	-41	-70	0.97	71%	0.67	-40.8	4.27%	0	-2.2	23	NAN
9	Jan_4_2005	49.32	68.35	67.33	66.19	66.52	64.78	62.48(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-52	-170	-48	-65	1.78	71%	0.69	-39.4	4.27%	0	-2.3	25	NAN
10	Jan_3_2005	48.98	68.94	68.11	67.83	68.04	67.04	64.27(-4.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-33	-90	-29	-46	1.4	71%	0.78	-10.9	4.25%	0	-1.9	25	NAN

11	Dec_31_2004	48.6	69.26	68.65	68.81	69.13	68.26	67.36(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-70	-10	-25	0.55	75%	0.83	12.7	4.23%	0	-0.8	51	NAN
12	Dec_30_2004	48.2	69.26	68.9	68.76	69.27	69.04	68.33(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-0	-9	-21	0.58	75%	0.86	27	4.26%	0	-0.4	56	NAN
13	Dec_29_2004	47.79	69.31	69.26	68.68	69.02	70	68.53(-2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	110	8	-7	1.28	75%	0.87	47.2	4.25%	0	-0.4	55	NAN
14	Dec_28_2004	47.38	69.37	69.59	68.64	68.81	69.5	70.64(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	80	21	11	1.13	75%	0.92	78.7	4.22%	0	0.6	66	NAN
15	Dec_27_2004	46.95	69.21	69.79	68.51	68.48	68.04	69.19(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-50	-6	-4	1.12	75%	1.25	106.2	4.22%	0	-0	42	NAN

16	Dec_23_2004	46.37	68.98	69.7	68.54	69.11	68.12	67.09(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-80	-17	-12	0.62	76%	0.76	110.5	4.21%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
17	Dec_22_2004	46.02	68.72	69.7	69.07	69.62	68.92	67.93(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-50	-24	-10	0.84	74%	0.77	104.8	4.27%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
18	Dec_21_2004	45.67	68.29	69.75	69.93	70.23	70.1	68.35(-2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-0	-13	2	1.33	75%	0.77	94.8	4.32%	0	0	53	NAN
19	Dec_20_2004	45.32	67.67	69.48	70.66	71.06	70.32	69.98(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-60	-7	5	1.52	75%	0.8	79.6	4.32%	0	0.5	52	NAN
20	Dec_17_2004	44.96	66.92	69.85	71.28	71.4	70.37	69.35(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-100	-19	20	0.83	75%	0.81	68.3	4.33%	0	0.4	55	NAN

21	Dec_16_2004	44.6	66.33	69.94	71.01	71.96	71.79	69.76(-3.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	20	2	37	1.06	75%	0.81	60.8	4.33%	0	0.6	61	NAN
22	Dec_15_2004	44.24	65.68	69.79	70.46	71.14	72.44	72.2(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	160	20	53	1.08	75%	0.87	55.9	4.29%	0	1	69	NAN
23	Dec_14_2004	43.86	64.85	69.37	69.52	69.76	72.13	72.02(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	250	46	73	1.59	75%	0.85	47	4.29%	0	1.1	72	NAN
24	Dec_13_2004	43.49	64.05	69.09	68.11	68.32	69.85	73.07(7.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	170	33	82	2.87	76%	0.9	38.5	4.27%	0	1.4	76	NAN
25	Dec_10_2004	43.1	63.3	68.49	68.34	67.53	67.4	67.99(1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-50	-4	102	1.01	75%		43.3	4.22%	0	0.8	75	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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