Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 29, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $68.5300 (-2.99%) ($67.3600 - $71.5100) on Wed. Dec. 29, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.25% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $68.5300(-2.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(18%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.125% (StdDev 4.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

Resistance Level   $69.31
5 Day Moving Average   $68.68(-0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.26(-1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.31(-1.13%)
To recent high   -7.7%
To recent low   92.1%
Market Cap   $2.764b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 3.2% (three month std-dev: 4.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_29_2004	47.79	69.31	69.26	68.68	69.02	70	68.53(-2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	110	8	-7	1.28	75%	0.87	47.2	4.25%	0	-0.4	55	0
2	Dec_28_2004	47.38	69.37	69.59	68.64	68.81	69.5	70.64(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	80	21	11	1.13	75%	0.92	78.7	4.22%	0	0.6	66	0
3	Dec_27_2004	46.95	69.21	69.79	68.51	68.48	68.04	69.19(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-50	-6	-4	1.12	75%	1.25	106.2	4.22%	0	-0	42	0
4	Dec_23_2004	46.37	68.98	69.7	68.54	69.11	68.12	67.09(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-80	-17	-12	0.62	76%	0.76	110.5	4.21%	0	-0.8	47	0
5	Dec_22_2004	46.02	68.72	69.7	69.07	69.62	68.92	67.93(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-50	-24	-10	0.84	74%	0.77	104.8	4.27%	0	-0.3	52	0

6	Dec_21_2004	45.67	68.29	69.75	69.93	70.23	70.1	68.35(-2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-0	-13	2	1.33	75%	0.77	94.8	4.32%	0	0	53	0
7	Dec_20_2004	45.32	67.67	69.48	70.66	71.06	70.32	69.98(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-60	-7	5	1.52	75%	0.8	79.6	4.32%	0	0.5	52	0
8	Dec_17_2004	44.96	66.92	69.85	71.28	71.4	70.37	69.35(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-100	-19	20	0.83	75%	0.81	68.3	4.33%	0	0.4	55	0
9	Dec_16_2004	44.6	66.33	69.94	71.01	71.96	71.79	69.76(-3.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	20	2	37	1.06	75%	0.81	60.8	4.33%	0	0.6	61	0
10	Dec_15_2004	44.24	65.68	69.79	70.46	71.14	72.44	72.2(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	160	20	53	1.08	75%	0.87	55.9	4.29%	0	1	69	0

11	Dec_14_2004	43.86	64.85	69.37	69.52	69.76	72.13	72.02(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	250	46	73	1.59	75%	0.85	47	4.29%	0	1.1	72	0
12	Dec_13_2004	43.49	64.05	69.09	68.11	68.32	69.85	73.07(7.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	170	33	82	2.87	76%	0.9	38.5	4.27%	0	1.4	76	0
13	Dec_10_2004	43.1	63.3	68.49	68.34	67.53	67.4	67.99(1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-50	-4	102	1.01	75%	0.82	43.3	4.22%	0	0.8	75	0
14	Dec_9_2004	42.75	62.89	68.15	68.8	68.67	66.8	67.04(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-200	-16	123	1.31	75%	0.87	47.1	4.22%	0	0.7	67	0
15	Dec_8_2004	42.38	62.35	67.61	69.01	69.28	67.66	67.48(3.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-150	-38	132	2.77	75%	0.83	46	4.23%	0	0.8	68	0

16	Dec_7_2004	42.03	61.97	66.76	69.13	69.68	70.55	64.96(-12.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	31	110	-11	156	4.09	75%	0.82	52.7	4.25%	0	0.5	67	0
17	Dec_6_2004	41.69	61.66	65.87	70.05	69.83	70.91	74.25(5.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	86	100	44	211	3.41	81%	0.97	61.3	3.89%	0	2.1	81	0
18	Dec_3_2004	41.29	60.75	63.84	68.68	68.96	68.81	70.29(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	-0	15	175	1.85	78%	0.88	66.3	3.88%	0	1.8	69	0
19	Dec_2_2004	40.93	60.16	62.47	67.43	68.32	68.75	68.05(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	80	16	152	1.84	78%	0.84	70.9	3.94%	0	1.7	63	0
20	Dec_1_2004	40.59	59.65	61.27	66	67.06	69.11	68.11(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	260	50	148	2.1	78%	0.87	70.9	3.94%	0	1.9	69	0

21	Nov_30_2004	40.24	58.96	59.97	63.98	64.67	67.89	69.57(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	96	380	87	124	2.72	76%	0.85	65.7	3.89%	0	2.6	61	0
22	Nov_29_2004	39.9	58.2	58.52	61.01	61.5	65	67.4(5.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	89	420	93	75	3.97	76%	0.78	60.5	3.94%	0	2.8	61	0
23	Nov_26_2004	39.59	57.45	57.54	58.29	58.37	61.45	64.04(5.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	63	370	73	31	2.19	75%	0.76	47.2	3.9%	0	2.4	61	0
24	Nov_24_2004	39.29	56.96	57.03	56.83	56.35	57.99	60.87(4.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	37	180	49	1	1.75	75%	0.61	57.4	3.87%	0	1.8	52	0
25	Nov_23_2004	39.05	56.7	56.51	55.89	55.59	55.29	58.01(6.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-50	13	-35	1.92	71%		72.5	3.86%	0	0.6	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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