Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ OSTK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 7, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $64.9600 (-12.51%) ($64.4800 - $72.7400) on Tue. Dec. 7, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.25% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $64.9600(-12.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 11.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(20%)    EEM(19%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(18%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.125% (StdDev 4.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -10.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.13(-6.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.76(-2.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.97(4.82%)
To recent high   -12.5%
To recent low   117.3%
Market Cap   $2.62b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 9.7% (three month std-dev: 4.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_7_2004	42.03	61.97	66.76	69.13	69.68	70.55	64.96(-12.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	31	110	-11	156	4.09	75%	0.82	52.7	4.25%	0	0.5	67	NAN
2	Dec_6_2004	41.69	61.66	65.87	70.05	69.83	70.91	74.25(5.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	86	100	44	211	3.41	81%	0.97	61.3	3.89%	0	2.1	81	NAN
3	Dec_3_2004	41.29	60.75	63.84	68.68	68.96	68.81	70.29(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	-0	15	175	1.85	78%	0.88	66.3	3.88%	0	1.8	69	NAN
4	Dec_2_2004	40.93	60.16	62.47	67.43	68.32	68.75	68.05(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	80	16	152	1.84	78%	0.84	70.9	3.94%	0	1.7	63	NAN
5	Dec_1_2004	40.59	59.65	61.27	66	67.06	69.11	68.11(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	260	50	148	2.1	78%	0.87	70.9	3.94%	0	1.9	69	NAN

6	Nov_30_2004	40.24	58.96	59.97	63.98	64.67	67.89	69.57(3.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	96	380	87	124	2.72	76%	0.85	65.7	3.89%	0	2.6	61	NAN
7	Nov_29_2004	39.9	58.2	58.52	61.01	61.5	65	67.4(5.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	89	420	93	75	3.97	76%	0.78	60.5	3.94%	0	2.8	61	NAN
8	Nov_26_2004	39.59	57.45	57.54	58.29	58.37	61.45	64.04(5.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	63	370	73	31	2.19	75%	0.76	47.2	3.9%	0	2.4	61	NAN
9	Nov_24_2004	39.29	56.96	57.03	56.83	56.35	57.99	60.87(4.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	37	180	49	1	1.75	75%	0.61	57.4	3.87%	0	1.8	52	NAN
10	Nov_23_2004	39.05	56.7	56.51	55.89	55.59	55.29	58.01(6.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-50	13	-35	1.92	71%	0.49	72.5	3.86%	0	0.6	49	NAN

11	Nov_22_2004	38.86	56.42	56.69	55.37	55.53	54.72	54.72(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-90	-20	-43	1.47	70%	0.47	75.6	3.88%	0	-0.7	53	NAN
12	Nov_19_2004	38.68	56.29	57.12	55.61	55.87	55.9	53.82(-5.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	20	-17	-30	1.99	71%	0.44	94.3	3.9%	0	-0.9	50	NAN
13	Nov_18_2004	38.51	56.21	57.48	56.6	56.2	56.35	56.72(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-0	-4	-1	1.99	75%	0.5	100.2	3.83%	0	0.1	60	NAN
14	Nov_17_2004	38.32	55.71	57.74	57.25	56.86	55.84	56.17(1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-150	-6	20	1.48	75%	0.45	91.4	3.89%	0	0.1	55	NAN
15	Nov_16_2004	38.15	55.11	58.02	57.23	57.3	56.05	55.41(-0.95%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-23	-150	-36	15	0.78	76%	0.42	87.1	3.9%	0	0.1	51	NAN

16	Nov_15_2004	37.99	54.61	58.01	58.21	57.84	57.87	55.94(-4.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-20	-20	43	2.04	76%	0.48	86.6	3.94%	0	0.2	59	NAN
17	Nov_12_2004	37.81	53.88	58	58.82	58.7	58.55	58.77(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-20	15	79	1.62	79%	0.56	83.5	3.88%	0	0.8	65	NAN
18	Nov_11_2004	37.6	52.97	57.45	58.46	58.43	57.81	59.97(6.97%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-80	-13	69	3.38	79%	0.62	78.8	3.89%	0	1	66	NAN
19	Nov_10_2004	37.37	52	56.91	58.36	58.53	58.85	56.06(-7.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	50	-10	97	3.44	78%	0.57	76	3.83%	0	0.6	71	NAN
20	Nov_9_2004	37.16	51.17	56.93	58.91	58.82	59.05	60.31(2.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	62	20	27	166	1.69	83%	0.7	75.1	3.71%	0	1.2	82	NAN

21	Nov_8_2004	36.9	50.06	56.12	57.78	58.2	58.21	58.97(3.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	20	8	166	1.33	83%	0.68	69.7	3.73%	0	1.2	76	NAN
22	Nov_5_2004	36.65	48.99	55.36	57.05	57.38	58.58	57.01(-4.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	64	160	21	192	2.17	75%	0.63	66.7	3.89%	0	1	80	NAN
23	Nov_4_2004	36.42	48.08	54.82	56.22	56.33	58.19	59.43(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	92	240	45	231	1.95	76%	0.66	65.3	3.88%	0	1.5	84	NAN
24	Nov_3_2004	36.18	47.08	53.48	55.27	55.04	56.18	58.82(7.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	82	130	31	233	3.11	76%	0.7	67.7	3.92%	0	1.6	82	NAN
25	Nov_2_2004	35.93	46.05	51.93	54.72	54.5	54.47	54.69(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	73	-20	14	248	1.22	74%		72.3	3.84%	0	1.3	81	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.