Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 12, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $37.8300 (0.83%) ($36.9000 - $38.7400) on Tue. Oct. 12, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.52% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $37.8300(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(18%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(-1%)    FXI(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.76% (StdDev 3.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.54(-1.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38(-0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.13(4.71%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   39%
Market Cap   $1.526b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 6.62% (three month std-dev: 3.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.78%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 5.72%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 6.64%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.6%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2004	33.89	36.13	38	38.54	38.76	37.92	37.83(0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-130	-16	77	0.75	53%	0.18	83.4	3.52%	0	0.7	73	NAN
2	Oct_11_2004	33.83	35.86	37.77	38.69	38.98	38.74	37.52(-2.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-20	-17	87	0.85	53%	0.24	83.6	3.56%	0	0.7	63	NAN
3	Oct_8_2004	33.75	35.57	37.53	38.95	39.11	39.61	38.61(-3.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	100	9	117	0.72	53%	0.27	83.2	3.54%	0	1.1	72	NAN
4	Oct_7_2004	33.66	35.16	37.27	38.81	38.9	39.23	39.99(3.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	70	27	139	1.51	53%	0.27	76.3	3.52%	0	1.7	76	NAN
5	Oct_6_2004	33.57	34.66	36.79	37.99	38.14	38.62	38.77(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	100	16	126	0.27	53%	0.24	68.2	3.51%	0	1.5	74	NAN

6	Oct_5_2004	33.49	34.24	36.22	37.37	37.41	38.57	38.56(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	220	30	119	0.38	53%	0.24	64.7	3.51%	0	1.7	74	NAN
7	Oct_4_2004	33.41	33.87	35.79	36.72	36.64	37.66	38.8(2.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	59	190	40	116	0.5	53%	0.21	63.3	3.53%	0	2	76	NAN
8	Oct_1_2004	33.34	33.45	35.17	35.92	35.81	36.25	37.94(5.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	39	80	20	95	0.63	53%	0.18	56.8	3.52%	0	2	77	NAN
9	Sep_30_2004	33.28	33.13	34.66	35.52	35.34	35.61	35.86(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	40	4	94	0.38	51%	0.15	60.4	3.47%	0	1.4	77	NAN
10	Sep_29_2004	33.23	32.91	34.38	35.43	35.49	35.37	35.67(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-20	16	114	0.36	51%	0.09	62.5	3.48%	0	1.5	78	NAN

11	Sep_28_2004	33.2	32.65	34.09	34.89	35.23	35.06	35.33(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	26	-0	-1	106	0.57	51%	0.09	57.1	3.48%	0	1.5	72	NAN
12	Sep_27_2004	33.17	32.41	33.8	34.69	34.82	35.61	34.81(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	170	13	113	0.83	51%	-0.03	55.2	3.5%	0	1.4	64	NAN
13	Sep_24_2004	33.18	32.25	33.47	34.27	34.45	35.39	35.94(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	56	210	36	117	1.65	51%	-0.06	49	3.48%	0	2.3	72	NAN
14	Sep_23_2004	33.2	32	32.9	33.68	33.65	34.04	35.39(7.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	80	19	86	1.46	53%	-0.06	45.7	3.48%	0	2.5	62	NAN
15	Sep_22_2004	33.22	31.79	32.35	33.2	33.33	33.52	32.97(-4.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	50	5	60	0.44	50%	-0.12	43.9	3.41%	0	1	57	NAN

16	Sep_21_2004	33.26	31.66	32.11	33.18	33.22	33.27	34.35(5.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	10	11	63	0.66	52%	-0.06	46.2	3.39%	0	2.4	67	NAN
17	Sep_20_2004	33.28	31.49	31.8	32.77	33.03	33.14	32.69(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	50	7	56	0.44	49%	-0.09	54.6	3.34%	0	1.3	62	NAN
18	Sep_17_2004	33.31	31.47	31.6	32.53	32.72	33.18	32.99(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	120	19	48	0.4	49%	-0.12	74.8	3.34%	0	1.6	55	NAN
19	Sep_16_2004	33.35	31.38	31.48	31.98	32.16	32.91	33(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	180	29	38	0.96	49%	-0.18	83.2	3.34%	0	1.8	57	NAN
20	Sep_15_2004	33.41	31.3	31.31	31.36	31.4	32.25	32.85(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	25	190	27	17	1.17	49%	-0.21	88.3	3.34%	0	1.9	55	NAN

21	Sep_14_2004	33.48	31.14	31.08	30.89	30.77	31.4	32.33(2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	14	130	18	-0	0.67	49%	-0.09	78.7	3.37%	0	1.5	60	NAN
22	Sep_13_2004	33.51	30.98	30.89	30.71	30.55	30.56	31.49(4.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	-10	9	-12	0.45	49%	-0.12	70.7	3.36%	0	0.6	52	NAN
23	Sep_10_2004	33.55	30.78	30.91	30.55	30.58	30.14	30.25(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-100	-15	-32	0.37	47%	-0.12	44.4	3.34%	0	-0.4	39	NAN
24	Sep_9_2004	33.59	30.67	31.03	30.91	30.85	30.54	29.89(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-80	-17	-22	0.43	47%	-0.15	36	3.34%	0	-0.6	45	NAN
25	Sep_8_2004	33.64	30.61	31.21	31.23	31.25	31.02	30.48(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4	-50	-3	-6	0.24	47%		29.1	3.37%	0	-0.1	46	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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