Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ OSTK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 30, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $35.8600 (0.53%) ($34.8500 - $35.9300) on Thu. Sep. 30, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.47% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $35.8600(0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(19%)    IWM(19%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(18%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(-1%)    REMX(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.735% (StdDev 3.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.52(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.66(3.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.13(8.24%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   31.7%
Market Cap   $1.446b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 5.86% (three month std-dev: 3.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.74%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.86%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 8.98%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2004	33.28	33.13	34.66	35.52	35.34	35.61	35.86(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	40	4	94	0.38	51%	0.15	60.4	3.47%	0	1.4	77	NAN
2	Sep_29_2004	33.23	32.91	34.38	35.43	35.49	35.37	35.67(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-20	16	114	0.36	51%	0.09	62.5	3.48%	0	1.5	78	NAN
3	Sep_28_2004	33.2	32.65	34.09	34.89	35.23	35.06	35.33(1.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	26	-0	-1	106	0.57	51%	0.09	57.1	3.48%	0	1.5	72	NAN
4	Sep_27_2004	33.17	32.41	33.8	34.69	34.82	35.61	34.81(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	170	13	113	0.83	51%	-0.03	55.2	3.5%	0	1.4	64	NAN
5	Sep_24_2004	33.18	32.25	33.47	34.27	34.45	35.39	35.94(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	56	210	36	117	1.65	51%	-0.06	49	3.48%	0	2.3	72	NAN

6	Sep_23_2004	33.2	32	32.9	33.68	33.65	34.04	35.39(7.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	80	19	86	1.46	53%	-0.06	45.7	3.48%	0	2.5	62	NAN
7	Sep_22_2004	33.22	31.79	32.35	33.2	33.33	33.52	32.97(-4.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	50	5	60	0.44	50%	-0.12	43.9	3.41%	0	1	57	NAN
8	Sep_21_2004	33.26	31.66	32.11	33.18	33.22	33.27	34.35(5.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	10	11	63	0.66	52%	-0.06	46.2	3.39%	0	2.4	67	NAN
9	Sep_20_2004	33.28	31.49	31.8	32.77	33.03	33.14	32.69(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	50	7	56	0.44	49%	-0.09	54.6	3.34%	0	1.3	62	NAN
10	Sep_17_2004	33.31	31.47	31.6	32.53	32.72	33.18	32.99(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	120	19	48	0.4	49%	-0.12	74.8	3.34%	0	1.6	55	NAN

11	Sep_16_2004	33.35	31.38	31.48	31.98	32.16	32.91	33(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	180	29	38	0.96	49%	-0.18	83.2	3.34%	0	1.8	57	NAN
12	Sep_15_2004	33.41	31.3	31.31	31.36	31.4	32.25	32.85(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	25	190	27	17	1.17	49%	-0.21	88.3	3.34%	0	1.9	55	NAN
13	Sep_14_2004	33.48	31.14	31.08	30.89	30.77	31.4	32.33(2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	14	130	18	-0	0.67	49%	-0.09	78.7	3.37%	0	1.5	60	NAN
14	Sep_13_2004	33.51	30.98	30.89	30.71	30.55	30.56	31.49(4.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	-10	9	-12	0.45	49%	-0.12	70.7	3.36%	0	0.6	52	NAN
15	Sep_10_2004	33.55	30.78	30.91	30.55	30.58	30.14	30.25(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-100	-15	-32	0.37	47%	-0.12	44.4	3.34%	0	-0.4	39	NAN

16	Sep_9_2004	33.59	30.67	31.03	30.91	30.85	30.54	29.89(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-80	-17	-22	0.43	47%	-0.15	36	3.34%	0	-0.6	45	NAN
17	Sep_8_2004	33.64	30.61	31.21	31.23	31.25	31.02	30.48(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4	-50	-3	-6	0.24	47%	-0.09	29.1	3.37%	0	-0.1	46	NAN
18	Sep_7_2004	33.67	30.54	31.2	31.26	31.35	31.15	31.45(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1	-40	-1	-1	0.31	47%	-0.09	15.1	3.35%	0	0.6	59	NAN
19	Sep_3_2004	33.7	30.36	31.17	31.08	31.23	31.49	30.68(-4.24%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-4	70	-6	3	0.34	47%	-0.09	-5.1	3.33%	0	0.2	60	NAN
20	Sep_2_2004	33.73	30.25	31.36	31.31	31.26	31.55	32.04(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	60	11	47	0.24	49%	-0.09	-17.3	3.3%	0	1.1	71	NAN

21	Sep_1_2004	33.76	30.18	31.36	31.19	31.28	31.55	31.52(2.97%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-60	-1	59	0.46	49%	-0.09	-28.7	3.3%	0	0.8	67	NAN
22	Aug_31_2004	33.79	30.2	31.29	31.2	31.32	30.97	30.61(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-70	-10	76	0.28	49%	-0.15	-30.7	3.27%	0	0.2	61	NAN
23	Aug_30_2004	33.84	30.31	31.22	31.14	31.45	31.59	30.56(-3.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	60	-2	84	0.26	49%	-0.09	-33.6	3.3%	0	0.1	59	NAN
24	Aug_27_2004	33.87	30.44	31.08	31.25	31.31	31.67	31.81(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	90	2	99	0.31	51%	0	-33.7	3.28%	0	0.7	67	NAN
25	Aug_26_2004	33.87	30.53	30.65	31.43	31.29	31.31	31.44(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10	4	103	0.31	51%		-30.1	3.28%	0	0.4	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.