Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Jun. 26, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $38.0700 (0.34%) ($37.8800 - $39.2800) on Sat. Jun. 26, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.47% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $38.0700(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.735% (StdDev 3.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.73(3.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.63(6.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.26(7.97%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   30.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 3.52% (three month std-dev: 3.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.18%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.29%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.99%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2004	31.35	35.26	35.63	36.73	37.01	37.96	38.07(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	200	34	64	0.65	68%	0.71	99.4	3.47%	0	2.3	65	0
2	Jun_24_2004	31.13	35.05	35.22	35.93	36.02	37.09	37.94(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	35	220	33	41	0.41	68%	0.68	110.3	3.52%	0	2.8	67	0
3	Jun_23_2004	30.92	34.82	34.84	35.21	35.2	36.07	37.4(4.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	25	170	28	16	0.46	68%	0.65	130.7	3.54%	0	3.1	58	0
4	Jun_22_2004	30.72	34.52	34.64	34.71	34.73	34.95	35.69(3.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	10	50	13	-1	0.53	65%	0.62	160.6	3.51%	0	1.9	52	0
5	Jun_21_2004	30.53	34.27	34.58	34.54	34.57	34.33	34.55(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-50	0	-10	0.27	65%	0.56	96.3	3.53%	0	0.3	46	0

6	Jun_18_2004	30.36	34.06	34.62	34.35	34.58	34.51	34.08(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	10	-4	-15	0.22	65%	0.43	57.8	3.53%	0	0	49	0
7	Jun_17_2004	30.23	33.93	34.65	34.35	34.46	34.82	34.34(-1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	80	2	-11	0.11	69%	0.5	44.6	3.58%	0	0.3	54	0
8	Jun_16_2004	30.08	33.77	34.74	34.38	34.48	34.65	34.89(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	40	4	-3	0.13	69%	0.5	37.9	3.72%	0	0.6	60	0
9	Jun_15_2004	29.93	33.55	34.76	34.57	34.56	34.1	34.84(3.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-90	-7	13	0.32	69%	0.57	35	3.73%	0	0.7	71	0
10	Jun_14_2004	29.76	33.41	34.79	34.66	34.9	34.32	33.6(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-100	-17	32	0.26	69%	0.92	26	3.77%	0	0.1	72	0

11	Jun_10_2004	29.49	33.33	34.79	34.66	35.27	35.03	34.22(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-20	-6	62	0.27	57%	0.55	16.7	3.92%	0	0.5	77	0
12	Jun_9_2004	29.33	33.22	34.89	34.94	35.3	35.47	34.37(-4.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	60	-2	72	0.28	57%	0.55	2.4	4.27%	0	0.6	69	0
13	Jun_8_2004	29.17	33.13	34.84	35.12	35.22	35.51	35.82(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	70	7	94	0.32	57%	0.24	-4.3	4.24%	0	1.4	76	0
14	Jun_7_2004	29.1	32.93	34.42	34.99	35.13	35.12	35.31(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	10	3	97	0.22	57%	0.66	-17.4	4.25%	0	1.3	78	0
15	Jun_4_2004	28.91	32.92	33.96	34.96	35.07	34.93	34.96(2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-20	-1	90	0.3	57%	0.59	-17.2	4.26%	0	1.1	63	0

16	Jun_3_2004	28.74	33.01	33.48	34.86	35.04	35.15	34.24(-2.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	40	1	84	0.26	57%	0.67	-15.8	4.25%	0	0.6	61	0
17	Jun_2_2004	28.55	33.17	33.17	34.82	34.87	35.21	35.27(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	70	10	86	0.28	57%	0.71	-15.5	4.24%	0	0.9	66	0
18	Jun_1_2004	28.35	33.21	32.74	34.5	34.48	34.94	35.18(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	90	20	77	0.32	60%	1.07	-23.1	4.24%	0	0.8	60	0
19	May_28_2004	28.05	33.25	32.24	33.74	33.85	34.53	35.14(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	150	25	53	0.31	60%	0.61	-29.9	4.38%	0	0.8	63	0
20	May_27_2004	27.88	33.24	31.9	32.79	32.93	34.02	34.46(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	240	29	17	0.43	60%	0.58	-38.9	4.41%	0	0.5	43	0

21	May_26_2004	27.72	33.35	31.6	31.88	31.92	33.18	34.07(1.22%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	15	280	29	-26	0.48	60%	0.58	-40.4	4.44%	0	0.3	37	0
22	May_25_2004	27.56	33.54	31.36	31.27	31.12	31.85	33.66(7.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	150	23	-65	0.57	60%	0.55	-37.1	4.44%	0	0	34	0
23	May_24_2004	27.41	33.78	31.21	30.75	30.81	30.67	31.38(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	-30	7	-99	0.24	60%	0.48	-34.4	4.39%	0	-0.8	32	0
24	May_21_2004	27.28	34.01	31.27	30.53	30.71	30.39	30.39(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-60	-12	-126	0.24	63%	0.11	-36.4	4.48%	0	-1.2	28	0
25	May_20_2004	27.25	34.27	31.77	30.86	30.83	30.95	29.92(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	20	-8	-117	0.38	63%		-31.9	4.51%	0	-1.5	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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