Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 26, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $34.0700 (1.22%) ($32.8500 - $34.4700) on Wed. May. 26, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.44% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $34.0700(1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(20%)    IWM(20%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(19%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(-1%)    REMX(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.22% (StdDev 4.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.88(6.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.6(7.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.35(2.16%)
To recent high   -12.7%
To recent low   25.9%
Market Cap   $1.374b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 8.37% (three month std-dev: 4.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2004	27.72	33.35	31.6	31.88	31.92	33.18	34.07(1.22%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	15	280	29	-26	0.48	60%	0.58	-40.4	4.44%	0	0.3	37	0
2	May_25_2004	27.56	33.54	31.36	31.27	31.12	31.85	33.66(7.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	150	23	-65	0.57	60%	0.55	-37.1	4.44%	0	0	34	0
3	May_24_2004	27.41	33.78	31.21	30.75	30.81	30.67	31.38(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	-30	7	-99	0.24	60%	0.48	-34.4	4.39%	0	-0.8	32	0
4	May_21_2004	27.28	34.01	31.27	30.53	30.71	30.39	30.39(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-60	-12	-126	0.24	63%	0.11	-36.4	4.48%	0	-1.2	28	0
5	May_20_2004	27.25	34.27	31.77	30.86	30.83	30.95	29.92(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	20	-8	-117	0.38	63%	0.41	-31.9	4.51%	0	-1.5	32	0

6	May_19_2004	27.14	34.52	32.51	31.25	31.05	31.02	31(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-30	-0	-104	0.41	59%	0.44	-29.6	4.51%	0	-1.3	30	0
7	May_18_2004	27.02	34.7	33.18	31.44	31.19	30.71	31.04(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-130	-11	-105	0.5	64%	0.41	-29.7	4.59%	0	-1.4	28	0
8	May_17_2004	26.91	34.86	33.73	31.76	31.53	31.08	30.3(-5.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-35	-120	-13	-101	0.67	68%	0.37	-29.1	4.89%	0	-1.9	23	0
9	May_14_2004	26.81	35.13	34.37	32.1	32.03	31.67	32.06(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-32	-90	-13	-88	1.01	70%	0.22	-28.8	5.19%	0	-1.4	42	0
10	May_13_2004	26.75	35.21	34.73	32.83	32.35	31.99	31.85(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-120	-24	-81	0.49	70%	0.41	-18.8	5.23%	0	-1.6	43	0

11	May_12_2004	26.64	35.33	35.27	33.99	33.56	32.39	31.95(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-280	-25	-55	0.85	70%	0.53	-0.9	5.24%	0	-1.7	48	0
12	May_11_2004	26.5	35.47	35.94	35.22	35	32.71	32.62(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-32	-480	-34	-26	0.56	70%	0.57	23.8	5.25%	0	-1.5	49	0
13	May_10_2004	26.35	35.59	36.59	36.01	36.17	34.72	32(-10.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-29	-270	-39	1	2.29	70%	0.53	42.2	5.24%	0	-2	49	0
14	May_7_2004	26.21	35.79	36.59	36.92	37.05	37.3	35.73(-5.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	60	-2	36	0.47	76%	0.73	74.6	5%	0	-0	54	0
15	May_6_2004	26.02	35.62	37.04	36.85	36.99	37.62	37.63(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	130	11	48	0.4	79%	0.74	70.9	4.97%	0	1.1	67	0

16	May_5_2004	25.83	35.35	36.71	36.76	36.69	36.8	38.1(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	20	2	46	0.64	79%	0.78	72	4.96%	0	1.4	65	0
17	May_4_2004	25.63	35.03	36.33	36.85	36.91	36.36	36.61(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-100	-12	44	0.73	79%	0.79	75.6	4.95%	0	0.8	59	0
18	May_3_2004	25.43	34.83	36.07	37.33	37.6	36.59	36.54(3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-170	-9	54	0.47	79%	0.71	89.8	4.99%	0	0.9	59	0
19	Apr_30_2004	25.25	34.59	35.93	37.33	37.92	37.46	35.38(-4.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-30	-11	49	0.61	70%	0.68	91.4	5.02%	0	0.4	50	0
20	Apr_29_2004	25.08	34.36	35.73	37.18	37.77	38.61	37.16(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	200	13	62	0.75	70%	0.84	89.7	5.18%	0	1.3	67	0

21	Apr_28_2004	24.87	34.01	35.38	36.59	36.98	38.38	38.54(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	300	30	65	1.03	70%	0.85	87.2	5.15%	0	2	72	0
22	Apr_27_2004	24.66	33.6	34.94	35.72	35.86	36.93	39.02(8.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	37	220	30	58	1.38	71%	0.86	88.1	5.14%	0	2.5	74	0
23	Apr_26_2004	24.45	33.14	34.43	34.68	34.94	35.57	35.8(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	150	10	36	0.48	69%	0.78	90	5.1%	0	1.4	62	0
24	Apr_23_2004	24.26	32.81	34.38	34.54	34.74	34.79	35.39(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	30	11	48	1.14	69%	0.71	85	5.11%	0	1.3	65	0
25	Apr_22_2004	24.09	32.47	34.06	34.08	34.55	34.31	34.22(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10	-1	40	0.87	69%		73.1	5.12%	0	0.9	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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