Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 20, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $33.8100 (-3.73%) ($33.7800 - $38.3900) on Tue. Apr. 20, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.12% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $33.8100(-3.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(20%)    IWM(20%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(19%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(-1%)    REMX(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.56% (StdDev 5.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.01(-0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.62(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.82(6.25%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   96.6%
Market Cap   $1.364b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 7.57% (three month std-dev: 5.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2004	23.78	31.82	33.62	34.01	34.4	34.8	33.81(-3.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	120	9	56	0.86	69%	0.81	53.5	5.12%	0	0.8	65	0
2	Apr_19_2004	23.59	31.54	33.52	34.12	34.08	33.97	35.12(6.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	14	-30	-3	64	0.59	69%	0.86	55.6	5.09%	0	1.5	71	0
3	Apr_16_2004	23.39	31.24	33.16	34.23	34.35	34	33.09(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-60	-0	79	0.42	68%	0.43	60.9	5.09%	0	0.8	70	0
4	Apr_15_2004	23.29	31.05	32.92	34.01	34.5	34.18	33.64(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-20	1	84	0.35	70%	0.91	63.3	5.08%	0	1.1	75	0
5	Apr_14_2004	23.08	30.89	32.59	33.69	34.12	34.69	34.37(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	160	8	92	0.57	70%	0.92	64.7	5.21%	0	1.5	82	0

6	Apr_13_2004	22.87	30.58	32.19	33.15	33.6	34.83	34.39(-3.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	300	21	98	0.79	68%	0.97	47.9	5.21%	0	1.8	77	0
7	Apr_12_2004	22.65	30.23	31.75	32.81	32.86	33.55	35.67(11.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	42	150	23	100	1.87	68%	1.52	32.9	5.26%	0	2.7	78	0
8	Apr_8_2004	22.31	29.87	31.07	31.99	32.49	32.36	32(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	20	8	79	0.28	61%	0.86	17.3	5.18%	0	1.3	63	0
9	Apr_7_2004	22.12	29.64	30.73	31.67	32.09	32.17	32.04(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	60	3	70	0.27	61%	0.91	-0.4	5.18%	0	1.5	63	0
10	Apr_6_2004	21.92	29.5	30.25	31.29	31.68	32.63	31.65(-3.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	250	12	53	0.24	61%	0.83	-12	5.18%	0	1.2	53	0

11	Apr_5_2004	21.74	29.5	29.87	31.05	31.14	32.01	32.71(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	200	23	51	0.45	61%	0.88	-8	5.17%	0	1.7	66	0
12	Apr_2_2004	21.55	29.58	29.4	30.52	30.53	30.74	31.57(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	50	13	39	0.29	61%	0.84	-10.8	5.16%	0	1.1	66	0
13	Apr_1_2004	21.37	29.59	29.15	30.02	30.21	30.27	30.37(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	30	6	26	0.29	61%	0.8	-9.2	5.18%	0	0.4	55	0
14	Mar_31_2004	21.2	29.65	29.02	29.65	29.91	30.32	30.15(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	120	13	28	0.31	61%	0.81	-4.2	5.22%	0	0.3	61	0
15	Mar_30_2004	21.03	29.71	29.05	29.03	29.35	30.15	30.44(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	220	18	21	0.25	61%	0.81	-3.4	5.22%	0	0.4	53	0

16	Mar_29_2004	20.86	29.73	28.82	28.49	28.56	29.5	30.05(3.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	240	16	-12	0.27	61%	0.82	0	5.24%	0	0.2	40	0
17	Mar_26_2004	20.69	29.78	28.58	28.14	28.19	28.55	29.11(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	90	9	-43	0.3	61%	0.73	9.8	5.24%	0	-0.3	40	0
18	Mar_25_2004	20.54	29.77	28.56	28.18	28.05	27.61	28.5(5.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-120	-6	-60	0.39	61%	0.74	22.6	5.24%	0	-0.6	41	0
19	Mar_24_2004	20.39	29.73	28.46	28.32	28.43	27.83	27.07(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-140	-19	-78	0.39	63%	0.64	36.4	5.25%	0	-1.3	40	0
20	Mar_23_2004	20.26	29.77	28.71	29.05	29.07	28.48	27.73(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-140	-9	-66	0.6	63%	0.75	55.1	5.35%	0	-1	41	0

21	Mar_22_2004	20.11	29.73	29.3	29.17	29.43	29.03	28.28(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-70	-3	-53	0.48	63%	0.7	64.2	5.35%	0	-0.6	44	0
22	Mar_19_2004	19.97	29.59	29.79	29.04	29.3	29.65	29.3(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	110	1	-47	0.3	63%	0.81	67.6	5.34%	0	-0.1	46	0
23	Mar_18_2004	19.81	29.31	30.08	28.99	28.93	29.83	29.23(-4.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	210	14	-31	0.66	63%	0.87	67.6	5.34%	0	-0	55	0
24	Mar_17_2004	19.64	28.99	30.32	28.62	28.66	28.96	30.73(8.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	80	15	-25	1.09	63%	0.98	66	5.3%	0	0.5	62	0
25	Mar_16_2004	19.45	28.64	30.4	28.36	28.25	28.03	28.3(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-70	-24	-33	0.45	60%		65.5	5.21%	0	-0.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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