Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 12, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $29.0600 (6.29%) ($27.9800 - $29.7300) on Fri. Mar. 12, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.25% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $29.0600(6.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(20%)    IWM(20%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(19%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(-1%)    REMX(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.625% (StdDev 5.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.67(-5.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.09(-6.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.86(4.31%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   82.4%
Market Cap   $1.172b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 15.83% (three month std-dev: 5.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040412

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_12_2004	19.14	27.86		30.67	30.81	28.46	29.06(6.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	-520	-31	53	0.94	60%	0.9	77.7	5.25%	0	0.3	68	0
2	Mar_11_2004	18.97	27.35	31.09	31.34	31.95	30.13	27.34(-7.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-14	-340	-47	87	1.85	61%	0.8	77.2	5.2%	0	-0	70	0
3	Mar_10_2004	18.82	26.95	31.17	32.21	33.16	33.16	29.47(-13.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	29	90	-11	147	2.09	65%	0.91	80.7	5.23%	0	0.5	80	0
4	Mar_9_2004	18.65	26.42	31.03	32.65	33.1	33.76	34.01(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	65	180	18	204	0.97	68%	1.19	81.6	4.92%	0	1.4	85	0
5	Mar_8_2004	18.43	25.61	30.26	32.07	32.43	33.15	33.46(3.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	66	190	15	220	0.97	69%	1.15	80.4	5.03%	0	1.4	89	0

6	Mar_5_2004	18.22	24.81	29.4	31.62	32.01	32.45	32.4(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	81	130	22	256	1.59	66%	1.11	78.9	5.08%	0	1.4	91	0
7	Mar_4_2004	18.02	24.05	28.49	30.86	31.22	31.7	31.73(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	82	140	19	269	0.36	66%	1.01	72.3	5.16%	0	1.5	89	0
8	Mar_3_2004	17.84	23.31	27.54	29.98	30.14	31.58	31.65(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	88	350	25	278	0.63	66%	0.96	65.8	5.17%	0	1.6	85	0
9	Mar_2_2004	17.67	22.59	26.71	29.13	29.1	30.74	31.13(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	105	390	39	301	1.1	71%	0.91	61.8	5.19%	0	1.8	85	0
10	Mar_1_2004	17.51	21.88	25.66	28.16	28	28.7	31.21(9.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	89	160	32	261	1.49	71%	1.04	58.4	5.97%	0	2.1	86	0

11	Feb_27_2004	17.33	21.21	24.32	26.87	26.89	27.46	28.58(4.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	73	150	19	235	0.93	72%	0.76	56.4	5.98%	0	1.9	85	0
12	Feb_26_2004	17.2	20.77	23.26	25.76	26.16	27.3	27.31(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	76	350	28	220	0.52	72%	0.7	56.6	6.02%	0	1.9	85	0
13	Feb_25_2004	17.08	20.38	22.37	24.7	24.96	26.32	27.44(4.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	71	410	27	204	1.89	72%	0.71	55.7	6.03%	0	2.3	85	0
14	Feb_24_2004	16.96	19.97	21.43	23.91	23.96	25.01	26.25(6.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	73	310	32	194	1.06	72%	0.59	60.4	6.02%	0	2.4	79	0
15	Feb_23_2004	16.86	19.57	20.58	22.78	23.18	23.61	24.75(7.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	68	180	34	170	2.51	71%	0.48	59.1	6.01%	0	2.3	78	0

16	Feb_20_2004	16.78	19.21	19.83	21.38	21.87	22.92	23.07(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	48	400	24	121	1.15	70%	0.48	48	5.97%	0	2	68	0
17	Feb_19_2004	16.7	18.97	19.23	20.36	20.7	22.76	22.01(-6.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	46	750	35	77	2.26	70%	0.36	43.7	5.95%	0	1.8	53	0
18	Feb_18_2004	16.64	18.78	18.74	19.65	19.46	20.82	23.48(13.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	43	460	43	44	2.15	71%	0.6	42.8	5.88%	0	3.1	59	0
19	Feb_17_2004	16.54	18.49	18.12	18.59	18.48	18.64	20.6(16.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	9	40	16	-11	2	66%	0.49	37.9	5.69%	0	2	51	0
20	Feb_13_2004	16.46	18.33	17.79	18.08	18.16	18.11	17.72(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10	-1	-44	0.21	62%	0.12	29.9	5.34%	0	-0.6	46	0

21	Feb_12_2004	16.44	18.35	17.85	18.05	18.12	18.32	17.98(-2.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	90	5	-42	0.22	62%	0.12	26.4	5.33%	0	-0.4	51	0
22	Feb_11_2004	16.42	18.27	18.1	17.9	17.91	18.2	18.45(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	120	9	-34	0.35	62%	0.12	8.8	5.32%	0	0.2	51	0
23	Feb_10_2004	16.4	18.15	18.26	17.65	17.67	17.93	18.21(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	110	6	-34	0.14	62%	0.12	-7.8	5.33%	0	0.1	50	0
24	Feb_9_2004	16.38	18.1	18.43	17.58	17.49	17.61	18.04(2.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	30	5	-27	0.24	62%	0.12	-16.4	5.34%	0	-0.1	51	0
25	Feb_6_2004	16.36	18.05	18.5	17.46	17.45	17.4	17.55(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-20	-4	-30	0.23	62%		-24.7	5.33%	0	-0.4	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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