Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 27, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $20.0800 (7.21%) ($18.6000 - $20.3500) on Tue. Jan. 27, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.27% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $20.0800(7.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(20%)    IWM(20%)    QQQ(19%)    SPY(19%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(-1%)    REMX(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.635% (StdDev 5.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.8(6.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.04(11.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.29(9.79%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   60.1%
Market Cap   $810m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 5.74% (three month std-dev: 5.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2004	16.12		18.04	18.8	18.69	18.94	20.08(7.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	80	15	39	1	73%	0.31	-7	5.27%	0	1.7	57	0
2	Jan_26_2004	16.07	18.29	17.72	18.42	18.41	18.32	18.73(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-40	4	10	0.44	72%	0.19	-8.3	5.21%	0	0.4	48	0
3	Jan_23_2004	16.04	18.36	17.54	18.21	18.27	18.43	18.14(-2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	70	1	-8	0.28	72%	0.19	-6.5	5.21%	0	-0.2	46	0
4	Jan_22_2004	16.01	18.38	17.54	18.15	18.13	18.5	18.51(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	11	140	17	-9	0.51	69%	0.13	-8.5	5.2%	0	0.1	43	0
5	Jan_21_2004	15.99	18.38	17.56	17.67	17.72	18.11	18.53(1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	160	18	-30	0.67	70%	0.31	-17.7	5.27%	0	0.1	43	0

6	Jan_20_2004	15.94	18.37	17.54	17.15	17.16	17.77	18.17(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	250	12	-59	0.31	70%	0.25	-30.2	5.34%	0	-0.2	36	0
7	Jan_16_2004	15.9	18.38	17.59	16.92	16.74	17.33	17.69(-1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	210	11	-75	0.38	68%	0.25	-38.5	5.36%	0	-0.6	31	0
8	Jan_15_2004	15.86	18.43	17.68	16.79	16.49	16.56	17.87(10.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-23	-20	0	-92	1.37	64%	0.32	-36.3	5.38%	0	-0.5	32	0
9	Jan_14_2004	15.81	18.49	17.81	16.92	16.64	16.15	16.11(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-260	-17	-94	0.8	62%	0.19	-30	5.33%	0	-1.9	36	0
10	Jan_13_2004	15.78	18.6	18.16	17.43	17.27	16.43	15.93(-6.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-34	-370	-21	-73	1.01	64%	0.25	-25.9	5.33%	0	-2.4	40	0

11	Jan_12_2004	15.74	18.76	18.59	17.95	17.9	17.14	16.98(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-310	-20	-49	1.5	66%	0.32	-9.7	5.35%	0	-2	42	0
12	Jan_9_2004	15.69	18.87	18.93	18.34	18.39	18.11	17.08(-7.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-16	-100	-13	-23	1.3	62%	0.38	2.1	5.49%	0	-2.2	45	0
13	Jan_8_2004	15.63	18.9	19.28	18.66	18.66	18.11	18.52(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	0	-4	-1	0.36	65%	0.39	3	5.39%	0	-0.6	50	0
14	Jan_7_2004	15.57	18.87	19.3	18.84	18.8	18.67	18.65(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-50	-4	3	0.37	65%	0.45	-2.4	5.41%	0	-0.3	50	0
15	Jan_6_2004	15.5	18.89	19.27	19.01	18.97	18.64	18.54(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-130	-10	7	0.4	65%	0.52	20.7	5.43%	0	-0.4	57	0

16	Jan_5_2004	15.42	18.89	19.29	19.33	19.22	18.93	18.91(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-120	-12	15	0.93	65%	0.52	44.8	5.42%	0	0.1	51	0
17	Jan_2_2004	15.34	18.85	19.24	19.63	19.68	19.3	18.69(-3.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-130	-10	23	0.64	65%	0.79	80.7	5.44%	0	-0.2	50	0
18	Dec_31_2003	15.22	18.85	19.27	19.98	20.04	19.52	19.4(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-170	-3	48	0.3	67%	0.53	124.9	5.41%	0	0.6	66	0
19	Dec_30_2003	15.14	18.88	19.22	19.82	20.24	20.06	19.49(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	0	2	51	0.52	67%	0.6	154.4	5.52%	0	0.7	61	0
20	Dec_29_2003	15.05	18.72	19.07	19.55	19.91	20.56	20.17(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	280	11	41	0.47	67%	0.67	131.1	5.5%	0	1.4	56	0

21	Dec_26_2003	14.95	18.49	18.94	19.23	19.31	20.41	20.4(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	26	410	21	42	0.58	67%	1.01	118.5	5.5%	0	1.6	63	0
22	Dec_24_2003	14.8	18.18	18.78	18.81	18.78	19.26	20.42(9.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	170	18	27	1.71	65%	0.68	91	5.55%	0	1.5	56	0
23	Dec_23_2003	14.7	17.87	18.45	18.49	18.41	18.2	18.64(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-90	-3	-2	0.33	64%	0.55	81.6	5.45%	0	0.5	48	0
24	Dec_22_2003	14.62	17.64	18.37	18.54	18.53	18.3	18.1(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-90	-3	-10	0.42	64%	0.48	73.5	5.49%	0	0.3	43	0
25	Dec_19_2003	14.55	17.41	18.46	18.52	18.64	18.61	18.58(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	10	-3	5	0.23	64%		61.5	5.51%	0	0.6	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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