Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Jan. 3, 2004

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $18.6900 (-3.66%) ($18.5500 - $20.1100) on Sat. Jan. 3, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.44% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $18.6900(-3.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
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Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.72% (StdDev 5.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.3%

Resistance Level   $18.85
5 Day Moving Average   $19.63(-4.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.24(-2.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.85(-0.85%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   49%
Market Cap   $N/A

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 4.62% (three month std-dev: 5.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.18%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.21%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.61%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2004	15.34	18.85	19.24	19.63	19.68	19.3	18.69(-3.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-130	-10	23	0.64	65%	0.79	80.7	5.44%	0	-0.2	50	0
2	Dec_31_2003	15.22	18.85	19.27	19.98	20.04	19.52	19.4(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-170	-3	48	0.3	67%	0.53	124.9	5.41%	0	0.6	66	0
3	Dec_30_2003	15.14	18.88	19.22	19.82	20.24	20.06	19.49(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	0	2	51	0.52	67%	0.6	154.4	5.52%	0	0.7	61	0
4	Dec_29_2003	15.05	18.72	19.07	19.55	19.91	20.56	20.17(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	280	11	41	0.47	67%	0.67	131.1	5.5%	0	1.4	56	0
5	Dec_26_2003	14.95	18.49	18.94	19.23	19.31	20.41	20.4(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	26	410	21	42	0.58	67%	1.01	118.5	5.5%	0	1.6	63	0

6	Dec_24_2003	14.8	18.18	18.78	18.81	18.78	19.26	20.42(9.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	170	18	27	1.71	65%	0.68	91	5.55%	0	1.5	56	0
7	Dec_23_2003	14.7	17.87	18.45	18.49	18.41	18.2	18.64(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-90	-3	-2	0.33	64%	0.55	81.6	5.45%	0	0.5	48	0
8	Dec_22_2003	14.62	17.64	18.37	18.54	18.53	18.3	18.1(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-90	-3	-10	0.42	64%	0.48	73.5	5.49%	0	0.3	43	0
9	Dec_19_2003	14.55	17.41	18.46	18.52	18.64	18.61	18.58(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	10	-3	5	0.23	64%	0.55	61.5	5.51%	0	0.6	64	0
10	Dec_18_2003	14.47	17.15	18.38	18.6	18.73	18.76	18.32(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	30	-2	21	0.52	64%	0.35	55.9	5.51%	0	0.5	65	0

11	Dec_17_2003	14.42	16.91	18.44	18.72	18.83	18.68	18.81(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-40	7	59	0.38	64%	0.42	53.4	5.5%	0	0.8	72	0
12	Dec_16_2003	14.36	16.63	18.46	18.4	18.65	18.71	18.89(5.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	60	4	76	0.65	64%	0.42	47.1	5.5%	0	0.9	70	0
13	Dec_15_2003	14.3	16.39	18.52	18.17	18.38	18.98	17.98(-5.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	260	-0	105	0.81	66%	0.42	44.4	5.48%	0	0.6	70	0
14	Dec_12_2003	14.24	16.22	18.35	18.38	18.29	18.59	19(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	100	13	142	0.7	66%	0.49	48.7	5.48%	0	1.1	75	0
15	Dec_11_2003	14.17	15.98	18.01	18.38	18.13	17.78	18.93(10.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	36	-140	-2	148	0.57	66%	0.5	47.7	5.49%	0	1.2	75	0

16	Dec_10_2003	14.1	15.72	17.54	18.13	18.2	18	17.19(-3.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	-70	-15	161	0.48	64%	0.28	48.5	5.36%	0	0.6	71	0
17	Dec_9_2003	14.06	15.55	17.27	18.53	18.66	18.47	17.75(-6.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	43	-50	-9	197	0.41	64%	0.43	54.2	5.37%	0	1	73	0
18	Dec_8_2003	14	15.37	16.9	18.92	18.93	18.4	19.04(7.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	66	-190	9	237	0.51	66%	0.43	62.2	5.31%	0	1.6	73	0
19	Dec_5_2003	13.94	15.11	16.31	18.29	18.88	18.85	17.75(-6.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	58	90	8	206	0.6	65%	0.43	57.7	5.24%	0	1.3	65	0
20	Dec_4_2003	13.88	14.92	15.85	17.83	18.22	19.46	18.94(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	75	540	35	194	0.74	68%	0.51	53.4	5.19%	0	2	71	0

21	Dec_3_2003	13.81	14.69	15.26	16.82	17.16	18.9	19.15(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	76	770	51	150	1.63	69%	0.51	48.1	5.19%	0	2.5	74	0
22	Dec_2_2003	13.74	14.4	14.64	15.83	15.78	16.97	19.72(24.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.7	65	520	53	101	4.28	69%	0.37	43.4	5.26%	0	3.7	77	0
23	Dec_1_2003	13.69	14.08	14.01	14.63	14.62	15.41	15.88(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	35	380	32	42	0.73	63%	0.22	45.2	4.37%	0	2.5	62	0
24	Nov_28_2003	13.66	14	13.85	14.06	14.04	14.59	15.47(11.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	24	270	28	12	1.08	63%	0.15	42.8	4.36%	0	2.5	58	0
25	Nov_26_2003	13.64	13.93	13.71	13.58	13.55	13.84	13.87(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	140	11	-21	0.07	62%		34.4	4.12%	0	-0.1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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