Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 17, 2003

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $18.8100 (-0.42%) ($18.4500 - $19.1100) on Wed. Dec. 17, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.5% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $18.8100(-0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(20%)    IWM(20%)    QQQ(20%)    SPY(19%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    LQD(-1%)    REMX(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.75% (StdDev 5.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.72(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.44(2.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.91(11.24%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   50%
Market Cap   $759m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 14.07% (three month std-dev: 5.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2003	14.42	16.91	18.44	18.72	18.83	18.68	18.81(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-40	7	59	0.38	64%	0.42	53.4	5.5%	0	0.8	72	0
2	Dec_16_2003	14.36	16.63	18.46	18.4	18.65	18.71	18.89(5.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	60	4	76	0.65	64%	0.42	47.1	5.5%	0	0.9	70	0
3	Dec_15_2003	14.3	16.39	18.52	18.17	18.38	18.98	17.98(-5.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	260	-0	105	0.81	66%	0.42	44.4	5.48%	0	0.6	70	0
4	Dec_12_2003	14.24	16.22	18.35	18.38	18.29	18.59	19(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	100	13	142	0.7	66%	0.49	48.7	5.48%	0	1.1	75	0
5	Dec_11_2003	14.17	15.98	18.01	18.38	18.13	17.78	18.93(10.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	36	-140	-2	148	0.57	66%	0.5	47.7	5.49%	0	1.2	75	0

6	Dec_10_2003	14.1	15.72	17.54	18.13	18.2	18	17.19(-3.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	-70	-15	161	0.48	64%	0.28	48.5	5.36%	0	0.6	71	0
7	Dec_9_2003	14.06	15.55	17.27	18.53	18.66	18.47	17.75(-6.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	43	-50	-9	197	0.41	64%	0.43	54.2	5.37%	0	1	73	0
8	Dec_8_2003	14	15.37	16.9	18.92	18.93	18.4	19.04(7.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	66	-190	9	237	0.51	66%	0.43	62.2	5.31%	0	1.6	73	0
9	Dec_5_2003	13.94	15.11	16.31	18.29	18.88	18.85	17.75(-6.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	58	90	8	206	0.6	65%	0.43	57.7	5.24%	0	1.3	65	0
10	Dec_4_2003	13.88	14.92	15.85	17.83	18.22	19.46	18.94(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	75	540	35	194	0.74	68%	0.51	53.4	5.19%	0	2	71	0

11	Dec_3_2003	13.81	14.69	15.26	16.82	17.16	18.9	19.15(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	76	770	51	150	1.63	69%	0.51	48.1	5.19%	0	2.5	74	0
12	Dec_2_2003	13.74	14.4	14.64	15.83	15.78	16.97	19.72(24.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.7	65	520	53	101	4.28	69%	0.37	43.4	5.26%	0	3.7	77	0
13	Dec_1_2003	13.69	14.08	14.01	14.63	14.62	15.41	15.88(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	35	380	32	42	0.73	63%	0.22	45.2	4.37%	0	2.5	62	0
14	Nov_28_2003	13.66	14	13.85	14.06	14.04	14.59	15.47(11.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	24	270	28	12	1.08	63%	0.15	42.8	4.36%	0	2.5	58	0
15	Nov_26_2003	13.64	13.93	13.71	13.58	13.55	13.84	13.87(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	140	11	-21	0.07	62%	0	34.4	4.12%	0	-0.1	47	0

16	Nov_25_2003	13.64	13.89	13.72	13.44	13.28	13.48	14.19(3.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-1	70	10	-35	0.3	64%	0	24.5	4.22%	0	0.5	44	0
17	Nov_24_2003	13.64	13.81	13.68	13.25	13.2	13.26	13.74(5.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-13	20	0	-52	0.22	64%	0	6.4	4.25%	0	-0.1	49	0
18	Nov_21_2003	13.64	13.77	13.71	13.29	13.28	13.08	13.02(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-110	-15	-55	0.18	62%	0	7.9	4.2%	0	-1.1	43	0
19	Nov_20_2003	13.64	13.77	13.84	13.62	13.64	13.14	13.06(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-250	-15	-39	0.19	62%	0	19.2	4.25%	0	-1	37	0
20	Nov_19_2003	13.64	13.76	13.96	13.87	13.99	13.48	13.2(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-230	-15	-26	0.15	62%	0	24.8	4.26%	0	-0.8	41	0

21	Nov_18_2003	13.64	13.75	14.11	14.04	14.25	14.14	13.24(-5.02%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-6	-10	-8	1	0.26	62%	-0.07	23.2	4.29%	0	-0.8	56	0
22	Nov_17_2003	13.65	13.77	14.11	14.15	14.29	14.5	13.94(-4.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	130	1	24	0.36	65%	0	15.5	4.24%	0	0.2	66	0
23	Nov_14_2003	13.65	13.72	14.2	14.19	14.16	14.36	14.65(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	90	6	40	0.22	68%	0	0	4.19%	0	1.3	69	0
24	Nov_13_2003	13.65	13.63	14.17	14.12	14.11	14.09	14.34(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10	3	54	0.14	68%	0.07	-12.1	4.19%	0	1	69	0
25	Nov_12_2003	13.64	13.59	14.16	14.08	14.14	13.97	14.01(1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-70	-8	63	0.22	68%		-27.4	4.18%	0	0.6	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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