Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 5, 2003

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $17.7500 (-6.28%) ($17.7400 - $19.2700) on Fri. Dec. 5, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.24% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $17.7500(-6.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 17.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(20%)    IWM(20%)    QQQ(20%)    SPY(19%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    LQD(-1%)    TIP(2%)    REMX(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.62% (StdDev 5.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.29(-2.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.31(8.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.11(17.47%)
To recent high   -10%
To recent low   41.5%
Market Cap   $716m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 13.77% (three month std-dev: 5.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2003	13.94	15.11	16.31	18.29	18.88	18.85	17.75(-6.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	58	90	8	206	0.6	65%	0.43	57.7	5.24%	0	1.3	65	0
2	Dec_4_2003	13.88	14.92	15.85	17.83	18.22	19.46	18.94(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	75	540	35	194	0.74	68%	0.51	53.4	5.19%	0	2	71	0
3	Dec_3_2003	13.81	14.69	15.26	16.82	17.16	18.9	19.15(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	76	770	51	150	1.63	69%	0.51	48.1	5.19%	0	2.5	74	0
4	Dec_2_2003	13.74	14.4	14.64	15.83	15.78	16.97	19.72(24.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.7	65	520	53	101	4.28	69%	0.37	43.4	5.26%	0	3.7	77	0
5	Dec_1_2003	13.69	14.08	14.01	14.63	14.62	15.41	15.88(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	35	380	32	42	0.73	63%	0.22	45.2	4.37%	0	2.5	62	0

6	Nov_28_2003	13.66	14	13.85	14.06	14.04	14.59	15.47(11.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	24	270	28	12	1.08	63%	0.15	42.8	4.36%	0	2.5	58	0
7	Nov_26_2003	13.64	13.93	13.71	13.58	13.55	13.84	13.87(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	140	11	-21	0.07	62%	0	34.4	4.12%	0	-0.1	47	0
8	Nov_25_2003	13.64	13.89	13.72	13.44	13.28	13.48	14.19(3.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-1	70	10	-35	0.3	64%	0	24.5	4.22%	0	0.5	44	0
9	Nov_24_2003	13.64	13.81	13.68	13.25	13.2	13.26	13.74(5.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-13	20	0	-52	0.22	64%	0	6.4	4.25%	0	-0.1	49	0
10	Nov_21_2003	13.64	13.77	13.71	13.29	13.28	13.08	13.02(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-110	-15	-55	0.18	62%	0	7.9	4.2%	0	-1.1	43	0

11	Nov_20_2003	13.64	13.77	13.84	13.62	13.64	13.14	13.06(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-250	-15	-39	0.19	62%	0	19.2	4.25%	0	-1	37	0
12	Nov_19_2003	13.64	13.76	13.96	13.87	13.99	13.48	13.2(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-230	-15	-26	0.15	62%	0	24.8	4.26%	0	-0.8	41	0
13	Nov_18_2003	13.64	13.75	14.11	14.04	14.25	14.14	13.24(-5.02%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-6	-10	-8	1	0.26	62%	-0.07	23.2	4.29%	0	-0.8	56	0
14	Nov_17_2003	13.65	13.77	14.11	14.15	14.29	14.5	13.94(-4.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	130	1	24	0.36	65%	0	15.5	4.24%	0	0.2	66	0
15	Nov_14_2003	13.65	13.72	14.2	14.19	14.16	14.36	14.65(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	90	6	40	0.22	68%	0	0	4.19%	0	1.3	69	0

16	Nov_13_2003	13.65	13.63	14.17	14.12	14.11	14.09	14.34(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10	3	54	0.14	68%	0.07	-12.1	4.19%	0	1	69	0
17	Nov_12_2003	13.64	13.63	14.16	14.08	14.14	13.97	14.01(1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-70	-8	63	0.22	68%	0	-27.4	4.18%	0	0.6	63	0
18	Nov_11_2003	13.64	13.59	14.07	14.22	14.26	14.14	13.8(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-50	-4	76	0.19	69%	0	-28.2	4.19%	0	0.3	61	0
19	Nov_10_2003	13.64	13.66	13.96	14.25	14.34	14.31	14.13(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	0	1	71	0.16	69%	0.07	-28.4	4.21%	0	0.5	54	0
20	Nov_7_2003	13.63	13.72	13.83	14.2	14.28	14.31	14.3(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	70	-1	69	0.23	69%	0.07	-37.3	4.21%	0	0.7	63	0

21	Nov_6_2003	13.62	13.71	13.66	14.23	14.28	14.38	14.17(-3.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	70	2	71	0.27	66%	0.07	-42.4	4.21%	0	0.5	61	0
22	Nov_5_2003	13.61	13.78	13.53	14.25	14.25	14.18	14.68(5.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-30	13	70	0.28	66%	0.07	-39.7	4.27%	0	0.8	57	0
23	Nov_4_2003	13.6	13.82	13.35	13.91	14.11	14.12	13.98(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	50	10	37	0.21	64%	0.07	-44.3	4.24%	0	0.1	48	0
24	Nov_3_2003	13.59	13.92	13.31	13.62	13.79	14.32	13.88(-3.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	310	13	3	0.38	64%	0	-40	4.24%	0	-0	39	0
25	Oct_31_2003	13.59	14.05	13.19	13.39	13.41	14.11	14.45(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	13	370	27	-30	0.38	55%		-35.3	4.21%	0	0.3	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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