Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 30, 2003

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $14.2500 (9.78%) ($12.8900 - $14.9100) on Thu. Oct. 30, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.92% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $14.2500(9.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(20%)    IWM(20%)    QQQ(20%)    SPY(19%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    LQD(-1%)    REMX(4%)    XLU(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.46% (StdDev 4.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-6.05(-142.46%)
5 Day Moving Average   $13.01(9.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.02(9.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.14(0.78%)
To recent high   -15.4%
To recent low   39.4%
Market Cap   $575m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 10.25% (three month std-dev: 4.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_30_2003	13.59	14.14	13.02	13.01	13.01	13.27	14.25(9.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	140	16	-59	1.48	55%	0.07	-36.4	4.92%	0	0.1	50	0
2	Oct_29_2003	13.58	14.21	12.94	12.74	12.76	12.71	12.98(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-20	-0	-99	0.49	51%	0.07	-38.9	4.79%	0	-0.8	34	0
3	Oct_28_2003	13.57	14.36	13.05	12.72	12.81	12.75	12.54(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10	-9	-116	0.39	54%	0.07	-41.6	4.78%	0	-1.2	31	0
4	Oct_27_2003	13.56	14.47	13.32	12.95	12.96	12.81	12.74(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-80	-1	-107	0.28	54%	0.07	-46.3	4.87%	0	-1.2	30	0
5	Oct_24_2003	13.55	14.57	13.58	12.94	13.08	12.87	12.55(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-80	-4	-118	0.34	54%	0	-52.7	4.86%	0	-1.5	27	0

6	Oct_23_2003	13.55	14.69	13.76	13.01	12.98	13.11	12.87(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	60	-7	-132	0.3	54%	0	-60.7	4.86%	0	-1.4	31	0
7	Oct_22_2003	13.55	14.82	14.05	13.16	13	13.28	12.89(-5.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	110	-5	-125	0.36	54%	0.07	-63.3	4.87%	0	-1.6	36	0
8	Oct_21_2003	13.54	14.99	14.33	13.43	13.16	12.84	13.7(7.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-39	-230	-12	-119	0.57	56%	0.07	-57.6	4.83%	0	-1.1	39	0
9	Oct_20_2003	13.53	15.14	14.58	13.79	13.56	12.72	12.71(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-48	-480	-29	-103	0.9	54%	0	-47.8	4.75%	0	-2.1	43	0
10	Oct_17_2003	13.53	15.31	15	14.33	14.43	13.48	12.89(-5.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-30	-440	-20	-59	0.99	57%	-0.07	-40.4	4.88%	0	-2.3	44	0

11	Oct_16_2003	13.54	15.49	15.37	14.61	14.92	14.41	13.63(-4.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-180	-24	-36	0.68	59%	0	-31.3	4.87%	0	-2.1	47	0
12	Oct_15_2003	13.54	15.63	15.61	15.05	15.18	15.38	14.21(-8.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-10	120	-11	-8	0.5	55%	0	-14.4	4.86%	0	-1.8	46	0
13	Oct_14_2003	13.54	15.71	15.79	15.36	15.46	15.43	15.49(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	10	0	7	0.41	61%	0.15	3.3	4.93%	0	-0.3	46	0
14	Oct_13_2003	13.52	15.72	15.71	15.52	15.51	14.97	15.41(7.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-250	-14	-7	0.44	61%	0.07	11.3	5.03%	0	-0.4	42	0
15	Oct_10_2003	13.51	15.74	15.64	15.8	15.87	15.48	14.31(-9.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-16	-160	-19	-6	1.06	58%	0.07	22.8	4.95%	0	-2	44	0

16	Oct_9_2003	13.5	15.78	15.71	16.23	16.35	16.04	15.81(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-0	-110	-3	8	0.26	63%	0.15	38.7	4.83%	0	0	47	0
17	Oct_8_2003	13.48	15.74	15.66	16.25	16.41	16.26	15.78(-3.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-30	-4	2	0.12	63%	0.22	31.9	4.85%	0	0.1	48	0
18	Oct_7_2003	13.45	15.69	15.7	16.27	16.33	16.66	16.27(-3.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	150	12	13	0.16	65%	0.3	26	4.84%	0	0.8	54	0
19	Oct_6_2003	13.41	15.64	15.74	15.92	16.02	16.56	16.84(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	250	21	10	0.23	65%	0.22	18.5	4.88%	0	1.7	59	0
20	Oct_3_2003	13.38	15.57	15.62	15.47	15.41	16.01	16.46(3.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	10	260	17	-11	0.37	65%	0.22	12.5	4.92%	0	1.3	55	0

21	Oct_2_2003	13.35	15.57	15.59	15.11	15.06	15.48	15.89(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	190	12	-18	0.15	65%	0.23	9.1	4.91%	0	0.6	59	0
22	Oct_1_2003	13.32	15.52	15.61	14.99	14.82	14.81	15.89(9.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-6	-40	-1	-20	0.56	62%	0.3	21.9	4.91%	0	0.6	57	0
23	Sep_30_2003	13.28	15.5	15.6	15.07	14.94	14.63	14.54(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-170	-18	-16	0.43	60%	0.15	43.2	4.84%	0	-1.5	53	0
24	Sep_29_2003	13.26	15.51	15.71	15.53	15.56	14.83	14.55(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-8	-320	-13	8	0.33	60%	0.3	83.5	4.84%	0	-1.5	47	0
25	Sep_26_2003	13.22	15.49	15.85	15.78	15.94	15.26	14.69(-3.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-12	-270	-21	17	0.22	60%		104.9	4.85%	0	-1.1	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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