Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 15, 2003

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $15.7900 (6.69%) ($14.7900 - $15.8500) on Mon. Sep. 15, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.71% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $15.7900(6.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(21%)    EEM(20%)    QQQ(20%)    SPY(19%)    XLY(18%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    LQD(-2%)    REMX(4%)    XLU(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.355% (StdDev 4.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.11(4.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.27(3.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.97(13.03%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   54.5%
Market Cap   $637m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 11.24% (three month std-dev: 4.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2003	12.66	13.97	15.27	15.11	14.99	15.11	15.79(6.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	21	30	3	76	0.31	60%	0.48	68.2	4.71%	0	1.2	79	0
2	Sep_12_2003	12.6	13.74	15.09	15.08	15	14.86	14.8(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-80	-5	97	0.18	58%	0.32	70.1	4.66%	0	0.7	80	0
3	Sep_11_2003	12.56	13.57	15.01	15.21	15.19	14.87	15.01(2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-150	-10	124	0.12	63%	0.32	73.3	4.69%	0	0.9	79	0
4	Sep_10_2003	12.52	13.38	14.86	15.39	15.43	15.15	14.65(-4.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	27	-120	-11	141	0.17	63%	0.32	79.5	5%	0	0.7	70	0
5	Sep_9_2003	12.48	13.2	14.72	15.6	15.7	15.51	15.29(-2.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	46	-70	2	176	0.23	63%	0.32	82.8	4.97%	0	1.2	77	0

6	Sep_8_2003	12.44	12.98	14.42	15.44	15.66	15.72	15.67(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	54	70	10	185	0.17	63%	0.32	81.1	4.96%	0	1.5	82	0
7	Sep_5_2003	12.4	12.7	14.02	15.09	15.33	15.89	15.43(-3.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	300	15	176	0.33	60%	0.32	75	5.02%	0	1.6	82	0
8	Sep_4_2003	12.36	12.44	13.64	14.76	14.86	15.6	15.91(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	63	370	26	175	0.35	60%	0.32	71.3	5%	0	2.1	87	0
9	Sep_3_2003	12.32	12.15	13.26	14.26	14.26	14.76	15.7(8.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	59	250	25	162	1.14	60%	0.33	58.5	5%	0	2.4	86	0
10	Sep_2_2003	12.28	11.9	12.86	13.73	13.76	14.13	14.48(4.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	190	21	148	0.46	57%	0.33	50.1	4.9%	0	2.1	84	0

11	Aug_29_2003	12.24	11.7	12.54	13.26	13.33	13.76	13.91(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	240	23	131	0.24	57%	0.25	34.4	4.89%	0	2	84	0
12	Aug_28_2003	12.21	11.54	12.27	12.77	12.76	13.39	13.79(2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	45	340	22	114	0.36	57%	0.25	17.4	4.9%	0	2.3	86	0
13	Aug_27_2003	12.18	11.37	12	12.34	12.24	12.9	13.4(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	38	350	18	98	0.42	57%	0.16	-2.2	4.9%	0	2.2	83	0
14	Aug_26_2003	12.16	11.33	11.77	12.11	11.85	12.14	13.08(8.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	35	110	15	95	1.13	57%	0.25	-5.9	4.9%	0	2	83	0
15	Aug_25_2003	12.13	11.3	11.55	11.87	11.72	11.58	12.11(5.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-120	5	80	0.59	54%	0.17	-13.1	4.83%	0	0.9	63	0

16	Aug_22_2003	12.11	11.34	11.41	11.73	11.74	11.57	11.49(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-100	-1	71	0.23	52%	0.17	-13.8	4.8%	0	0.2	60	0
17	Aug_21_2003	12.09	11.37	11.3	11.67	11.7	11.87	11.64(-4.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	110	4	64	0.6	52%	0.08	-17.9	4.84%	0	0.3	62	0
18	Aug_20_2003	12.08	11.37	11.17	11.57	11.58	11.9	12.23(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	200	26	67	0.25	52%	0.17	-18.1	4.81%	0	0.9	73	0
19	Aug_19_2003	12.06	11.39	10.97	11.36	9.26	11.54	11.9(4.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	1170	11	17	0.2	52%	0	-22.8	4.8%	0	0.5	38	0
20	Aug_18_2003	12.06	11.42	10.86	11.18	9.09	11.25	11.37(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	1100	50	2	0.15	52%	-0.08	-27.8	4.78%	0	-0.1	38	0

21	Aug_15_2003	12.07	11.46	10.8	11.06	9	6.98	11.19(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-2130	9	-45	0.04	52%	-0.08	-38.7	4.78%	0	-0.3	34	0
22	Aug_14_2003	12.08	11.53	10.75	10.87	8.84	6.94	11.18(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-59	-2060	-47	-93	0	52%	-0.08	-46	4.82%	0	-0.4	44	0
23	Aug_13_2003	12.09	11.55	10.69	10.69	10.71	11.03	11.18(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	210	11	-96	0.17	52%	-0.08	-57.8	4.86%	0	-0.4	45	0
24	Aug_12_2003	12.1	11.6	10.86	10.69	10.53	10.74	10.99(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-23	150	4	-102	0.21	52%	-0.08	-68.2	4.88%	0	-0.6	41	0
25	Aug_11_2003	12.11	11.69	11.02	10.51	10.43	10.39	10.76(5.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-50	-0	-103	0.25	52%		-67	4.91%	0	-0.8	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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