Trading Signals: ORLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ORLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 30, 2023

Trading Signals: ORLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(O'Reilly Automotive Inc)
ORLY latest price $952.7700 (0.64%) ($952.7700 - $952.7700) on Wed. Aug. 30, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $952.7700(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ORLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ORLY declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ORLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(93%)    SPY(89%)    DIA(87%)    INDA(82%)    BLOK(81%)
Factors Impacting ORLY price   ORLY will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-37%)    USO(-21%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(1%)    XOP(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $939.73(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $939.69(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $938.79(1.49%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $70.598b

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. owns and operates retail outlets in the United States. It engages in the distribution and retailing of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the U.S., serving both professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. The company provides new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, including alternators, starters, fuel pumps, water pumps, brake system components, batteries, belts, hoses, temperature controls, chassis parts and engine parts; maintenance items comprising oil, antifreeze products, fluids, filters, wiper blades, lighting products, engine additives, and appearance products; and accessories, such as floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. Its stores offer auto body paint and related materials, automotive tools and professional service provider service equipment. The company stores also offer enhanced services and programs comprising used oil, oil filter and battery recycling; battery, wiper, and bulb replacement; battery diagnostic testing; electrical and module testing; check engine light code extraction; loaner tool program; drum and rotor resurfacing; custom hydraulic hoses; professional paint shop mixing and related materials; and machine shops. Its stores provide do-it-yourself and professional service provider customers a selection of brand name, house brands, and private label products for domestic and imported automobiles, vans, and trucks. O'Reilly Automotive was founded by Charles F. O'Reilly and Charles H. O'Reilly, Sr. in November 1957 and is headquartered in Springfield, MO.

$. ORLY price fluctuates within 0.98% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(63%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(38%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 1.4%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.71%(44%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 1.81%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.51%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230930

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_30_2023	931.3	938.79	939.69	939.73	939.92	947.86	952.77(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	383	60	454	169	0.23	52%	0.09	39.8	1.29%	1.2	1.5	57	2.2
2	Aug_29_2023	930.46	937.08	939.44	938.63	936.62	938.16	946.68(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	201	10	238	90	0.26	52%	0.09	14.3	1.29%	1.9	1.1	58	1.7
3	Aug_28_2023	929.66	936.32	939.63	936.07	936.9	931.98	933.37(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-110	-30	-128	-55	0.17	50%	0	-10.9	1.29%	-0.5	-0.3	53	1.5
4	Aug_25_2023	929.62	935.95	940.66	938.47	937.03	935.09	930.58(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-296	-20	-350	-132	0.25	48%	0.08	-19.4	1.3%	-1.2	-0.6	51	0.2
5	Aug_24_2023	928.89	935.99	942.06	940.01	940.83	941.82	935.25(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	106	10	119	68	0.25	51%	0.09	-25.7	1.3%	-0.3	-0.1	56	-0.6

6	Aug_23_2023	928.09	935.18	942.23	939.28	940.5	938.97	947.27(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10	37	35	0.29	48%	0.09	-37.1	1.3%	1.4	1	58	0.5
7	Aug_22_2023	927.22	935.88	940.47	940.48	937.36	939.84	933.88(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-172	10	-211	-56	0.22	43%	0.07	-29.9	1.31%	-1	-0.2	60	-0.5
8	Aug_21_2023	926.54	937.24	940.35	943.81	942.67	942.04	945.38(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	213	-10	240	133	0.21	43%	0.11	-20.8	1.35%	1.1	0.6	56	-0.5
9	Aug_18_2023	925.51	937.68	938.97	943.36	943.86	934.87	938.28(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-279	-70	-340	-96	0.25	45%	0.11	-25.5	1.35%	-0.9	0	58	-1.4
10	Aug_17_2023	924.51	938.47	937.91	944.43	945.06	943.29	931.61(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-341	-10	-413	-123	0.34	45%	0.11	-24.3	1.35%	-2.7	-0.5	52	-2.3

11	Aug_16_2023	923.47	939.47	938.12	945.2	947.68	952.84	953.23(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	308	50	347	192	0.22	48%	0.14	-23.3	1.32%	0.7	0.9	68	-1
12	Aug_15_2023	922.17	939.74	934.62	940.34	942.76	946.84	950.57(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	254	40	293	136	0.18	46%	0.15	-33.5	1.32%	1.2	0.7	43	-0.8
13	Aug_14_2023	920.8	940.1	932.59	936.42	937.36	942.51	943.11(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	182	40	215	81	0.22	46%	0.15	-40.2	1.34%	0.2	0.2	41	0.9
14	Aug_11_2023	919.42	941.22	930.67	934.07	934.32	938.68	943.63(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	252	30	304	96	0.26	46%	0.16	-41.3	1.34%	1.7	0.1	44	0.2
15	Aug_10_2023	917.94	941.96	929.18	930.61	931.81	932.21	935.44(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	95	10	125	3	0.28	46%	0.14	-40.3	1.33%	1.3	-0.4	42	-0.6

16	Aug_9_2023	916.62	942.97	927.38	930.04	930.06	929.97	928.97(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-77	-0	-72	-93	0.22	46%	0.12	-37	1.33%	0.5	-0.8	42	-0.6
17	Aug_8_2023	915.48	944.94	930.67	927.88	930.96	931.42	930.96(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	84	10	119	-22	0.25	46%	0.13	-34.6	1.34%	0	-0.8	38	-0.7
18	Aug_7_2023	914.3	946.72	933.63	928.09	927.75	930.15	931.37(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	20	-21	-78	0.29	46%	0.15	-25.9	1.34%	0.7	-0.9	39	-0.6
19	Aug_4_2023	912.91	948.23	936.03	926.72	928.19	930.51	926.33(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	162	20	214	6	0.27	46%	0.12	-27.3	1.34%	-0.2	-1.2	35	-1.6
20	Aug_3_2023	911.79	948.87	938.94	927.51	927.21	925.34	932.59(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	-20	-2	-81	0.3	46%	0.13	-27.8	1.34%	1	-1	41	-0.7

21	Aug_2_2023	910.6	949.57	940.86	924.4	926.63	925.88	918.14(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-135	0	-131	-145	0.56	43%	0.11	-31.8	1.32%	-1.6	-1.9	37	-0.7
22	Aug_1_2023	909.57	951.23	945.4	933.95	926.38	929.08	932.03(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-129	-0	-130	-125	0.26	47%	0.13	-14.8	1.31%	1.3	-1.2	37	1.2
23	Jul_31_2023	908.39	951.4	948.34	940.31	934.43	927.39	924.5(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-94	-70	-93	-97	0.27	47%	0.12	-3.1	1.32%	-1	-1.7	34	1.5
24	Jul_28_2023	907.31	953.08	952.86	946.88	944.26	923.67	930.27(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-716	-160	-830	-372	0.31	47%	0.12	18.8	1.33%	-0.7	-1.6	39	1.3
25	Jul_27_2023	906.18	953.62	956.09	952.05	951.03	941.47	917.07(-5.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-972	-70	-1138	-472	0.73	48%		31.3	1.31%	-1.9	-2.7	48	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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