Trading Signals: ORLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 22, 2020

Trading Signals: ORLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(O'Reilly Automotive Inc)
ORLY latest price $453.1600 (0.17%) ($453.1600 - $456.3300) on Tue. Dec. 22, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $453.1600(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ORLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ORLY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ORLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(48%)    SPLV(48%)    IVE(45%)    IWD(45%)    SDY(45%)
Factors Impacting ORLY price   ORLY will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-12%)    VXX(-8%)    EDOC(-7%)    TLT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $452.82(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $450.03(0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $448.12(1.12%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $33.578b

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. owns and operates retail outlets in the United States. It engages in the distribution and retailing of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the U.S., serving both professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. The company provides new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, including alternators, starters, fuel pumps, water pumps, brake system components, batteries, belts, hoses, temperature controls, chassis parts and engine parts; maintenance items comprising oil, antifreeze products, fluids, filters, wiper blades, lighting products, engine additives, and appearance products; and accessories, such as floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. Its stores offer auto body paint and related materials, automotive tools and professional service provider service equipment. The company stores also offer enhanced services and programs comprising used oil, oil filter and battery recycling; battery, wiper, and bulb replacement; battery diagnostic testing; electrical and module testing; check engine light code extraction; loaner tool program; drum and rotor resurfacing; custom hydraulic hoses; professional paint shop mixing and related materials; and machine shops. Its stores provide do-it-yourself and professional service provider customers a selection of brand name, house brands, and private label products for domestic and imported automobiles, vans, and trucks. O'Reilly Automotive was founded by Charles F. O'Reilly and Charles H. O'Reilly, Sr. in November 1957 and is headquartered in Springfield, MO.

$. ORLY price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.15%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.88%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.91%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.92%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.65%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.19%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2020	457.55	448.12	450.03	452.82	452.57	453.17	453.16(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	10	31	50	0.41	54%	-0.05	27.5	1.3%	1.2	1.2	64	-0.7
2	Dec_21_2020	457.76	447.59	448.88	451.98	452.94	452.23	452.38(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-0	28	33	0.37	51%	-0.05	2.2	1.3%	-0.1	1.2	47	-1.6
3	Dec_18_2020	458.01	447.28	448.45	451.03	452.28	451.97	451.28(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-24	0	-35	9	0.59	51%	-0.06	-21.8	1.33%	-0.5	1	58	1.2
4	Dec_17_2020	458.3	447.24	448.27	450.29	451.13	453.65	451.86(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	40	68	52	0.49	51%	-0.01	-33.3	1.33%	0.4	1.2	58	1.6
5	Dec_16_2020	458.34	447.3	447.65	449.12	450.06	452.59	455.44(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	184	50	210	104	0.48	49%	0.01	-50.5	1.33%	1.9	2	60	1.5

6	Dec_15_2020	458.28	446.99	446.35	446.88	447.74	448.6	448.95(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	73	20	85	37	0.48	48%	-0	-80.7	1.33%	-0.6	0.5	50	0.8
7	Dec_14_2020	458.3	447.51	446.73	445.34	446	447.53	447.61(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	51	30	59	28	0.65	48%	0.01	-65.7	1.33%	0.5	0	55	-0.6
8	Dec_11_2020	458.25	448.14	446.23	445.52	444.45	446.87	447.59(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	74	30	87	36	0.56	48%	-0	-44.9	1.33%	1.4	-0.1	51	0.3
9	Dec_10_2020	458.26	448.55	445.82	446	444.5	444.47	446.03(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	58	-10	69	24	0.55	46%	-0.01	-36.1	1.34%	1.6	-0.4	45	0.9
10	Dec_9_2020	458.3	449.37	445.63	445.96	445.51	442.03	444.2(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-95	-60	-108	-56	0.85	46%	-0.01	-23.3	1.35%	-0.4	-0.8	42	1

11	Dec_8_2020	458.33	450	446.09	445.71	446.27	444.52	441.25(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-169	-20	-194	-94	0.48	46%	0.01	-19.9	1.35%	-1.6	-1.3	44	1.6
12	Dec_7_2020	458.3	450.7	446.31	448.23	447.15	449	448.54(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	13	20	21	-10	0.39	48%	0.04	-0.7	1.34%	0.9	-0.3	40	1.1
13	Dec_4_2020	458.13	450.7	446.09	446.98	448.03	448.02	449.98(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	123	10	156	23	0.26	48%	0.04	1.4	1.35%	1.8	-0.1	40	1.2
14	Dec_3_2020	457.95	450.71	446.15	445.65	445.75	445.29	445.83(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-95	-10	-96	-90	0.29	46%	0.03	4.8	1.35%	0	-0.7	42	0.9
15	Dec_2_2020	457.81	450.97	446.92	445.29	445.54	448.04	442.95(-2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	41	40	66	-36	0.48	48%	0.03	9.1	1.37%	-0.7	-1.2	36	1

16	Dec_1_2020	457.66	451.34	447.69	446.49	445.41	446.21	453.87(2.62%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	95	10	130	-11	0.52	52%	0.07	13.9	1.36%	0.5	0.4	47	1
17	Nov_30_2020	457.32	450.76	448.21	444.22	445.14	443.05	442.27(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-82	-30	-75	-103	0.61	49%	0.05	-6.3	1.33%	0.4	-1.3	41	1.1
18	Nov_27_2020	457.1	450.62	450.09	445.09	445.73	444.62	443.33(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-117	-10	-121	-106	0.31	49%	0.13	-20.8	1.33%	-2.4	-1	48	1.1
19	Nov_25_2020	456.49	450.38	451.44	446.74	446.48	447.24	444.03(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	10	-30	-56	0.6	49%	0.05	-25.9	1.32%	-0.4	-0.9	48	1.3
20	Nov_24_2020	456.28	450.39	453.38	448.8	448.14	446.85	448.94(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	10	-20	18	-14	0.67	49%	0.05	-32.5	1.32%	0.7	-0.2	50	1.1

21	Nov_23_2020	456.04	450.46	454.2	449.1	449.17	445.72	442.53(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-179	-50	-207	-96	0.53	48%	-0.03	-43	1.31%	-1.4	-1.1	47	1.1
22	Nov_20_2020	456.18	451.15	455.56	452.83	451.45	449.44	446.62(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-172	-40	-208	-64	0.38	48%	0.04	-32.4	1.31%	-1	-0.6	57	1.2
23	Nov_19_2020	456	452.07	455.9	455.83	454.82	452.61	451.57(-0.61%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-67	-40	-93	11	0.38	48%	0.06	-22.9	1.3%	-0.9	-0.1	65	1.3
24	Nov_18_2020	455.74	452.32	455.83	456.83	457.29	453.47	454.33(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-122	-60	-163	3	0.44	48%	0.07	-24.7	1.3%	-0.4	0.2	68	1.3
25	Nov_17_2020	455.41	452.81	455.51	458.7	458.13	457.03	450.43(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-167	-20	-222	-1	0.49	48%		-16.8	1.3%	-2.2	-0.3	58	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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