Trading Signals: ORLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: ORLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(O'Reilly Automotive Inc)
ORLY latest price $181.6300 (0.9%) ($179.9100 - $181.9150) on Thu. Nov. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $181.6300(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ORLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ORLY advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ORLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(52%)    XLP(50%)    XLY(50%)    VT(49%)    XLI(47%)
Factors Impacting ORLY price   ORLY will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-6%)    GDXJ(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $180.01(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $178.71(1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $172.56(5.26%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.3%
Market Cap   $13.458b

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. owns and operates retail outlets in the United States. It engages in the distribution and retailing of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the U.S., serving both professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. The company provides new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, including alternators, starters, fuel pumps, water pumps, brake system components, batteries, belts, hoses, temperature controls, chassis parts and engine parts; maintenance items comprising oil, antifreeze products, fluids, filters, wiper blades, lighting products, engine additives, and appearance products; and accessories, such as floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. Its stores offer auto body paint and related materials, automotive tools and professional service provider service equipment. The company stores also offer enhanced services and programs comprising used oil, oil filter and battery recycling; battery, wiper, and bulb replacement; battery diagnostic testing; electrical and module testing; check engine light code extraction; loaner tool program; drum and rotor resurfacing; custom hydraulic hoses; professional paint shop mixing and related materials; and machine shops. Its stores provide do-it-yourself and professional service provider customers a selection of brand name, house brands, and private label products for domestic and imported automobiles, vans, and trucks. O'Reilly Automotive was founded by Charles F. O'Reilly and Charles H. O'Reilly, Sr. in November 1957 and is headquartered in Springfield, MO.

$. ORLY price fluctuates within 5.75% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2014	156.56	172.56	178.71	180.01			181.63(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	-10000	4	101	0.55	67%	0.21	78.1	1.22%	0	0.9	91	0
2	Nov_12_2014	156.23	171.01	178.03	179.61			180.01(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	33	-10000	5	117	0.52	67%	0.2	72.4	1.22%	0	0.8	92	0
3	Nov_11_2014	155.92	169.54	177.45	179.1			179.33(-0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	42	-10000	4	154	0.48	67%	0.19	66.8	1.23%	0	0.9	96	0
4	Nov_10_2014	155.62	168.07	176.87	178.65			180.09(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	54	-10000	8	191	0.71	67%	0.19	62.9	1.23%	0	1	91	0
5	Nov_7_2014	155.33	166.52	176	177.81			179(-0.34%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	60	-10000	6	220	0.53	70%	0.19	59.8	1.26%	0	1.1	92	0

6	Nov_6_2014	155.04	165.14	175.16	177.18			179.61(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	73	-10000	8	267	0.75	70%	0.19	58.2	1.26%	0	1.2	95	0
7	Nov_5_2014	154.75	163.65	173.97	176.24			177.46(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	82	-10000	6	308	0.67	70%	0.19	57.7	1.26%	0	1.2	95	0
8	Nov_4_2014	154.46	162.4	172.07	175.56			177.11(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	88	-10000	7	329	0.87	70%	0.18	59.6	1.26%	0	1.3	94	0
9	Nov_3_2014	154.18	161.08	170.32	174.81			175.86(-0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	95	-10000	8	356	2.86	70%	0.18	61.3	1.26%	0	1.4	94	0
10	Oct_31_2014	153.91	159.87	168.3	173.89			175.88(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	101	-10000	10	373	0.88	67%	0.18	62.9	1.26%	0	1.6	94	0

11	Oct_30_2014	153.64	158.67	165.98	172.81			174.9(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	102	-10000	14	364	0.59	68%	0.16	65.2	1.28%	0	1.7	84	0
12	Oct_29_2014	153.4	157.42	163.48	171.32			174.06(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	112	-10000	31	353	0.71	68%	0.15	66.6	1.29%	0	1.9	84	0
13	Oct_28_2014	153.17	156.13	161.04	167.98			173.33(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	93	-10000	27	291	0.86	68%	0.14	60.6	1.3%	0	2.2	75	0
14	Oct_27_2014	152.96	154.9	158.56	165.1			171.3(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	85	-10000	31	246	0.8	68%	0.12	57.9	1.29%	0	2.4	76	0
15	Oct_24_2014	152.78	153.85	156.22	161.83			170.48(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	73	-10000	36	185	1.07	71%	0.12	53.4	1.29%	0	2.9	72	0

16	Oct_23_2014	152.59	152.8	154.19	158.15			167.44(6.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	55	-10000	35	116	1.89	69%	0.11	44	1.34%	0	3.5	68	0
17	Oct_22_2014	152.42	151.84	152.33	154.55			157.36(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	-10000	19	59	1.17	58%	0.06	23.4	1.09%	0	2.1	61	0
18	Oct_21_2014	152.33	151.52	151.83	153.01			158.9(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	27	-10000	23	40	0.92	56%	0.07	2	1.15%	0	3.2	67	0
19	Oct_20_2014	152.23	151.08	150.99	151.03			154.96(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	12	-10000	15	2	0.96	52%	0.05	-44.7	1.13%	0	2.5	59	0
20	Oct_17_2014	152.16	150.89	150.69	149.74			152.09(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-6	-10000	1	-27	0.86	48%	0.04	-80	1.11%	0	0.8	50	0

21	Oct_16_2014	152.1	150.96	150.76	149.63			149.46(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-1	-25	0.91	45%	0.02	-72.1	1.09%	0	-0.9	46	0
22	Oct_15_2014	152.07	151.23	150.93	149.75			149.62(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-9	-22	1.39	44%	0.01	-65.3	1.09%	0	-0.9	52	0
23	Oct_14_2014	152.05	151.47	150.94	150.45			149(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-10000	-5	-13	0.68	45%	-0.02	-56	1.1%	0	-1.3	45	0
24	Oct_13_2014	152.08	151.77	151.11	150.91			148.53(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-10	-10000	-10	-8	0.78	45%	0	-54.5	1.11%	0	-1.8	46	0
25	Oct_10_2014	152.08	152.05	151.46	151.73			151.55(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	-4	12	0.86	46%		-57	1.08%	0	-0.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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