Trading Signals: ORCL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: ORCL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Oracle Corporation)
ORCL latest price $38.8392 (0.8%) ($38.4468 - $39.0540) on Thu. Aug. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $38.8392(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ORCL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ORCL advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ORCL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(64%)    QQQ(58%)    VT(58%)    XLK(58%)    XLI(54%)
Factors Impacting ORCL price   ORCL will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.33(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.9(2.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.76(2.86%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $119.12b

Oracle Corp. engages in the provision of products and services that address all aspects of corporate information technology environments. It operates through the following business segments: Cloud and License, Hardware, and Services. The Cloud and License segment markets, sells, and delivers applications, platform, and infrastructure technologies. The Hardware segment provides hardware products and hardware-related software products including Oracle Engineered Systems, servers, storage, industry-specific hardware, operating systems, virtualization, management and other hardware related software, and related hardware support. The Services segment offers consulting, advanced support, and education services. The company was founded by Lawrence Joseph Ellison, Robert Nimrod Miner and Edward A. Oates on June 16, 1977 and is headquartered in Redwood City, CA.

$. ORCL price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140921

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_21_2014	38.1	37.76	37.9	38.33			38.84(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	-10000	15	100	9.57	54%	0	43.5	0.88%	0	2.3	71	0
2	Aug_20_2014	38.1	37.7	37.72	38.07			38.53(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	-10000	11	63	9.63	50%	0	39.6	0.88%	0	2.1	61	0
3	Aug_19_2014	38.1	37.65	37.61	37.88			38.68(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	22	-10000	17	35	14.38	50%	0.03	30.2	0.89%	0	2.9	52	0
4	Aug_18_2014	38.09	37.6	37.46	37.6			37.96(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	-10000	8	-7	7.64	44%	0.03	9.5	0.87%	0	1.3	48	0
5	Aug_15_2014	38.08	37.57	37.4	37.47			37.62(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	4	-29	13.42	41%	0.05	-12.5	0.87%	0	0.2	44	0

6	Aug_14_2014	38.06	37.56	37.38	37.4			37.57(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	6	-40	9.71	41%	0.03	-20	0.87%	0	0	48	0
7	Aug_13_2014	38.05	37.56	37.39	37.3			37.59(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-13	-10000	1	-55	10.63	41%	0.05	-36	0.87%	0	0.2	46	0
8	Aug_12_2014	38.03	37.54	37.45	37.29			37.27(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-1	-49	6.7	48%	0.05	-37.3	0.86%	0	-1	44	0
9	Aug_11_2014	38.01	37.57	37.52	37.3			37.29(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-10000	-2	-43	10.29	48%	0.05	-37.3	0.9%	0	-1	42	0
10	Aug_8_2014	37.99	37.6	37.58	37.33			37.31(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-2	-33	8.86	48%	0.05	-41.7	0.91%	0	-1.1	51	0

11	Aug_7_2014	37.97	37.61	37.61	37.36			37.06(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-8	-29	9.18	48%	0.03	-54.2	0.9%	0	-2	47	0
12	Aug_6_2014	37.96	37.61	37.69	37.5			37.51(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-10000	-9	-8	8.18	52%	0.05	-54.7	0.89%	0	-0.6	57	0
13	Aug_5_2014	37.94	37.65	37.71	37.65			37.33(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-3	-10000	-7	9	8.81	52%	0.05	-45.3	0.89%	0	-1.3	46	0
14	Aug_4_2014	37.92	37.68	37.71	37.77			37.46(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-5	21	12.36	52%	-0.03	-27.3	0.9%	0	-0.9	43	0
15	Aug_1_2014	37.93	37.72	37.71	37.85			37.46(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	4	-10000	-3	23	12.36	52%	0	-10.6	0.9%	0	-1	44	0

16	Jul_31_2014	37.93	37.76	37.76	37.9			37.73(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-1	27	13.69	52%	-0.03	10.8	0.9%	0	-0.1	55	0
17	Jul_30_2014	37.94	37.78	37.72	37.91			38.26(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	7	26	11.41	61%	0.03	17.7	0.89%	0	1.6	60	0
18	Jul_29_2014	37.93	37.76	37.65	37.79			37.95(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	2	13	9.45	61%	0	8.1	0.91%	0	0.7	57	0
19	Jul_28_2014	37.93	37.75	37.63	37.75			37.88(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	6	10	9.66	65%	0	-4.1	0.91%	0	0.5	48	0
20	Jul_25_2014	37.93	37.74	37.62	37.65			37.67(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	3	-7	7.49	65%	-0.03	-19.4	0.93%	0	-0.3	39	0

21	Jul_24_2014	37.94	37.74	37.6	37.59			37.8(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	6	-25	10.8	65%	0	-60.8	0.94%	0	0.3	37	0
22	Jul_23_2014	37.94	37.73	37.59	37.49			37.65(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	1	-45	9.19	60%	0	-106.8	0.94%	0	-0.3	41	0
23	Jul_22_2014	37.94	37.74	37.58	37.48			37.77(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-14	-10000	-1	-52	13.73	60%	0	-126	0.96%	0	0.1	46	0
24	Jul_21_2014	37.94	37.76	37.59	37.5			37.37(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-5	-51	15.86	57%	-0.03	-131.7	0.95%	0	-1.3	45	0
25	Jul_18_2014	37.95	37.8	37.67	37.59			37.36(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-1	-36	19.12	57%		-148.1	0.95%	0	-1.5	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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